The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Danger Close
1x $0.27
Modest Threat
1x $0.29
Fubar
1x $0.47
Wood Fired
1x $0.52
Black Sand
1x $0.52
Motorized
3x $0.18
↓
Possible Outputs
Signal
10.0% $7.55
Nevermore
10.0% $7.11
Flashback
10.0% $6.32
Etch Lord
10.0% $4.45
Block-18
10.0% $4.19
Pipe Down
10.0% $3.42
Max Win
$7.55 (+110.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.29 (+19.6%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+54.3%
Cost
$3.59
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.59
Ask Price EV $4.29 (+19.6%)
Bid Price EV $3.74 (+4.3%)
Ask Profit $0.70 (+19.6%)
Bid Profit $0.15 (+4.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.55 (+15.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.70
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.15
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $7.55 (+110.2%)
Worst Case $1.95 (-45.7%)
Volatility +54.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$2.34
Avg Loss -$0.93
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.95 (-45.7%)
Std Dev $1.95
Avg Norm Float 0.1399
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 152h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Fubar
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 13M 38S //TOTAL COST $3.59 //ASK PRICE EV $4.29 //BID PRICE EV $3.74 //ASK PROFIT $0.70 (+19.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.15 (+4.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $7.55 //VOLATILITY +54.3% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.55
+$3.96
+110.2%
$6.50
+$2.91
+81.1%
$1.05
13.9%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$7.11
+$3.52
+98.1%
$5.90
+$2.31
+64.3%
$1.21
17.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$6.32
+$2.73
+76.2%
$5.35
+$1.76
+49.0%
$0.97
15.4%
—
WIN
10.0%
$4.45
+$0.86
+24.1%
$3.76
+$0.17
+4.7%
$0.69
15.6%
—
WIN
10.0%
$4.19
+$0.60
+16.7%
$3.88
+$0.29
+8.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.42
-$0.17
-4.8%
$3.08
-$0.51
-14.2%
$0.34
9.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$3.34
-$0.25
-7.0%
$2.85
-$0.74
-20.6%
$0.49
14.6%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.65
-$0.94
-26.2%
$2.60
-$0.99
-27.6%
$0.05
1.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.95
-$1.64
-45.6%
$1.67
-$1.92
-53.5%
$0.28
14.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.95
-$1.64
-45.7%
$1.85
-$1.74
-48.5%
$0.10
5.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.65,
"optimistic_value": 2.65,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:16:49.189182Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09094150000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.9545,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:34.690741Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 7.5455,
"optimistic_value": 7.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 6.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:26.184919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09400203125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4535,
"optimistic_value": 4.45,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:47:20.049749Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.125919,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 3.417,
"optimistic_value": 3.34,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 3.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:49.211757Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.337,
"optimistic_value": 3.33,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:12.428118Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.05596400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 7.1135,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 5.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:33.060154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0865847026,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.951,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:13:13.362550Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.069955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 6.3245,
"optimistic_value": 6.09,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:18.380357Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d39c4f4f7ff188963a5edb2d",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "523123091077461898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:12.632182Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "525375522203968243",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:32:29.857366Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-876587e47bdc",
"listing_id": "498354089953387435",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Fubar",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-876587e47bdc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:17:29.409027Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "510738989041247866",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:28:01.181708Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "492724643507540685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:24:35.771395Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "512990841908688587",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:20:20.848375Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "490472843633424351",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:15.180598Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "527627540538064388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:58.857536Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:34:58.857536Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:22:15.180598Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Nevermore 10.0% $4.07 Signal 10.0% $3.49 Flashback 10.0% $3.00 Etch Lord 10.0% $2.27 Scavenger 10.0% $1.95 | $4.19 +71.7% | $2.53 +3.5% | 40.0% | +33.6% | $2.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 8.0% $7.55 Nevermore 8.0% $7.11 Flashback 8.0% $6.32 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 8.0% $3.42 | $7.55 +119.3% | $4.10 +19.1% | 48.0% | +42.4% | $3.44 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Flashback 12.0% $6.32 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 12.0% $3.42 | $7.55 +99.1% | $4.49 +18.4% | 52.0% | +41.7% | $3.79 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 6.0% $7.55 Nevermore 6.0% $7.11 Flashback 6.0% $6.02 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 6.0% $3.42 | $7.55 +128.7% | $3.88 +17.7% | 66.0% | +40.4% | $3.30 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Flashback 14.0% $6.02 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 14.0% $3.42 | $7.55 +90.5% | $4.64 +17.2% | 54.0% | +40.1% | $3.96 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 4.0% $7.55 Nevermore 4.0% $7.11 Flashback 4.0% $6.02 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 4.0% $3.42 | $7.55 +137.3% | $3.70 +16.2% | 64.0% | +37.4% | $3.18 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Nevermore 2.0% $4.07 Signal 2.0% $3.49 Flashback 2.0% $3.00 Etch Lord 18.0% $2.34 Scavenger 2.0% $1.95 | $4.19 +105.4% | $2.35 +15.1% | 42.0% | +41.3% | $2.04 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  30.0% $37.06 Mecha Industries  3.3% $27.53 Jawbreaker  30.0% $14.90 Olympus  30.0% $14.33 Momentum  3.3% $9.89 Phosphor  3.3% $9.63 | $37.06 +90.6% | $21.46 +10.4% | 33.3% | +54.3% | $19.44 | — |