The Breakout Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Labyrinth
1x $0.53
Ivory
2x $0.74
Aeolian Light
2x $0.35
The Daily Deagle
2x $0.43
Grip Tape
3x $0.72
↓
Possible Outputs
Breakthrough
35.0% $12.05
Koi
7.5% $5.00
Trace Lock
35.0% $4.90
Supernova
7.5% $3.48
Tigris
7.5% $3.37
Osiris
7.5% $3.14
Max Win
$12.05 (+90.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$7.06 (+11.5%)
Win %
35.0%
Volatility
+58.7%
Cost
$6.33
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $6.33
Ask Price EV $7.06 (+11.5%)
Bid Price EV $6.15 (-2.8%)
Ask Profit $0.73 (+11.5%)
Bid Profit $-0.18 (-2.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.90 (+14.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.73
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.18
Risk
Win Probability 35.0%
Loss Probability 65.0%
Best Case $12.05 (+90.3%)
Worst Case $3.14 (-50.4%)
Volatility +58.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 22.5%
Avg Win +$5.72
Avg Loss -$1.96
Bottom 5% Outcome $3.14 (-50.4%)
Std Dev $3.71
Avg Norm Float 0.1997
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 16m
Oldest Output Price 137h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Labyrinth
—
Minimal Wear
$0.53 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Ivory
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Ivory
—
Minimal Wear
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Field-Tested
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Aeolian Light
—
Minimal Wear
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.73 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Grip Tape
—
Minimal Wear
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 41M 46S //TOTAL COST $6.33 //ASK PRICE EV $7.06 //BID PRICE EV $6.15 //ASK PROFIT $0.73 (+11.5%) //BID PROFIT $-0.18 (-2.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 35.0% //BEST CASE $12.05 //VOLATILITY +58.7% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
35.0%
$12.05
+$5.72
+90.3%
$10.32
+$3.99
+63.0%
$1.73
14.3%
—
LOSS
7.5%
$5.00
-$1.33
-21.1%
$4.92
-$1.41
-22.3%
$0.08
1.5%
—
LOSS
35.0%
$4.90
-$1.43
-22.6%
$4.28
-$2.05
-32.4%
$0.62
12.7%
—
NUKE
7.5%
$3.48
-$2.85
-45.0%
$3.31
-$3.02
-47.7%
$0.17
5.0%
—
NUKE
7.5%
$3.37
-$2.96
-46.7%
$2.73
-$3.60
-56.9%
$0.64
19.0%
—
NUKE
7.5%
$3.14
-$3.19
-50.4%
$2.96
-$3.37
-53.2%
$0.18
5.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-4|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-4"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.1497675,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a92d1a70ebc1",
"realistic_value": 12.049,
"optimistic_value": 11.93,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough",
"conservative_value": 10.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Breakthrough (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:40:28.312731Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a92d1a70ebc1.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.35,
"output_float": 0.139783,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb900056828",
"realistic_value": 4.9025,
"optimistic_value": 4.85,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock",
"conservative_value": 4.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Achroma Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:31.467096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb900056828.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.19969,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c80f871a746d",
"realistic_value": 3.371,
"optimistic_value": 3.35,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tigris",
"conservative_value": 2.73,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Breakout Collection",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Tigris (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T20:31:36.900602Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c80f871a746d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.059907,
"output_skin_id": "skin-b029cb49c14f",
"realistic_value": 4.996,
"optimistic_value": 4.94,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Koi",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Breakout Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Koi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:03.413256Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-b029cb49c14f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.079876,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bf19fabb24ef",
"realistic_value": 3.484,
"optimistic_value": 3.47,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Supernova",
"conservative_value": 3.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Breakout Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Supernova (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T20:23:20.432180Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bf19fabb24ef.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.099845,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5e748c63e9a7",
"realistic_value": 3.14,
"optimistic_value": 3.14,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Osiris",
"conservative_value": 2.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Breakout Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:43:16.916597Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5e748c63e9a7.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_aeec055b3c0b80d3dbb53ede",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.53,
"skin_id": "skin-4446c57d24ed",
"listing_id": "523123940968836898",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Labyrinth",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4446c57d24ed.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:44.169745Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-70f8ab3bec6b",
"listing_id": "497228243055749861",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Ivory",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-70f8ab3bec6b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:24.069686Z"
},
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-70f8ab3bec6b",
"listing_id": "526501422105413309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-4",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Ivory",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-70f8ab3bec6b.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:07:24.069686Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "501731842662168941",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:56.494437Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "523123940969688190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:05:12.586936Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-442d3266f2ac",
"listing_id": "494976224705666562",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Desert Eagle | The Daily Deagle",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-442d3266f2ac.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:05:12.586936Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-59aaabe308c8",
"listing_id": "502857742727258344",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Aeolian Light",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-59aaabe308c8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:48.102188Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "497228243055167129",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:36.971465Z"
},
{
"price": 0.73,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "511864941882097833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:36.971465Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-a5639c9731c1",
"listing_id": "524249840859550539",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-achroma",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Grip Tape (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Grip Tape",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5639c9731c1.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:04:36.971465Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-4:3+collection-set-timed-drops-achroma:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Breakout Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Breakthrough 35.0% $26.93 Trace Lock 35.0% $14.00 Supernova 7.5% $7.09 Osiris 7.5% $6.85 Koi 7.5% $5.00 Tigris 7.5% $3.71 | $26.93 +79.2% | $16.02 +6.6% | 35.0% | +57.9% | $15.03 | — |
The Breakout Collection ×3+The Achroma Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 35.0% $5.61 Osiris 7.5% $3.32 Tigris 7.5% $3.32 Koi 7.5% $3.31 Supernova 7.5% $3.27 Trace Lock 35.0% $2.31 | $5.61 +54.6% | $3.77 +3.7% | 35.0% | +38.9% | $3.63 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Breakout Collection ×1+The Achroma Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 45.0% $12.05 Koi 2.5% $5.23 Trace Lock 45.0% $4.93 Supernova 2.5% $3.48 Tigris 2.5% $3.37 Osiris 2.5% $3.09 | $12.05 +88.9% | $8.02 +25.7% | 45.0% | +57.5% | $6.38 | — |
The Breakout Collection ×2+The Achroma Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Breakthrough 40.0% $12.05 Koi 5.0% $5.23 Trace Lock 40.0% $4.93 Supernova 5.0% $3.48 Tigris 5.0% $3.37 Osiris 5.0% $3.09 | $12.05 +95.3% | $7.55 +22.4% | 40.0% | +60.2% | $6.17 | — |
The Breakout Collection ×4+The Achroma Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Breakthrough 30.0% $6.12 Koi 10.0% $3.35 Osiris 10.0% $3.32 Tigris 10.0% $3.32 Supernova 10.0% $3.27 Trace Lock 30.0% $2.23 | $6.12 +73.8% | $3.83 +8.8% | 30.0% | +44.4% | $3.52 | — |