The Fever Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Sure Grip
1x $0.14
Memorial
3x $0.14
Gold Leaf
2x $0.18
Copperflage
3x $0.40
Poplar Thicket
1x $0.49
↓
Possible Outputs
Sheet Lightning
30.0% $5.33
Glockingbird
30.0% $3.82
Serpent Strike
8.0% $1.51
Tosai
8.0% $1.31
Rising Sun
8.0% $0.79
Control
8.0% $0.77
Max Win
$5.33 (+96.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$3.15 (+16.4%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+68.1%
Cost
$2.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.71
Ask Price EV $3.15 (+16.4%)
Bid Price EV $2.88 (+6.3%)
Ask Profit $0.44 (+16.4%)
Bid Profit $0.17 (+6.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.27 (+10.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.44
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.17
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $5.33 (+96.6%)
Worst Case $0.75 (-72.2%)
Volatility +68.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.86
Avg Loss -$1.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.75 (-72.2%)
Std Dev $1.84
Avg Norm Float 0.1999
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 56h 47m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P2000 | Sure Grip
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Field-Tested
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Memorial
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Gold Leaf
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Copperflage
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 42S //TOTAL COST $2.71 //ASK PRICE EV $3.15 //BID PRICE EV $2.88 //ASK PROFIT $0.44 (+16.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.17 (+6.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $5.33 //VOLATILITY +68.1% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$5.33
+$2.62
+96.6%
$5.07
+$2.36
+87.1%
$0.26
4.9%
—
WIN
30.0%
$3.82
+$1.11
+40.9%
$3.31
+$0.60
+22.1%
$0.51
13.3%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.51
-$1.20
-44.3%
$1.32
-$1.39
-51.3%
$0.19
12.6%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.31
-$1.40
-51.8%
$1.19
-$1.52
-56.1%
$0.12
9.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.79
-$1.92
-70.8%
$0.72
-$1.99
-73.4%
$0.07
8.9%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.77
-$1.94
-71.6%
$0.66
-$2.05
-75.6%
$0.11
14.3%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.75
-$1.96
-72.2%
$0.69
-$2.02
-74.5%
$0.06
8.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-35|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.13395980000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a242e44f6b",
"realistic_value": 3.818,
"optimistic_value": 3.79,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:31:09.454842Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a242e44f6b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.149955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-25e2a5c0a7df",
"realistic_value": 5.3285,
"optimistic_value": 5.29,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning",
"conservative_value": 5.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Sheet Lightning (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:25:56.030342Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25e2a5c0a7df.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11396579999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4515a7cdcc74",
"realistic_value": 1.5105,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike",
"conservative_value": 1.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:37.924168Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4515a7cdcc74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1597510603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f2567cfebfb7",
"realistic_value": 0.77,
"optimistic_value": 0.77,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Control",
"conservative_value": 0.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Control (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T06:54:02.871108Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f2567cfebfb7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-aef077455139",
"realistic_value": 0.7905,
"optimistic_value": 0.78,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Rising Sun",
"conservative_value": 0.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Rising Sun (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:22:23.659961Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-aef077455139.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.19005276706,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ff75c4a68dbd",
"realistic_value": 0.7535,
"optimistic_value": 0.75,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Wave Breaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:35.250500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ff75c4a68dbd.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.139958,
"output_skin_id": "skin-27a11235665e",
"realistic_value": 1.307,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai",
"conservative_value": 1.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Fever Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Tosai (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:03.484567Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-27a11235665e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_c71777572c9b429784062812",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-8bda61ff439a",
"listing_id": "507361289453186113",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Sure Grip (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P2000 | Sure Grip",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8bda61ff439a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:34:26.507118Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "506235442367819664",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:26:19.510809Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "494976224705404374",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:26:19.510809Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-a8cc985f8710",
"listing_id": "499479937453450165",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-35",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Memorial (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Memorial",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a8cc985f8710.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:26:19.510809Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "491598638253896138",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:59.413833Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"listing_id": "514116523133772618",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:29:59.413833Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "492724643508279261",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.415338Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "507361342334648329",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.415338Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"listing_id": "512990789045074739",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:20:41.415338Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"listing_id": "519746241189549500",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:18:12.522339Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-35:4+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Sheet Lightning 30.0% $16.97 Glockingbird 30.0% $11.77 Tosai 8.0% $4.26 Serpent Strike 8.0% $4.23 Rising Sun 8.0% $1.82 Control 8.0% $1.67 | $16.97 +80.3% | $9.71 +3.2% | 60.0% | +60.1% | $9.41 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 35.0% $5.33 Glockingbird 35.0% $3.82 Serpent Strike 6.0% $1.51 Tosai 6.0% $1.31 Rising Sun 6.0% $0.79 Control 6.0% $0.77 | $5.33 +76.4% | $3.51 +16.2% | 70.0% | +53.6% | $3.02 | — |
The Fever Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Sheet Lightning 25.0% $5.28 Glockingbird 25.0% $3.82 Serpent Strike 10.0% $1.51 Tosai 10.0% $1.31 Rising Sun 10.0% $0.79 Control 10.0% $0.77 | $5.28 +116.5% | $2.79 +14.3% | 50.0% | +71.1% | $2.44 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Fever Collection ×6+The Boreal Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Green Energy  40.0% $36.26 Shinobu  20.0% $7.54 Searing Rage  20.0% $7.47 K.O. Factory  20.0% $6.93 | $36.26 +128.3% | $18.89 +19.0% | 40.0% | +89.3% | $15.88 | — |