The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Dark Sigil
1x $0.28
Motorized
2x $0.28
Hideout
1x $0.31
Dezastre
1x $0.32
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
Teal Graf
2x $0.69
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.72
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.46
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.50
Etch Lord
10.0% $1.69
Just Smile
10.0% $1.62
Hybrid
10.0% $1.54
Max Win
$10.72 (+113.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.68 (+13.0%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+85.0%
Cost
$5.03
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.03
Ask Price EV $5.68 (+13.0%)
Bid Price EV $5.54 (+10.1%)
Ask Profit $0.65 (+13.0%)
Bid Profit $0.51 (+10.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.15 (+2.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.65
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.51
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.72 (+113.2%)
Worst Case $1.06 (-78.8%)
Volatility +85.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$4.86
Avg Loss -$3.56
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.06 (-78.8%)
Std Dev $4.27
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 24m
Oldest Output Price 2h 35m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.69 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 16M 22S //TOTAL COST $5.03 //ASK PRICE EV $5.68 //BID PRICE EV $5.54 //ASK PROFIT $0.65 (+13.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.51 (+10.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.72 //VOLATILITY +85.0% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.72
+$5.69
+113.2%
$10.49
+$5.46
+108.5%
$0.23
2.2%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.122836
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.46
+$5.43
+108.0%
$10.35
+$5.32
+105.8%
$0.11
1.1%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.50
+$3.47
+68.9%
$8.23
+$3.20
+63.6%
$0.27
3.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.69
-$3.34
-66.5%
$1.54
-$3.49
-69.4%
$0.15
8.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.62
-$3.41
-67.9%
$1.58
-$3.45
-68.6%
$0.04
2.3%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$1.54
-$3.49
-69.4%
$1.51
-$3.52
-70.0%
$0.03
1.9%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.43
-$3.60
-71.5%
$1.30
-$3.73
-74.2%
$0.13
9.2%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.06
-$3.97
-78.8%
$0.98
-$4.05
-80.5%
$0.08
7.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.12733,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.724499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 10.7,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:15:11.503624Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.12283599999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.463500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 10.46,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:15:09.037308Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.11234999999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.497,
"optimistic_value": 8.28,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:32.374061Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1498,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.54,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:54.277742Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.100646875,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 1.4315,
"optimistic_value": 1.4,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:24.968343Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1498,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 1.6875,
"optimistic_value": 1.67,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 1.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:07.643002Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1498,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.617,
"optimistic_value": 1.61,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:45:22.813665Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.09270522799999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.0645,
"optimistic_value": 1.04,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 0.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:07:50.890172Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a905ad20b942800acb04d17b",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "503983537176494011",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:07.343672Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "496102237884868559",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:58.847342Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "509613089303862039",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:08:02.807854Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "652601015910276048",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:29.083373Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "493850490549237988",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:16:58.847342Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:11:17.829941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:11:17.829941Z"
},
{
"price": 0.69,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "498354089953419979",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:52.689426Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:05:52.689426Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "596305411430770513",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:56:24.836819Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-33:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.46 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.50 Block-18 10.0% $1.43 Analog Input 10.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 10.0% $0.80 | $10.72 +159.0% | $5.43 +31.1% | 50.0% | +97.0% | $4.14 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.46 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.50 Block-18 8.0% $1.48 Analog Input 8.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 8.0% $0.80 | $10.72 +122.0% | $6.32 +30.9% | 60.0% | +79.6% | $4.83 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.46 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.50 Block-18 12.0% $1.43 Analog Input 12.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 12.0% $0.80 | $10.72 +207.3% | $4.53 +29.9% | 40.0% | +115.2% | $3.49 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.46 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.50 Block-18 6.0% $1.48 Analog Input 6.0% $1.06 Etch Lord 6.0% $0.80 | $10.72 +90.2% | $7.22 +27.9% | 70.0% | +62.5% | $5.64 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.46 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.50 Block-18 14.0% $1.43 Analog Input 14.0% $1.13 Etch Lord 14.0% $0.77 | $10.72 +266.0% | $3.64 +24.3% | 30.0% | +131.1% | $2.93 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.46 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.50 Block-18 16.0% $1.43 Analog Input 16.0% $1.13 Etch Lord 16.0% $0.77 | $10.72 +336.0% | $2.75 +11.8% | 20.0% | +139.3% | $2.46 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $76.65 Black Lotus  26.7% $12.65 Jawbreaker  26.7% $10.85 Olympus  26.7% $7.60 | $103.76 +352.9% | $26.33 +14.9% | 20.0% | +142.1% | $22.91 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Inheritance  25.0% $222.60 Chrome Cannon  25.0% $60.71 | $1,312.69 +120.9% | $727.17 +22.3% | 50.0% | +99.0% | $594.37 | — |