The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Fracture Collection ×2
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Distressed
7x $0.26
Desert Strike
1x $0.27
Freight
1x $0.15
Gnarled
1x $0.17
↓
Possible Outputs
Fever Dream
16.0% $8.04
Connexion
4.0% $2.23
Kitbash
4.0% $2.00
Acid Etched
16.0% $1.98
Apocalypto
16.0% $1.66
Darkwing
16.0% $1.65
Max Win
$8.04 (+160.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.67 (-13.6%)
Win %
16.0%
Volatility
+76.4%
Cost
$3.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.09
Ask Price EV $2.67 (-13.6%)
Bid Price EV $2.39 (-22.8%)
Ask Profit $-0.42 (-13.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.70 (-22.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.28 (+9.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.42
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.70
Risk
Win Probability 16.0%
Loss Probability 84.0%
Best Case $8.04 (+160.1%)
Worst Case $0.96 (-69.0%)
Volatility +76.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 84.0%
Avg Win +$4.95
Avg Loss -$1.44
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.02 (-67.0%)
Std Dev $2.36
Avg Norm Float 0.1809
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 153h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Desert Strike
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Field-Tested
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.51 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Distressed
—
Minimal Wear
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Freight
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Gnarled
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 50M 59S //TOTAL COST $3.09 //ASK PRICE EV $2.67 //BID PRICE EV $2.39 //ASK PROFIT $-0.42 (-13.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.70 (-22.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 16.0% //BEST CASE $8.04 //VOLATILITY +76.4% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$8.04
+$4.95
+160.1%
$7.38
+$4.29
+138.8%
$0.66
8.2%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$2.23
-$0.86
-27.8%
$1.95
-$1.14
-36.9%
$0.28
12.6%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$2.00
-$1.09
-35.3%
$1.62
-$1.47
-47.6%
$0.38
19.0%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$1.98
-$1.11
-36.0%
$1.76
-$1.33
-43.0%
$0.22
11.0%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.66
-$1.43
-46.4%
$1.39
-$1.70
-55.0%
$0.27
16.1%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.65
-$1.44
-46.7%
$1.46
-$1.63
-52.8%
$0.19
11.4%
—
NUKE
16.0%
$1.53
-$1.56
-50.6%
$1.35
-$1.74
-56.3%
$0.18
11.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.11
-$1.98
-64.2%
$0.95
-$2.14
-69.3%
$0.16
14.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.02
-$2.07
-67.0%
$0.89
-$2.20
-71.2%
$0.13
12.8%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$0.96
-$2.13
-69.0%
$0.88
-$2.21
-71.5%
$0.08
8.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-25|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-26|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-26"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-dd7837484577",
"realistic_value": 1.9769999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.97,
"output_full_name": "P2000 | Acid Etched",
"conservative_value": 1.76,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:26.613826Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-dd7837484577.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803029f01b68",
"realistic_value": 1.528,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Enforcer",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:17.955133Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803029f01b68.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d00c49e52bd9",
"realistic_value": 1.6485,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Darkwing",
"conservative_value": 1.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:27.376754Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d00c49e52bd9.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.130248,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e5f08d307bdd",
"realistic_value": 8.0375,
"optimistic_value": 7.53,
"output_full_name": "SSG 08 | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 7.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:39.583432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e5f08d307bdd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-db4ae843fbd7",
"realistic_value": 1.6575,
"optimistic_value": 1.64,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Apocalypto",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Prisma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Apocalypto (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T13:01:11.935890Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-db4ae843fbd7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14472000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-736275bed39d",
"realistic_value": 2.2305,
"optimistic_value": 2.22,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Connexion",
"conservative_value": 1.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fracture Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Connexion (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T10:58:17.794467Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-736275bed39d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c16825526581",
"realistic_value": 0.957,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Allure",
"conservative_value": 0.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fracture Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Allure (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:39:21.382674Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c16825526581.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0fd1ba0e61e0",
"realistic_value": 1.107,
"optimistic_value": 1.1,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Monster Call",
"conservative_value": 0.95,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fracture Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Monster Call (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T18:26:14.119971Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0fd1ba0e61e0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.14472000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-527de8ce168e",
"realistic_value": 2,
"optimistic_value": 2,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Kitbash",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fracture Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Kitbash (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:04.108283Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-527de8ce168e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.1809,
"output_skin_id": "skin-609ca5fc7896",
"realistic_value": 1.0205,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Brother",
"conservative_value": 0.89,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fracture Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Brother (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T03:21:05.901970Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-609ca5fc7896.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c9ed2e8439759d6cde4169dd",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "516368541588637910",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-d536309c3714",
"listing_id": "520872088107230916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Desert Strike",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d536309c3714.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:36:49.787997Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "493850438107893880",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "496101493276070891",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "523123091047708294",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "501730992868715561",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:19.569288Z"
},
{
"price": 0.51,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "518620122757916680",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-9a5ab653ba62",
"listing_id": "490472625092404815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-25",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Distressed (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Distressed",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a5ab653ba62.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:34:07.332163Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-7e9cf6e60b9f",
"listing_id": "528753440605129473",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Freight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7e9cf6e60b9f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:18:18.714057Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-d45805538999",
"listing_id": "507361123691914033",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-26",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P2000 | Gnarled (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Gnarled",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d45805538999.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:23:43.903496Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-25:8+collection-set-community-26:2"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Fracture Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 16.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 16.0% $4.36 Darkwing 16.0% $3.82 Enforcer 16.0% $3.25 Monster Call 4.0% $2.47 | $8.04 +113.2% | $4.46 +18.2% | 64.0% | +43.6% | $3.77 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×8+The Fracture Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 16.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 16.0% $17.96 Darkwing 16.0% $13.75 Brother 4.0% $11.85 Apocalypto 16.0% $11.36 Enforcer 16.0% $11.21 | $18.94 +57.3% | $13.28 +10.3% | 48.0% | +26.3% | $12.04 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×4+The Fracture Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 8.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 8.0% $17.96 Darkwing 8.0% $13.75 Brother 12.0% $11.85 Enforcer 8.0% $11.37 Apocalypto 8.0% $11.36 | $18.94 +118.7% | $10.56 +22.0% | 52.0% | +38.5% | $8.66 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×6+The Fracture Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 12.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 12.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 12.0% $4.36 Darkwing 12.0% $3.79 Enforcer 12.0% $3.25 Monster Call 8.0% $2.47 | $8.04 +146.5% | $3.91 +19.8% | 48.0% | +49.6% | $3.26 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×7+The Fracture Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 14.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 14.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 14.0% $4.36 Darkwing 14.0% $3.82 Enforcer 14.0% $3.25 Monster Call 6.0% $2.47 | $8.04 +129.6% | $4.18 +19.5% | 56.0% | +46.6% | $3.50 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×5+The Fracture Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Fever Dream 10.0% $8.04 Acid Etched 10.0% $5.54 Apocalypto 10.0% $4.36 Darkwing 10.0% $3.79 Enforcer 10.0% $3.25 Monster Call 10.0% $2.47 | $8.04 +163.5% | $3.63 +19.1% | 50.0% | +51.9% | $3.05 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×3+The Fracture Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 6.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 6.0% $17.96 Darkwing 6.0% $13.75 Brother 14.0% $11.85 Enforcer 6.0% $11.37 Apocalypto 6.0% $11.36 | $18.94 +127.9% | $9.88 +18.9% | 44.0% | +39.1% | $8.31 | — |
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Fracture Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Fever Dream 4.0% $18.94 Acid Etched 4.0% $17.96 Darkwing 4.0% $13.75 Brother 16.0% $11.85 Enforcer 4.0% $11.37 Apocalypto 4.0% $11.36 | $18.94 +134.7% | $9.19 +13.9% | 52.0% | +37.6% | $8.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Prisma 2 Collection ×2+The Fracture Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Phantom Disruptor  6.7% $30.48 Tooth Fairy  26.7% $19.65 Vogue  26.7% $16.88 Disco Tech  6.7% $13.93 Justice  6.7% $10.29 Entombed  26.7% $9.36 | $30.48 +109.9% | $15.88 +9.4% | 60.0% | +38.9% | $14.52 | — |