The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Danger Close
3x $0.24
Modest Threat
2x $0.29
Hideout
1x $0.16
Motorized
1x $0.18
Light Box
2x $0.23
Dark Sigil
1x $0.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Block-18
10.0% $4.19
Nevermore
10.0% $4.07
Signal
10.0% $3.49
Flashback
10.0% $3.00
Etch Lord
10.0% $2.34
Scavenger
10.0% $1.95
Max Win
$4.19 (+69.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.53 (+2.6%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+41.6%
Cost
$2.47
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.47
Ask Price EV $2.53 (+2.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.28 (-7.5%)
Ask Profit $0.06 (+2.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.19 (-7.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.25 (+10.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.06
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.19
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $4.19 (+69.7%)
Worst Case $1.34 (-45.9%)
Volatility +41.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 30.0%
Avg Win +$1.22
Avg Loss -$0.71
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.34 (-45.9%)
Std Dev $1.03
Avg Norm Float 0.2210
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 154h 12m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Speculative Upside · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Danger Close
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Modest Threat
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 19M 39S //TOTAL COST $2.47 //ASK PRICE EV $2.53 //BID PRICE EV $2.28 //ASK PROFIT $0.06 (+2.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.19 (-7.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $4.19 //VOLATILITY +41.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.19
+$1.72
+69.7%
$3.88
+$1.41
+57.1%
$0.31
7.4%
—
BIG WIN
10.0%
$4.07
+$1.60
+64.9%
$3.42
+$0.95
+38.5%
$0.65
16.0%
—
WIN
10.0%
$3.49
+$1.02
+41.4%
$3.13
+$0.66
+26.7%
$0.36
10.4%
—
WIN
10.0%
$3.00
+$0.53
+21.6%
$2.79
+$0.32
+13.0%
$0.21
7.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$2.34
-$0.13
-5.1%
$2.08
-$0.39
-15.8%
$0.26
11.2%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.95
-$0.52
-20.9%
$1.67
-$0.80
-32.4%
$0.28
14.6%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.90
-$0.57
-22.9%
$1.85
-$0.62
-25.1%
$0.05
2.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$1.56
-$0.91
-36.8%
$1.43
-$1.04
-42.1%
$0.13
8.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.47
-$1.00
-40.5%
$1.39
-$1.08
-43.7%
$0.08
5.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.34
-$1.13
-45.9%
$1.20
-$1.27
-51.4%
$0.14
10.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-21|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.22099,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:04.785973Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1436435,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aa544d78f97f",
"realistic_value": 1.9545,
"optimistic_value": 1.93,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Scavenger",
"conservative_value": 1.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:26:00.073569Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aa544d78f97f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.110495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-21f65eaf09eb",
"realistic_value": 3.4935,
"optimistic_value": 3.42,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Signal",
"conservative_value": 3.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:30:19.682181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-21f65eaf09eb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.14847765625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.22099,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.3435,
"optimistic_value": 2.34,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:37:02.469385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.19889099999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bd6cfc7249e",
"realistic_value": 1.337,
"optimistic_value": 1.33,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Pipe Down",
"conservative_value": 1.2,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:32.817999Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bd6cfc7249e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.22099,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.088396,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0ba15d1b486",
"realistic_value": 4.0735,
"optimistic_value": 4.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Nevermore",
"conservative_value": 3.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:30:34.566282Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0ba15d1b486.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.13676187139999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.9044999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:32.054019Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.110495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9e44f13c59da",
"realistic_value": 3.003,
"optimistic_value": 2.87,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Flashback",
"conservative_value": 2.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Danger Zone Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:06:50.700773Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9e44f13c59da.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_d39c4f4f7ff188963a5edb2d",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527627540538524468",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:52.425811Z"
},
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "527626690814383256",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:52.425811Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-dd5985c30bd8",
"listing_id": "523123091077461898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Danger Close",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd5985c30bd8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:52.425811Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "525375522203968243",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:55.141088Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-53d8377fc006",
"listing_id": "751679596825183787",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-21",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Modest Threat",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-53d8377fc006.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:55.141088Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "503983642533474127",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:28:59.620511Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "512990841908688587",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:22.970937Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:53.878953Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505109489449485524",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:47.550108Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-21:5+collection-set-community-33:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 10.0% $7.55 Nevermore 10.0% $7.11 Flashback 10.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.46 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 10.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +111.4% | $4.26 +19.4% | 50.0% | +42.4% | $3.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 6.0% $7.55 Nevermore 6.0% $7.11 Flashback 6.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 6.0% $3.40 | $7.55 +133.6% | $3.88 +20.1% | 66.0% | +41.4% | $3.23 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 8.0% $7.55 Nevermore 8.0% $7.11 Flashback 8.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.46 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 8.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +120.6% | $4.07 +19.0% | 48.0% | +42.1% | $3.42 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 12.0% $7.55 Nevermore 12.0% $7.11 Flashback 12.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.46 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 12.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +100.7% | $4.45 +18.4% | 52.0% | +41.6% | $3.76 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 14.0% $7.55 Nevermore 14.0% $7.11 Flashback 14.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.46 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 14.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +90.5% | $4.64 +17.2% | 54.0% | +40.2% | $3.96 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Block-18 16.0% $8.90 Signal 4.0% $7.55 Nevermore 4.0% $7.11 Flashback 4.0% $6.05 Scavenger 4.0% $4.90 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 | $8.90 +108.8% | $4.91 +15.4% | 48.0% | +41.3% | $4.26 | — |
The Danger Zone Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Signal 2.0% $7.55 Nevermore 2.0% $7.11 Flashback 2.0% $6.05 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Pipe Down 2.0% $3.41 | $7.55 +147.4% | $3.50 +14.9% | 62.0% | +32.2% | $3.05 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Danger Zone Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  26.7% $37.06 Mecha Industries  6.7% $27.53 Jawbreaker  26.7% $14.90 Olympus  26.7% $14.32 Momentum  6.7% $9.89 Phosphor  6.7% $9.63 | $37.06 +97.4% | $20.81 +10.9% | 33.3% | +55.9% | $18.77 | — |