The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Last Dive
2x $3.77
Amberline
7x $1.91
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $45.29
Decimator
6.7% $43.43
Fever Dream
6.7% $34.78
Xiangliu
6.7% $29.79
Deathgaze
26.7% $10.08
Kintsugi
26.7% $7.96
Max Win
$45.29 (+66.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$24.09 (-11.3%)
Win %
46.7%
Volatility
+61.2%
Cost
$27.17
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $27.17
Ask Price EV $24.09 (-11.3%)
Bid Price EV $22.17 (-18.4%)
Ask Profit $-3.08 (-11.3%)
Bid Profit $-5.00 (-18.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.92 (+7.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$3.08
Bid Slippage Buffer -$5.00
Risk
Win Probability 46.7%
Loss Probability 53.3%
Best Case $45.29 (+66.7%)
Worst Case $7.96 (-70.7%)
Volatility +61.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 53.3%
Avg Win +$14.14
Avg Loss -$18.15
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-70.7%)
Std Dev $16.62
Avg Norm Float 0.4422
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 143h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Last Dive
—
Field-Tested
$3.77 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Last Dive
—
Field-Tested
$3.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 36S //TOTAL COST $27.17 //ASK PRICE EV $24.09 //BID PRICE EV $22.17 //ASK PROFIT $-3.08 (-11.3%) //BID PROFIT $-5.00 (-18.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +61.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$45.29
+$18.11
+66.7%
$41.72
+$14.55
+53.6%
$3.56
7.9%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$43.43
+$16.26
+59.8%
$41.11
+$13.94
+51.3%
$2.32
5.3%
—
WIN
6.7%
$34.78
+$7.61
+28.0%
$34.40
+$7.23
+26.6%
$0.38
1.1%
—
PAPER WIN
6.7%
$29.79
+$2.62
+9.7%
$26.42
-$0.75
-2.8%
$3.37
11.3%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$10.08
-$17.09
-62.9%
$8.25
-$18.92
-69.6%
$1.83
18.2%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$7.96
-$19.21
-70.7%
$7.67
-$19.50
-71.8%
$0.29
3.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-16|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.44225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.44225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:58.021612Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.44225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.0805,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:13.822000Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.2432375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d85f6159fe4a",
"realistic_value": 34.783500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 34.5,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Fever Dream",
"conservative_value": 34.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:18.114674Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85f6159fe4a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.24766000000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d1f0620f06f3",
"realistic_value": 29.7925,
"optimistic_value": 28.9,
"output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu",
"conservative_value": 26.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:13.538991Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d1f0620f06f3.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.3759125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7b3af96bd1e4",
"realistic_value": 43.426500000000004,
"optimistic_value": 42.38,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Decimator",
"conservative_value": 41.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:29.979376Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b3af96bd1e4.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a7d0c3b88406afaaebd1e4a8",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.77,
"skin_id": "skin-d3caeffc5ec8",
"listing_id": "490472738290740303",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Last Dive",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d3caeffc5ec8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:52:46.057711Z"
},
{
"price": 3.91,
"skin_id": "skin-d3caeffc5ec8",
"listing_id": "655978715571393665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Last Dive",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d3caeffc5ec8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:52:46.057711Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737643639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-16:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Decimator 6.7% $156.01 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Fever Dream 6.7% $55.21 Xiangliu 6.7% $48.80 | $290.04 +197.5% | $128.54 +31.9% | 33.3% | +102.8% | $97.48 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Decimator 6.7% $75.42 Xiangliu 6.7% $38.79 Fever Dream 6.7% $37.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +158.5% | $55.62 +13.7% | 33.3% | +91.5% | $48.90 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Decimator 6.7% $43.43 Fever Dream 6.7% $34.78 Xiangliu 6.7% $29.79 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +121.9% | $30.78 +6.9% | 46.7% | +76.6% | $28.78 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Decimator 10.0% $156.01 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Fever Dream 10.0% $55.21 Xiangliu 10.0% $48.80 | $290.04 +197.7% | $123.31 +26.6% | 33.3% | +98.9% | $97.42 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Decimator 13.3% $156.01 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Fever Dream 13.3% $55.21 Xiangliu 13.3% $48.80 | $290.04 +203.9% | $118.07 +23.7% | 33.3% | +96.4% | $95.43 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Decimator 16.7% $156.01 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Fever Dream 16.7% $55.21 Xiangliu 16.7% $48.80 | $290.04 +198.8% | $112.84 +16.2% | 33.3% | +89.8% | $97.08 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Decimator 20.0% $156.01 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Fever Dream 20.0% $55.21 Xiangliu 20.0% $48.80 | $290.04 +194.6% | $107.61 +9.3% | 33.3% | +82.9% | $98.47 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Crimson Tsunami  4.0% $26.43 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 | $51.27 +152.8% | $23.30 +14.9% | 36.0% | +63.6% | $20.28 | — |
The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Bloodsport  5.0% $598.61 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir  5.0% $287.71 | $843.46 +54.5% | $642.08 +17.6% | 50.0% | +34.6% | $546.09 | — |