The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
2x $2.23
Urban Sovereign
7x $3.19
Amberline
1x $6.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
The Outsiders
6.7% $54.65
Neo-Noir
6.7% $35.51
Epicenter
6.7% $29.44
Kintsugi
26.7% $23.12
Deathgaze
26.7% $21.23
Max Win
$126.41 (+168.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$53.51 (+13.6%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+95.0%
Cost
$47.09
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $47.09
Ask Price EV $53.51 (+13.6%)
Bid Price EV $47.26 (+0.4%)
Ask Profit $6.42 (+13.6%)
Bid Profit $0.17 (+0.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $6.26 (+13.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$6.42
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.17
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $126.41 (+168.4%)
Worst Case $21.23 (-54.9%)
Volatility +95.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$64.97
Avg Loss -$22.85
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.23 (-54.9%)
Std Dev $44.74
Avg Norm Float 0.1491
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 9h 8m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Field-Tested
$2.23 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Minimal Wear
$3.84 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 32S //TOTAL COST $47.09 //ASK PRICE EV $53.51 //BID PRICE EV $47.26 //ASK PROFIT $6.42 (+13.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.17 (+0.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +95.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$126.41
+$79.32
+168.4%
$112.39
+$65.30
+138.7%
$14.02
11.1%
—
PAPER WIN
6.7%
$54.65
+$7.56
+16.1%
$46.00
-$1.09
-2.3%
$8.65
15.8%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$35.51
-$11.58
-24.6%
$28.49
-$18.60
-39.5%
$7.02
19.8%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$29.44
-$17.65
-37.5%
$24.62
-$22.47
-47.7%
$4.82
16.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$23.12
-$23.97
-50.9%
$20.66
-$26.43
-56.1%
$2.46
10.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$21.23
-$25.86
-54.9%
$19.38
-$27.71
-58.8%
$1.85
8.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14908,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14908,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.1245,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.895772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14908,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:00.741590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.13417199999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 54.649,
"optimistic_value": 53.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:28:54.751842Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.119264,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 29.439500000000002,
"optimistic_value": 29.17,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 24.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:52:50.135865Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14908,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 35.5055,
"optimistic_value": 34.97,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 28.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:08:04.856208Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9f6301c4c4daffae74453e19",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.23,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "524248990835949195",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:15.099501Z"
},
{
"price": 3.84,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "515242588554280141",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:27.187527Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550388512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753387757823085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:18.432179Z"
},
{
"price": 7.53,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116636505408218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 6.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 6.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Epicenter 6.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.2% | $131.30 +29.5% | 33.3% | +96.9% | $101.35 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 The Outsiders 6.7% $30.72 Neo-Noir 6.7% $13.26 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Epicenter 6.7% $12.47 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +159.9% | $27.34 +11.3% | 33.3% | +91.5% | $24.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.9% | $127.44 +26.0% | 33.3% | +92.4% | $101.11 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +182.7% | $123.59 +20.4% | 33.3% | +85.9% | $102.61 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +174.2% | $119.74 +13.2% | 33.3% | +77.9% | $105.77 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +171.0% | $115.88 +8.3% | 33.3% | +71.0% | $107.04 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Rapid Transit  6.0% $36.14 Turbine  6.0% $36.07 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Saibā Oni  6.0% $18.57 | $51.27 +134.1% | $25.25 +15.3% | 40.0% | +50.7% | $21.90 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |