The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear
Inputs
Spirit Board
1x $0.28
Necro Jr.
1x $0.30
Foresight
1x $0.31
Lifted Spirits
1x $0.34
Pipsqueak
2x $0.42
Teal Graf
1x $0.74
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
20.0% $10.77
Sweet Little Angels
20.0% $10.44
Monster Melt
20.0% $8.68
Ticket to Hell
8.0% $1.67
Dream Glade
8.0% $1.63
Night Terror
8.0% $1.58
Max Win
$10.77 (+78.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.55 (+8.6%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+70.3%
Cost
$6.03
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $6.03
Ask Price EV $6.55 (+8.6%)
Bid Price EV $6.35 (+5.3%)
Ask Profit $0.52 (+8.6%)
Bid Profit $0.32 (+5.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.20 (+3.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.52
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.32
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $10.77 (+78.6%)
Worst Case $1.03 (-82.8%)
Volatility +70.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.93
Avg Loss -$4.60
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.03 (-82.8%)
Std Dev $4.24
Avg Norm Float 0.1498
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 21h 21m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Minimal Wear
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Lifted Spirits
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$0.84 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Minimal Wear
$1.03 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Minimal Wear
$1.17 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 21M 45S //TOTAL COST $6.03 //ASK PRICE EV $6.55 //BID PRICE EV $6.35 //ASK PROFIT $0.52 (+8.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.32 (+5.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.77 //VOLATILITY +70.3% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$10.77
+$4.74
+78.6%
$10.49
+$4.46
+74.0%
$0.28
2.6%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1228032
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
20.0%
$10.44
+$4.41
+73.1%
$10.35
+$4.32
+71.6%
$0.09
0.8%
—
WIN
20.0%
$8.68
+$2.65
+44.0%
$8.25
+$2.22
+36.8%
$0.43
5.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.67
-$4.36
-72.3%
$1.44
-$4.59
-76.1%
$0.23
13.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$1.63
-$4.40
-72.9%
$1.62
-$4.41
-73.1%
$0.01
0.8%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.58
-$4.45
-73.8%
$1.43
-$4.60
-76.3%
$0.15
9.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.25
-$4.78
-79.3%
$1.16
-$4.87
-80.8%
$0.09
7.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.03
-$5.00
-82.8%
$0.99
-$5.04
-83.6%
$0.04
4.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.127296,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.77,
"optimistic_value": 10.77,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:41.402512Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1228032,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.4375,
"optimistic_value": 10.42,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:03:45.777380Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.11232,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.6815,
"optimistic_value": 8.51,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:05:57.844680Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14976,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 1.6335,
"optimistic_value": 1.63,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 1.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:40.472765Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.104832,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 1.58,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T05:58:34.524448Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1003392,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.2469999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.24,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:04:03.037416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1138176,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.67,
"optimistic_value": 1.67,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:28.020338Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.07488,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.0345,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:58:58.682147Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a20923b46ea68ee9f8ce9ea3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "524249787961840407",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:27.945661Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "519746188257835928",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:29.194968Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "643593744688088905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:09:02.066954Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-75edb16f0014",
"listing_id": "491598690699562262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P2000 | Lifted Spirits",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75edb16f0014.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:16.746435Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:39.041741Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:16:54.773492Z"
},
{
"price": 0.84,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "502857524063952856",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:57.125359Z"
},
{
"price": 1.03,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "596305411430770513",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:57.125359Z"
},
{
"price": 1.17,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "523123888072288378",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:08:43.472647Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:4+collection-set-overpass-2024:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.44 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.67 Night Terror 8.0% $1.58 Space Cat 8.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +118.5% | $6.49 +31.7% | 60.0% | +75.1% | $4.93 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $4.33 Monster Melt 20.0% $4.12 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $4.05 Night Terror 8.0% $1.00 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $0.97 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $0.96 | $4.33 +64.1% | $2.88 +9.0% | 60.0% | +51.9% | $2.64 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $4.33 Monster Melt 20.0% $4.12 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $4.05 Night Terror 8.0% $1.00 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $0.97 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $0.96 | $4.33 +63.5% | $2.88 +8.5% | 60.0% | +51.7% | $2.65 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.67 Night Terror 12.0% $1.58 Space Cat 12.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +205.1% | $4.75 +34.7% | 40.0% | +109.7% | $3.53 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.42 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $1.67 Night Terror 10.0% $1.58 Space Cat 10.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +157.0% | $5.62 +34.2% | 50.0% | +92.2% | $4.19 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.42 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $1.67 Night Terror 14.0% $1.58 Space Cat 14.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +263.9% | $3.89 +31.3% | 30.0% | +125.1% | $2.96 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $1.67 Night Terror 6.0% $1.58 Space Cat 6.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +86.7% | $7.36 +27.5% | 70.0% | +58.8% | $5.77 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.44 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $1.67 Night Terror 16.0% $1.58 Space Cat 16.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +322.4% | $3.02 +18.6% | 20.0% | +129.6% | $2.55 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $77.71 Melondrama  26.7% $11.68 Abyssal Apparition  26.7% $11.26 Rapid Eye Movement  26.7% $11.24 | $103.76 +341.5% | $27.26 +16.0% | 20.0% | +137.3% | $23.50 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Starlight Protector  25.0% $179.19 Nightwish  25.0% $117.09 | $1,312.69 +116.6% | $730.41 +20.5% | 50.0% | +96.1% | $606.08 | — |