The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Spirit Board
1x $0.27
Necro Jr.
2x $0.30
Foresight
1x $0.31
Pipsqueak
3x $0.42
Metallic Squeezer
2x $0.52
Teal Graf
1x $0.74
↓
Possible Outputs
Eye of Zapems
20.0% $10.69
Sweet Little Angels
20.0% $10.42
Monster Melt
20.0% $8.68
Ticket to Hell
8.0% $1.67
Night Terror
8.0% $1.58
Space Cat
8.0% $1.26
Max Win
$10.69 (+117.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$6.48 (+31.6%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+87.2%
Cost
$4.92
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.92
Ask Price EV $6.48 (+31.6%)
Bid Price EV $6.29 (+27.8%)
Ask Profit $1.56 (+31.6%)
Bid Profit $1.37 (+27.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.19 (+3.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.56
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.37
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+117.2%)
Worst Case $0.91 (-81.5%)
Volatility +87.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$5.01
Avg Loss -$3.63
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.91 (-81.5%)
Std Dev $4.29
Avg Norm Float 0.1759
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 20h 15m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Spirit Board
—
Minimal Wear
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Foresight
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP5-SD | Necro Jr.
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.52 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer
—
Field-Tested
$0.57 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Glock-18 | Teal Graf
—
Minimal Wear
$0.74 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Pipsqueak
—
Field-Tested
$0.85 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 21M 03S //TOTAL COST $4.92 //ASK PRICE EV $6.48 //BID PRICE EV $6.29 //ASK PROFIT $1.56 (+31.6%) //BID PROFIT $1.37 (+27.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +87.2% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$10.69
+$5.77
+117.2%
$10.49
+$5.57
+113.2%
$0.20
1.8%
—
Restricted
Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels Minimal Wear | ƒ 0.1442708
The Overpass 2024 Collection
BIG WIN
20.0%
$10.42
+$5.50
+111.9%
$10.35
+$5.43
+110.4%
$0.07
0.7%
—
BIG WIN
20.0%
$8.68
+$3.76
+76.5%
$8.25
+$3.33
+67.7%
$0.43
5.0%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.67
-$3.25
-66.1%
$1.44
-$3.48
-70.7%
$0.23
13.8%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.58
-$3.34
-67.9%
$1.43
-$3.49
-70.9%
$0.15
9.5%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.26
-$3.66
-74.3%
$1.16
-$3.76
-76.4%
$0.10
8.2%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$1.03
-$3.89
-79.0%
$0.99
-$3.93
-79.9%
$0.04
4.3%
—
NUKE
8.0%
$0.91
-$4.01
-81.5%
$0.87
-$4.05
-82.3%
$0.04
4.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-30|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14954900000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e56be318449",
"realistic_value": 10.6875,
"optimistic_value": 10.67,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems",
"conservative_value": 10.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AUG | Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:06.104427Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e56be318449.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.1442708,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6e1eac6f1a57",
"realistic_value": 10.4245,
"optimistic_value": 10.4,
"output_full_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels",
"conservative_value": 10.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:13.925895Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6e1eac6f1a57.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.13195500000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ac8d26ea3c5",
"realistic_value": 8.6815,
"optimistic_value": 8.51,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Overpass 2024 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Monster Melt (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:16.694096Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ac8d26ea3c5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.17594,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a5efcaeb15ee",
"realistic_value": 0.908,
"optimistic_value": 0.88,
"output_full_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:13.151797Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a5efcaeb15ee.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.123158,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ec2dd0814c74",
"realistic_value": 1.58,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Night Terror (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T05:58:34.524448Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ec2dd0814c74.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.11787980000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-10f8a820b8dc",
"realistic_value": 1.2635,
"optimistic_value": 1.26,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "PP-Bizon | Space Cat (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:54:26.237228Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-10f8a820b8dc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.1337144,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f3392bb443bc",
"realistic_value": 1.67,
"optimistic_value": 1.67,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:32.948871Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f3392bb443bc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.08797,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f6eb8a4271e",
"realistic_value": 1.0345,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive",
"conservative_value": 0.99,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dreams & Nightmares Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:48:13.237480Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f6eb8a4271e.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_a20923b46ea68ee9f8ce9ea3",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-3da25779ee2d",
"listing_id": "505109489448839144",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Spirit Board",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3da25779ee2d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:58.482946Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "519746188257835928",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:50.629565Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-c8ccc993ef98",
"listing_id": "643593744688088905",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Foresight",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c8ccc993ef98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:55.006853Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-0571189c0ca3",
"listing_id": "506235389468826600",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-30",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP5-SD | Necro Jr.",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0571189c0ca3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:56:50.629565Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "517494388633440706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:15.583810Z"
},
{
"price": 0.52,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "648097416147785180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:02.803367Z"
},
{
"price": 0.57,
"skin_id": "skin-0df7ea666c3d",
"listing_id": "642467916667097993",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0df7ea666c3d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:59:02.803367Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "509613089303435079",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:15.583810Z"
},
{
"price": 0.74,
"skin_id": "skin-45d74b83b2a0",
"listing_id": "523123835627757262",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Glock-18 | Teal Graf",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-45d74b83b2a0.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:05:57.666907Z"
},
{
"price": 0.85,
"skin_id": "skin-4d819a5e4be2",
"listing_id": "525374890942549699",
"collection_id": "collection-set-overpass-2024",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Pipsqueak",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4d819a5e4be2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:12:15.583810Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-30:4+collection-set-overpass-2024:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $4.33 Monster Melt 20.0% $4.09 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $4.05 Night Terror 8.0% $1.00 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $0.96 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $0.89 | $4.33 +65.4% | $2.86 +9.1% | 60.0% | +52.6% | $2.62 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $4.33 Monster Melt 20.0% $4.09 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $4.05 Night Terror 8.0% $1.00 Zombie Offensive 8.0% $0.96 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $0.89 | $4.33 +64.1% | $2.86 +8.2% | 60.0% | +52.2% | $2.64 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×4+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Eye of Zapems 20.0% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 20.0% $10.42 Monster Melt 20.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 8.0% $1.67 Dream Glade 8.0% $1.64 Night Terror 8.0% $1.58 | $10.69 +74.6% | $6.53 +6.8% | 60.0% | +59.3% | $6.12 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 16.7% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 16.7% $10.42 Monster Melt 16.7% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 10.0% $1.67 Night Terror 10.0% $1.58 Space Cat 10.0% $1.26 | $10.69 +154.5% | $5.61 +33.6% | 50.0% | +91.6% | $4.20 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×6+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 13.3% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 13.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 13.3% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 12.0% $1.67 Night Terror 12.0% $1.58 Space Cat 12.0% $1.26 | $10.69 +198.5% | $4.75 +32.6% | 40.0% | +107.7% | $3.58 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×7+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 10.0% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 10.0% $10.42 Monster Melt 10.0% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 14.0% $1.66 Night Terror 14.0% $1.58 Space Cat 14.0% $1.26 | $10.72 +261.1% | $3.89 +30.8% | 30.0% | +124.4% | $2.97 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×3+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 23.3% $10.72 Sweet Little Angels 23.3% $10.42 Monster Melt 23.3% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 6.0% $1.66 Night Terror 6.0% $1.58 Space Cat 6.0% $1.26 | $10.72 +86.2% | $7.36 +27.7% | 70.0% | +58.7% | $5.76 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Eye of Zapems 6.7% $10.69 Sweet Little Angels 6.7% $10.42 Monster Melt 6.7% $8.68 Ticket to Hell 16.0% $1.67 Night Terror 16.0% $1.58 Space Cat 16.0% $1.26 | $10.69 +325.8% | $3.02 +20.3% | 20.0% | +131.1% | $2.51 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×8+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Crakow!  10.0% $103.76 Dragon Snore  10.0% $78.65 Melondrama  26.7% $11.66 Abyssal Apparition  26.7% $11.20 Rapid Eye Movement  26.7% $11.19 | $103.76 +341.5% | $27.32 +16.3% | 20.0% | +138.0% | $23.50 | — |
The Dreams & Nightmares Collection ×5+The Overpass 2024 Collection ×5 Classified → Covert Minimal Wear | B the Monster  50.0% $1,312.69 Starlight Protector  25.0% $179.19 Nightwish  25.0% $117.09 | $1,312.69 +116.6% | $730.41 +20.5% | 50.0% | +96.1% | $606.08 | — |