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The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8

Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Factory New +31.9%Field-Tested +6.9%Minimal Wear +13.7%Well-Worn -11.3%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Last Dive
MAC-10 | Last Dive
2x $3.77
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
7x $1.93
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
6.7% $43.43
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
6.7% $34.78
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
6.7% $29.79
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $11.91
Max Win
$63.86 (+121.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$30.78 (+6.9%)
Win %
46.7%
Volatility
+76.6%
Cost
$28.78
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGE
Total Cost $28.78
Ask Price EV $30.78 (+6.9%)
Bid Price EV $27.97 (-2.8%)
Ask Profit $2.00 (+6.9%)
Bid Profit $-0.81 (-2.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.81 (+9.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.00
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.81
Risk
Win Probability 46.7%
Loss Probability 53.3%
Best Case $63.86 (+121.9%)
Worst Case $11.91 (-58.6%)
Volatility +76.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 53.3%
Avg Win +$23.14
Avg Loss -$16.50
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.91 (-58.6%)
Std Dev $22.05
Avg Norm Float 0.3726
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 143h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAC-10 | Last Dive
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested)
$3.77 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Last Dive
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested)
$3.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 44M 38S //TOTAL COST $28.78 //ASK PRICE EV $30.78 //BID PRICE EV $27.97 //ASK PROFIT $2.00 (+6.9%) //BID PROFIT $-0.81 (-2.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 46.7% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +76.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-16|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 2,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-16"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 8,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.37257,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 63.8595,
      "optimistic_value": 63.52,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 60.32,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.37257,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 12.57,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 9.57,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.26666666666666666,
      "output_float": 0.37257,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 11.913,
      "optimistic_value": 11.78,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 9.52,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:54.230736Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.20491350000000003,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d85f6159fe4a",
      "realistic_value": 34.783500000000004,
      "optimistic_value": 34.5,
      "output_full_name": "AWP | Fever Dream",
      "conservative_value": 34.4,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:18.114674Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d85f6159fe4a.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.20863920000000002,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-d1f0620f06f3",
      "realistic_value": 29.7925,
      "optimistic_value": 28.9,
      "output_full_name": "CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu",
      "conservative_value": 26.42,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:13.538991Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d1f0620f06f3.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.06666666666666667,
      "output_float": 0.3166845,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-7b3af96bd1e4",
      "realistic_value": 43.426500000000004,
      "optimistic_value": 42.38,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Decimator",
      "conservative_value": 41.11,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Spectrum Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Decimator (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:29.979376Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b3af96bd1e4.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_a7d0c3b88406afaaebd1e4a8",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 3.77,
      "skin_id": "skin-d3caeffc5ec8",
      "listing_id": "490472738290740303",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Last Dive",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d3caeffc5ec8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:52:46.057711Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.91,
      "skin_id": "skin-d3caeffc5ec8",
      "listing_id": "655978715571393665",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-16",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MAC-10 | Last Dive",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d3caeffc5ec8.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:52:46.057711Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.93,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "515242588554990853",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.18,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "502857689861474128",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
      "listing_id": "492724590626648601",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 3.52,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "497228024527485521",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-16:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
6.7% $156.01
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $61.47
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
6.7% $55.21
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
6.7% $48.80
$290.04
+197.5%
$128.54
+31.9%
33.3%+102.8%$97.48—
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
6.7% $75.42
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
6.7% $38.79
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
6.7% $37.04
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
26.7% $23.12
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
26.7% $21.23
$126.41
+158.5%
$55.62
+13.7%
33.3%+91.5%$48.90—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Spectrum Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $290.04
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
10.0% $156.01
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $61.47
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
10.0% $55.21
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
10.0% $48.80
$290.04
+197.7%
$123.31
+26.6%
33.3%+98.9%$97.42—
The Spectrum Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
13.3% $156.01
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $61.47
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
13.3% $55.21
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
13.3% $48.80
$290.04
+203.9%
$118.07
+23.7%
33.3%+96.4%$95.43—
The Spectrum Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
16.7% $290.04
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
16.7% $156.01
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
16.7% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
16.7% $61.47
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
16.7% $55.21
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
16.7% $48.80
$290.04
+198.8%
$112.84
+16.2%
33.3%+89.8%$97.08—
The Spectrum Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $290.04
Decimator
M4A1-S | Decimator
20.0% $156.01
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $65.51
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $61.47
Fever Dream
AWP | Fever Dream
20.0% $55.21
Xiangliu
CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu
20.0% $48.80
$290.04
+194.6%
$107.61
+9.3%
33.3%+82.9%$98.47—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Spectrum Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Crimson Tsunami
Galil AR | Crimson Tsunami
4.0% $26.43
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.92
$51.27
+152.8%
$23.30
+14.9%
36.0%+63.6%$20.28—
The Spectrum Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Classified → Covert Factory New ST
Queen's Gambit
AWP | Queen's Gambit
45.0% $843.46
Bloodsport
AK-47 | Bloodsport
5.0% $598.61
Fully Tuned
Glock-18 | Fully Tuned
45.0% $484.90
Neo-Noir
USP-S | Neo-Noir
5.0% $287.71
$843.46
+54.5%
$642.08
+17.6%
50.0%+34.6%$546.09—
FS

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