The Fever Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified WW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn
Inputs
Wave Breaker
3x $0.60
Rising Sun
3x $0.66
Whiteout
4x $4.02
↓
Possible Outputs
Hellish
20.0% $33.69
Latte Rush
20.0% $28.94
Shinobu
20.0% $6.65
Searing Rage
20.0% $6.61
K.O. Factory
20.0% $6.12
Max Win
$33.69 (+42.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$16.40 (-30.7%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+51.8%
Cost
$23.67
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $23.67
Ask Price EV $16.40 (-30.7%)
Bid Price EV $15.58 (-34.2%)
Ask Profit $-7.27 (-30.7%)
Bid Profit $-8.09 (-34.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.82 (+3.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$7.27
Bid Slippage Buffer -$8.09
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $33.69 (+42.3%)
Worst Case $6.12 (-74.1%)
Volatility +51.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$7.65
Avg Loss -$17.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.12 (-74.1%)
Std Dev $12.27
Avg Norm Float 0.3953
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 101h 26m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Well-Worn
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Well-Worn
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Rising Sun
—
Well-Worn
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Rising Sun
—
Well-Worn
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Rising Sun
—
Well-Worn
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Wave Breaker
—
Field-Tested
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Battle-Scarred
$4.02 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.20 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.22 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Whiteout
—
Well-Worn
$5.24 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 13S //TOTAL COST $23.67 //ASK PRICE EV $16.40 //BID PRICE EV $15.58 //ASK PROFIT $-7.27 (-30.7%) //BID PROFIT $-8.09 (-34.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $33.69 //VOLATILITY +51.8% //
Possible Outputs · 5
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
20.0%
$33.69
+$10.02
+42.3%
$31.58
+$7.91
+33.4%
$2.11
6.3%
—
WIN
20.0%
$28.94
+$5.27
+22.3%
$28.72
+$5.05
+21.3%
$0.22
0.8%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$6.65
-$17.02
-71.9%
$5.95
-$17.72
-74.9%
$0.70
10.6%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$6.61
-$17.06
-72.1%
$5.91
-$17.76
-75.0%
$0.70
10.6%
—
NUKE
20.0%
$6.12
-$17.55
-74.1%
$5.75
-$17.92
-75.7%
$0.37
6.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-train-2025|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.3953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e7d48237eb0f",
"realistic_value": 33.688,
"optimistic_value": 33.52,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Hellish",
"conservative_value": 31.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Hellish (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T07:35:36.378479Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e7d48237eb0f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2,
"output_float": 0.3953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9836cfa060f6",
"realistic_value": 28.9425,
"optimistic_value": 28.89,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush",
"conservative_value": 28.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Train 2025 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Latte Rush (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:10:40.758495Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9836cfa060f6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.3953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4c2e3face5fd",
"realistic_value": 6.6105,
"optimistic_value": 6.53,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage",
"conservative_value": 5.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Searing Rage (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:43:29.477387Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4c2e3face5fd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.3953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a7838b4ba71f",
"realistic_value": 6.6545,
"optimistic_value": 6.63,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu",
"conservative_value": 5.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Shinobu (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T06:57:05.242538Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a7838b4ba71f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.3953,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5a6a2858b51d",
"realistic_value": 6.1240000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory",
"conservative_value": 5.75,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:10.052754Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5a6a2858b51d.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d401c8629d0d4f0f8da0af7b",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "510739041954328018",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:28.110617Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "518620341243342640",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Well-Worn)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:28.110617Z"
},
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"listing_id": "520872141038305344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:46.515598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"listing_id": "501731842661307389",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:46.515598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"listing_id": "514116741797283090",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:00:46.515598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"listing_id": "498354142900144111",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:11:11.680636Z"
},
{
"price": 4.02,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "493850543432460388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:02:32.501817Z"
},
{
"price": 5.2,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "492724643507571681",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:39.849143Z"
},
{
"price": 5.22,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "517494441498298858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:39.849143Z"
},
{
"price": 5.24,
"skin_id": "skin-20f06d331186",
"listing_id": "493850543432321104",
"collection_id": "collection-set-train-2025",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Whiteout",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-20f06d331186.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:05:39.849143Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:6+collection-set-train-2025:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 20.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 20.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 20.0% $50.78 Shinobu 20.0% $49.39 K.O. Factory 20.0% $34.29 | $597.10 +262.9% | $205.20 +24.7% | 40.0% | +132.9% | $164.52 | — |
The Fever Collection ×6+The Train 2025 Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Hellish 20.0% $64.09 Latte Rush 20.0% $41.81 Shinobu 20.0% $7.29 Searing Rage 20.0% $6.87 K.O. Factory 20.0% $6.47 | $64.09 +170.0% | $25.31 +6.6% | 40.0% | +99.6% | $23.74 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 25.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 25.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 16.7% $50.78 Shinobu 16.7% $49.39 K.O. Factory 16.7% $34.39 | $597.10 +209.4% | $245.31 +27.1% | 50.0% | +117.8% | $192.99 | — |
The Fever Collection ×4+The Train 2025 Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 30.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 30.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 13.3% $50.78 Shinobu 13.3% $49.39 K.O. Factory 13.3% $34.29 | $597.10 +163.3% | $285.39 +25.9% | 60.0% | +100.9% | $226.74 | — |
The Fever Collection ×7+The Train 2025 Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 15.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 15.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 23.3% $50.78 Shinobu 23.3% $49.39 K.O. Factory 23.3% $34.29 | $597.10 +348.4% | $165.10 +24.0% | 30.0% | +151.4% | $133.16 | — |
The Fever Collection ×3+The Train 2025 Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 35.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 35.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 10.0% $50.78 Shinobu 10.0% $49.39 K.O. Factory 10.0% $34.39 | $597.10 +127.4% | $325.50 +23.9% | 70.0% | +85.0% | $262.62 | — |
The Fever Collection ×9+The Train 2025 Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Hellish 5.0% $138.17 Latte Rush 5.0% $122.85 Shinobu 30.0% $13.66 Searing Rage 30.0% $11.88 K.O. Factory 30.0% $9.69 | $138.17 +607.9% | $23.62 +21.0% | 10.0% | +183.1% | $19.52 | — |
The Fever Collection ×2+The Train 2025 Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 40.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 40.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 6.7% $50.78 Shinobu 6.7% $49.39 K.O. Factory 6.7% $34.29 | $597.10 +96.3% | $365.58 +20.2% | 40.0% | +69.0% | $304.17 | — |
The Fever Collection ×8+The Train 2025 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Hellish 10.0% $64.09 Latte Rush 10.0% $41.26 Searing Rage 26.7% $7.26 Shinobu 26.7% $6.95 K.O. Factory 26.7% $6.52 | $64.09 +358.1% | $16.06 +14.8% | 20.0% | +135.9% | $13.99 | — |
The Fever Collection ×1+The Train 2025 Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New | Hellish 45.0% $597.10 Latte Rush 45.0% $294.44 Searing Rage 3.3% $50.78 Shinobu 3.3% $49.39 K.O. Factory 3.3% $34.29 | $597.10 +69.0% | $405.68 +14.8% | 45.0% | +53.0% | $353.37 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×5+The Train 2025 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Whiteout 16.7% $9.68 Charged Up  16.7% $7.44 Derailment  16.7% $7.13 Rising Sun 10.0% $0.79 Serpent Strike  10.0% $0.77 Control  10.0% $0.77 | $9.68 +183.9% | $4.42 +29.6% | 50.0% | +98.7% | $3.41 | — |