The Clutch Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5

Mil-Spec Grade Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Night Riot
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
2x $0.26
Black Sand
MP9 | Black Sand
1x $0.30
Oxide Blaze
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
1x $0.31
Grip
R8 Revolver | Grip
1x $0.31
Earth Mandala
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
3x $0.52
Warm Blooded
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
2x $0.63
Possible Outputs
Exothermic
AWP | Exothermic
25.0% $13.81
Sleeping Potion
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
25.0% $11.82
Moonrise
Glock-18 | Moonrise
10.0% $2.25
Lionfish
Negev | Lionfish
10.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
MAG-7 | SWAG-7
10.0% $0.79
Wild Six
Nova | Wild Six
10.0% $0.73
Max Win
$13.81 (+160.5%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.98 (+31.7%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+111.2%
Cost
$5.30
Age
Financials
Total Cost $5.30
Ask Price EV $6.98 (+31.7%)
Bid Price EV $5.95 (+12.2%)
Ask Profit $1.68 (+31.7%)
Bid Profit $0.65 (+12.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.03 (+19.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.68
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.65
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $13.81 (+160.5%)
Worst Case $0.67 (-87.4%)
Volatility +111.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$7.51
Avg Loss -$4.15
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.67 (-87.4%)
Std Dev $5.89
Avg Norm Float 0.2142
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 148h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
Field-Tested
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
Minimal Wear
PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
Minimal Wear
MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze
Minimal Wear
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Grip
Minimal Wear
R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
Field-Tested
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
Field-Tested
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
Field-Tested
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
Field-Tested
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)
$1.05 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
Minimal Wear
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear)
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 41M 53S //TOTAL COST $5.30 //ASK PRICE EV $6.98 //BID PRICE EV $5.95 //ASK PROFIT $1.68 (+31.7%) //BID PROFIT $0.65 (+12.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $13.81 //VOLATILITY +111.2% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
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Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
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Raw payload (JSON)
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
      "item_count": 5,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.25,
      "output_float": 0.149926,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d384f428d432",
      "realistic_value": 13.807,
      "optimistic_value": 13.8,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Exothermic",
      "conservative_value": 12.05,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "AWP | Exothermic (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:25.996167Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d384f428d432.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.25,
      "output_float": 0.149926,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a060f0657eb4",
      "realistic_value": 11.8215,
      "optimistic_value": 11.79,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion",
      "conservative_value": 9.69,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:34.430115Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a060f0657eb4.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.139217,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
      "realistic_value": 2.247,
      "optimistic_value": 2.24,
      "output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
      "conservative_value": 2.09,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:43:45.069175Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.19704560000000002,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
      "realistic_value": 0.791,
      "optimistic_value": 0.77,
      "output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
      "conservative_value": 0.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:08:49.235824Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.11779900000000001,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
      "realistic_value": 1.287,
      "optimistic_value": 1.28,
      "output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
      "conservative_value": 1.04,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T10:40:25.221598Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.17134400000000002,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
      "realistic_value": 0.7334999999999999,
      "optimistic_value": 0.73,
      "output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
      "conservative_value": 0.64,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:50:24.783065Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.1,
      "output_float": 0.17134400000000002,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
      "realistic_value": 0.6675,
      "optimistic_value": 0.65,
      "output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
      "conservative_value": 0.64,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:55:43.701047Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_b515eb65cd8ca06d4d51dd1a",
  "input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 0.26,
      "skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
      "listing_id": "502857689863237120",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:48.588923Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.28,
      "skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
      "listing_id": "518620122756030208",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:54:53.265306Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
      "listing_id": "527627487624397292",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:11:29.335325Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-ae8080ca847c",
      "listing_id": "520871291152034712",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "XM1014 | Oxide Blaze",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ae8080ca847c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:22.488170Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-a70d55eb979d",
      "listing_id": "523123888073084050",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
      "market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "R8 Revolver | Grip",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a70d55eb979d.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:05:59.015823Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
      "listing_id": "499479937455022969",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:40.551335Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.57,
      "skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
      "listing_id": "511864723318275141",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T08:57:40.551335Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 0.63,
      "skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
      "listing_id": "525375688037712895",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:28.067611Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.05,
      "skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
      "listing_id": "494975741590866474",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:00:28.067611Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.07,
      "skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
      "listing_id": "511864941881352993",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
      "market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Minimal Wear)",
      "name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
      "wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T09:03:04.382534Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Restricted",
  "stattrak_mode": false,
  "composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-19:5+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:5"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested
Exothermic
AWP | Exothermic
30.0% $13.81
Sleeping Potion
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
30.0% $11.82
Moonrise
Glock-18 | Moonrise
8.0% $2.25
Lionfish
Negev | Lionfish
8.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
MAG-7 | SWAG-7
8.0% $0.79
Wild Six
Nova | Wild Six
8.0% $0.73
$13.81
+123.8%
$8.15
+32.0%
60.0%+87.2%$6.17
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Harlequin Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested
Exothermic
AWP | Exothermic
20.0% $13.81
Sleeping Potion
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
20.0% $11.82
Moonrise
Glock-18 | Moonrise
12.0% $2.25
Lionfish
Negev | Lionfish
12.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
MAG-7 | SWAG-7
12.0% $0.77
Wild Six
Nova | Wild Six
12.0% $0.73
$13.81
+206.1%
$5.81
+28.8%
40.0%+121.7%$4.51
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested
Exothermic
AWP | Exothermic
35.0% $13.54
Sleeping Potion
USP-S | Sleeping Potion
35.0% $11.82
Moonrise
Glock-18 | Moonrise
6.0% $2.25
Lionfish
Negev | Lionfish
6.0% $1.29
SWAG-7
MAG-7 | SWAG-7
6.0% $0.80
Arctic Wolf
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf
6.0% $0.73
$13.54
+82.4%
$9.22
+24.3%
70.0%+66.2%$7.42
FS

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