The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Slag
1x $0.26
Motorized
2x $0.27
Dezastre
1x $0.30
Hideout
1x $0.31
Teal Graf
2x $0.40
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
16.7% $10.77
Sweet Little Angels
16.7% $10.44
Monster Melt
16.7% $8.68
Block-18
10.0% $1.49
Analog Input
10.0% $1.01
Etch Lord
10.0% $0.75
Max Win
$10.77 (+157.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.45 (+30.4%)
Win %
50.0%
Volatility
+109.1%
Cost
$4.18
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.18
Ask Price EV $5.45 (+30.4%)
Bid Price EV $5.29 (+26.4%)
Ask Profit $1.27 (+30.4%)
Bid Profit $1.11 (+26.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.17 (+4.0%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.27
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.11
Risk
Win Probability 50.0%
Loss Probability 50.0%
Best Case $10.77 (+157.7%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-82.8%)
Volatility +109.1%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 50.0%
Avg Win +$5.78
Avg Loss -$3.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-82.8%)
Std Dev $4.56
Avg Norm Float 0.1761
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.26 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Dezastre
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 29S //TOTAL COST $4.18 //ASK PRICE EV $5.45 //BID PRICE EV $5.29 //ASK PROFIT $1.27 (+30.4%) //BID PROFIT $1.11 (+26.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 50.0% //BEST CASE $10.77 //VOLATILITY +109.1% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$10.77
+$6.59
+157.7%
$10.49
+$6.31
+151.0%
$0.28
2.6%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1444266
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
16.7%
$10.44
+$6.26
+149.7%
$10.35
+$6.17
+147.6%
$0.09
0.8%
—
BIG WIN
16.7%
$8.68
+$4.50
+107.7%
$8.25
+$4.07
+97.4%
$0.43
5.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.49
-$2.69
-64.3%
$1.30
-$2.88
-68.9%
$0.19
13.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.01
-$3.17
-75.7%
$0.98
-$3.20
-76.6%
$0.03
3.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.75
-$3.43
-82.2%
$0.69
-$3.49
-83.5%
$0.06
7.4%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.74
-$3.44
-82.2%
$0.71
-$3.47
-83.0%
$0.03
4.5%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.72
-$3.46
-82.8%
$0.69
-$3.49
-83.5%
$0.03
3.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1497105,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.77,
"optimistic_value": 10.77,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:41.402512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1444266,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.4375,
"optimistic_value": 10.42,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:45.777380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1320975,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.6815,
"optimistic_value": 8.51,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:57.844680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17613,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 0.7434999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.74,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 0.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:50:15.074465Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.11833734375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 1.4935,
"optimistic_value": 1.49,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 1.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:10.876824Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17613,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 0.745,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:57:09.609690Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.17613,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 0.717,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 0.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:38.881294Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1089998118,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 1.014,
"optimistic_value": 1,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 0.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:20.085270Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a905ad20b942800acb04d17b",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.26,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "523123888072362214",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:10.184895Z"
},
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "529879287551379888",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:53.345054Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-c176fd51f6b9",
"listing_id": "528752590504674357",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Dezastre",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c176fd51f6b9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:10:36.950366Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "509613089303862039",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:19:50.537414Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "493850490549237988",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:53.345054Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "503983589619426907",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:37.542737Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "648097416147785180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:39.539301Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:54.773492Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-33:5+collection-set-overpass-2024:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.44 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.68 Etch Lord 10.0% $1.67 Just Smile 10.0% $1.62 Hybrid 10.0% $1.54 | $10.77 +109.1% | $5.71 +11.0% | 50.0% | +73.9% | $5.15 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Monster Melt 16.7% $4.09 Eye of Zapems 16.7% $4.08 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $4.05 Block-18 10.0% $0.77 Etch Lord 10.0% $0.73 Hybrid 10.0% $0.66 | $4.09 +74.1% | $2.38 +1.2% | 50.0% | +64.0% | $2.35 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.44 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.68 Block-18 12.0% $1.49 Analog Input 12.0% $1.01 Etch Lord 12.0% $0.75 | $10.77 +206.8% | $4.55 +29.7% | 40.0% | +115.4% | $3.51 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.44 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.68 Block-18 8.0% $1.48 Analog Input 8.0% $1.01 Etch Lord 8.0% $0.75 | $10.77 +118.0% | $6.35 +28.6% | 60.0% | +78.5% | $4.94 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.44 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.68 Block-18 6.0% $1.48 Analog Input 6.0% $1.01 Etch Lord 6.0% $0.75 | $10.77 +87.0% | $7.26 +26.0% | 70.0% | +61.6% | $5.76 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.16 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.50 Block-18 14.0% $1.49 Analog Input 14.0% $1.04 Etch Lord 14.0% $0.81 | $10.72 +264.8% | $3.61 +22.9% | 30.0% | +129.0% | $2.94 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.16 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.50 Block-18 16.0% $1.49 Analog Input 16.0% $1.04 Etch Lord 16.0% $0.81 | $10.72 +337.7% | $2.73 +11.4% | 20.0% | +138.1% | $2.45 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $77.71 Black Lotus  26.7% $12.65 Jawbreaker  26.7% $10.83 Olympus  26.7% $7.49 | $103.76 +351.9% | $26.40 +15.0% | 20.0% | +142.6% | $22.96 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Inheritance  25.0% $222.60 Chrome Cannon  25.0% $60.71 | $1,312.69 +120.9% | $727.17 +22.3% | 50.0% | +99.0% | $594.37 | — |