The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Poultrygeist
1x $0.13
Foresight
2x $0.13
Ensnared
1x $0.13
Metallic Squeezer
1x $0.32
Pipsqueak
3x $0.34
Wurst Hölle
2x $0.36
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
20.0% $4.33
Monster Melt
20.0% $4.12
Sweet Little Angels
20.0% $4.05
Night Terror
8.0% $1.00
Ticket to Hell
8.0% $0.97
Zombie Offensive
8.0% $0.96
Max Win
$4.33 (+64.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.88 (+9.0%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+59.9%
Cost
$2.64
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.64
Ask Price EV $2.88 (+9.0%)
Bid Price EV $2.62 (-0.8%)
Ask Profit $0.24 (+9.0%)
Bid Profit $-0.02 (-0.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.26 (+9.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.24
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.02
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $4.33 (+64.1%)
Worst Case $0.85 (-67.7%)
Volatility +59.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$1.53
Avg Loss -$1.70
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.85 (-67.7%)
Std Dev $1.58
Avg Norm Float 0.4553
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 142h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Ensnared
—
Field-Tested
$0.13 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Field-Tested
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wurst Hölle
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 21M 45S //TOTAL COST $2.64 //ASK PRICE EV $2.88 //BID PRICE EV $2.62 //ASK PROFIT $0.24 (+9.0%) //BID PROFIT $-0.02 (-0.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $4.33 //VOLATILITY +59.9% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
20.0%
$4.33
+$1.69
+64.1%
$3.48
+$0.84
+31.8%
$0.85
19.7%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$4.12
+$1.48
+56.1%
$3.94
+$1.30
+49.2%
$0.18
4.4%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Field-Tested | ƒ 0.3733624
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
20.0%
$4.05
+$1.41
+53.3%
$4.02
+$1.38
+52.3%
$0.03
0.7%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.00
-$1.64
-62.2%
$0.87
-$1.77
-67.0%
$0.13
12.7%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.97
-$1.67
-63.3%
$0.85
-$1.79
-67.8%
$0.12
12.4%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.96
-$1.68
-63.6%
$0.81
-$1.83
-69.3%
$0.15
15.7%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.93
-$1.71
-64.6%
$0.82
-$1.82
-68.9%
$0.11
12.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.85
-$1.79
-67.7%
$0.77
-$1.87
-70.8%
$0.08
9.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.387022,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 4.3335,
"optimistic_value": 4.19,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 3.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T10:19:07.725357Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.3733624,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 4.0475,
"optimistic_value": 4.03,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 4.02,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:00:56.277439Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.34149,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 4.1205,
"optimistic_value": 4.04,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 3.94,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:56:51.270485Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.45532,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.8534999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.85,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:55:21.468799Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.318724,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 0.997,
"optimistic_value": 0.99,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:45:35.810766Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3050644,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 0.9335,
"optimistic_value": 0.93,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:47.326293Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.3460432,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 0.97,
"optimistic_value": 0.97,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:42:23.719500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.22766,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 0.9604999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.95,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T22:26:44.444767Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a20923b46ea68ee9f8ce9ea3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-2c6b935bb4eb",
"listing_id": "499479989896792957",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c6b935bb4eb.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:17:23.987956Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "499479989896802605",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:32.688145Z"
},
{
"price": 0.13,
"skin_id": "skin-7b9cc6bc31ef",
"listing_id": "519746188258783952",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Ensnared",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7b9cc6bc31ef.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:06:37.876217Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "491598690699311594",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:01:32.688145Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "520872088105850856",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:03.678839Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "528753387757469169",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:22.863998Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633336414",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:22.863998Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "506235223786636404",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:59:22.863998Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "528753387757470537",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:12.686627Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-791e6727b6a9",
"listing_id": "524249529997576947",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Nova | Wurst Hölle",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-791e6727b6a9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:12.686627Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:4+collection-set-overpass-2024:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.44 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.67 Night Terror 8.0% $1.58 Space Cat 8.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +118.5% | $6.49 +31.7% | 60.0% | +75.1% | $4.93 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.44 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.67 Dream Glade 8.0% $1.63 Night Terror 8.0% $1.58 | $10.77 +78.6% | $6.55 +8.6% | 60.0% | +60.5% | $6.03 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $4.33 Monster Melt 20.0% $4.12 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $4.05 Night Terror 8.0% $1.00 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $0.97 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $0.96 | $4.33 +63.5% | $2.88 +8.5% | 60.0% | +51.7% | $2.65 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.67 Night Terror 12.0% $1.58 Space Cat 12.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +205.1% | $4.75 +34.7% | 40.0% | +109.7% | $3.53 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.42 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $1.67 Night Terror 10.0% $1.58 Space Cat 10.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +157.0% | $5.62 +34.2% | 50.0% | +92.2% | $4.19 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.42 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $1.67 Night Terror 14.0% $1.58 Space Cat 14.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +263.9% | $3.89 +31.3% | 30.0% | +125.1% | $2.96 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $1.67 Night Terror 6.0% $1.58 Space Cat 6.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +86.7% | $7.36 +27.5% | 70.0% | +58.8% | $5.77 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.77 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.44 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $1.67 Night Terror 16.0% $1.58 Space Cat 16.0% $1.25 | $10.77 +322.4% | $3.02 +18.6% | 20.0% | +129.6% | $2.55 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $77.71 Melondrama  26.7% $11.68 Abyssal Apparition  26.7% $11.26 Rapid Eye Movement  26.7% $11.24 | $103.76 +341.5% | $27.26 +16.0% | 20.0% | +137.3% | $23.50 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Starlight Protector  25.0% $179.19 Nightwish  25.0% $117.09 | $1,312.69 +116.6% | $730.41 +20.5% | 50.0% | +96.1% | $606.08 | — |