The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wood Fired
1x $0.52
Black Sand
3x $0.52
Danger Close
1x $2.03
Slag
1x $0.38
Dezastre
1x $0.61
Light Box
1x $0.76
↓
Possible Outputs
Pipe Down
10.0% $14.98
Etch Lord
10.0% $13.06
Just Smile
10.0% $9.31
Block-18
10.0% $8.90
Hybrid
10.0% $7.89
Signal
10.0% $7.55
Max Win
$14.98 (+55.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$8.39 (-12.7%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+33.7%
Cost
$9.61
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $9.61
Ask Price EV $8.39 (-12.7%)
Bid Price EV $7.41 (-22.9%)
Ask Profit $-1.22 (-12.7%)
Bid Profit $-2.20 (-22.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.97 (+10.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.22
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.20
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $14.98 (+55.8%)
Worst Case $4.13 (-57.1%)
Volatility +33.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$4.41
Avg Loss -$2.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $4.13 (-57.1%)
Std Dev $3.24
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 153h 10m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wood Fired
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Black Sand
—
Factory New
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Factory New
$2.03 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.61 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Minimal Wear
$0.76 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Factory New
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Factory New
$1.51 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 19M 10S //TOTAL COST $9.61 //ASK PRICE EV $8.39 //BID PRICE EV $7.41 //ASK PROFIT $-1.22 (-12.7%) //BID PROFIT $-2.20 (-22.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $14.98 //VOLATILITY +33.7% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$14.98
+$5.37
+55.8%
$13.80
+$4.19
+43.6%
$1.17
7.8%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$13.06
+$3.45
+35.9%
$12.03
+$2.42
+25.2%
$1.03
7.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$9.31
-$0.30
-3.1%
$7.84
-$1.77
-18.4%
$1.47
15.8%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$8.90
-$0.71
-7.4%
$7.77
-$1.84
-19.1%
$1.13
12.7%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$7.89
-$1.72
-17.9%
$7.43
-$2.18
-22.7%
$0.46
5.8%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$7.55
-$2.06
-21.5%
$6.50
-$3.11
-32.4%
$1.05
13.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$7.11
-$2.50
-26.0%
$5.90
-$3.71
-38.6%
$1.21
17.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$6.05
-$3.56
-37.0%
$5.35
-$4.26
-44.3%
$0.70
11.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$4.90
-$4.72
-49.1%
$3.74
-$5.87
-61.1%
$1.15
23.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$4.13
-$5.48
-57.1%
$3.76
-$5.85
-60.9%
$0.37
8.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 7.8895,
"optimistic_value": 7.83,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 7.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:09.190119Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.04548050000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 4.895,
"optimistic_value": 4.79,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 3.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:32.863623Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.034985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 7.5455,
"optimistic_value": 7.5,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 6.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:31:26.184919Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.04701109375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 8.897,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 7.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:53.653469Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 13.056999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.35,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 12.03,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.589744Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.062973,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 14.975,
"optimistic_value": 14.52,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 13.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:30:18.926098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.06997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 9.314,
"optimistic_value": 9.23,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:05.365814Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.027988000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 7.1135,
"optimistic_value": 7.04,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 5.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T07:07:33.060154Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.0433016342,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 4.1265,
"optimistic_value": 4.06,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 3.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:48.352551Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.034985,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 6.0505,
"optimistic_value": 5.9,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 5.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:37:18.380357Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d39c4f4f7ff188963a5edb2d",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-3a61ea6e759f",
"listing_id": "510738989041247866",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wood Fired (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wood Fired",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3a61ea6e759f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:57.521175Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "492724643507540685",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:11.852939Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "520871291151398412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:11.852939Z"
},
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-d85d77873f80",
"listing_id": "497228137695857165",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85d77873f80.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:32:19.718885Z"
},
{
"price": 2.03,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "516367691487664286",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:32.961891Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:31:21.488956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.61,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "515241791654317225",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:08.841915Z"
},
{
"price": 0.76,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "622201718386433724",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:00.144854Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "514115891832272466",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:12.161981Z"
},
{
"price": 1.51,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "519746022669746780",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:22.203933Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Flashback 10.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.46 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 10.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +111.4% | $4.26 +19.4% | 50.0% | +42.4% | $3.57 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Nevermore 10.0% $4.07 Signal 10.0% $3.49 Flashback 10.0% $3.00 Etch Lord 10.0% $2.34 Scavenger 10.0% $1.95 | $4.19 +69.7% | $2.53 +2.6% | 40.0% | +33.0% | $2.47 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 6.0% $7.55 Nevermore 6.0% $7.11 Flashback 6.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 6.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +133.6% | $3.88 +20.1% | 66.0% | +41.4% | $3.23 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 8.0% $7.55 Nevermore 8.0% $7.11 Flashback 8.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.46 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 8.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +120.6% | $4.07 +19.0% | 48.0% | +42.1% | $3.42 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Flashback 12.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.46 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 12.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +100.7% | $4.45 +18.4% | 52.0% | +41.6% | $3.76 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.46 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 14.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +90.5% | $4.64 +17.2% | 54.0% | +40.2% | $3.96 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Block-18 16.0% $8.90 Signal 4.0% $7.55 Nevermore 4.0% $7.11 Flashback 4.0% $6.05 Scavenger 4.0% $4.90 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $8.90 +108.8% | $4.91 +15.4% | 48.0% | +41.3% | $4.26 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 2.0% $7.55 Nevermore 2.0% $7.11 Flashback 2.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 2.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +147.4% | $3.50 +14.9% | 62.0% | +32.2% | $3.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  26.7% $37.06 Mecha Industries  6.7% $27.53 Jawbreaker  26.7% $14.90 Olympus  26.7% $14.32 Momentum  6.7% $9.89 Phosphor  6.7% $9.63 | $37.06 +97.4% | $20.81 +10.9% | 33.3% | +55.9% | $18.77 | — |