The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
2x $1.63
Amberline
7x $1.93
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
The Outsiders
6.7% $30.72
Neo-Noir
6.7% $13.26
Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Epicenter
6.7% $12.47
Deathgaze
26.7% $11.91
Max Win
$63.86 (+159.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$27.34 (+11.3%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+91.5%
Cost
$24.57
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.57
Ask Price EV $27.34 (+11.3%)
Bid Price EV $24.66 (+0.4%)
Ask Profit $2.77 (+11.3%)
Bid Profit $0.09 (+0.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.68 (+10.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.77
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.09
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+159.9%)
Worst Case $11.91 (-51.5%)
Volatility +91.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$32.66
Avg Loss -$12.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.91 (-51.5%)
Std Dev $22.48
Avg Norm Float 0.3795
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 143h 38m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.63 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Field-Tested
$1.84 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 33S //TOTAL COST $24.57 //ASK PRICE EV $27.34 //BID PRICE EV $24.66 //ASK PROFIT $2.77 (+11.3%) //BID PROFIT $0.09 (+0.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +91.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$63.86
+$39.29
+159.9%
$60.32
+$35.75
+145.5%
$3.54
5.5%
—
WIN
6.7%
$30.72
+$6.15
+25.0%
$28.34
+$3.77
+15.3%
$2.38
7.8%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$13.26
-$11.31
-46.1%
$12.71
-$11.86
-48.3%
$0.55
4.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$12.65
-$11.92
-48.5%
$9.57
-$15.00
-61.1%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$12.47
-$12.10
-49.3%
$11.28
-$13.29
-54.1%
$1.19
9.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$11.91
-$12.66
-51.5%
$9.52
-$15.05
-61.3%
$2.39
20.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3795,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3795,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.3795,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.913,
"optimistic_value": 11.78,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:54.230736Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.34155,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 30.723,
"optimistic_value": 30.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 28.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:16:10.848839Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.30360000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 12.4655,
"optimistic_value": 12.07,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 11.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T16:30:16.432966Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.3795,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 13.2555,
"optimistic_value": 13,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 12.71,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:19:55.770385Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9f6301c4c4daffae74453e19",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.63,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "501731789730079925",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:31.662261Z"
},
{
"price": 1.84,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "525375688036751839",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Field-Tested)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:15.099501Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 6.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 6.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Epicenter 6.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.2% | $131.30 +29.5% | 33.3% | +96.9% | $101.35 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 The Outsiders 6.7% $54.65 Neo-Noir 6.7% $35.51 Epicenter 6.7% $29.44 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +168.4% | $53.51 +13.6% | 33.3% | +95.0% | $47.09 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.9% | $127.44 +26.0% | 33.3% | +92.4% | $101.11 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +182.7% | $123.59 +20.4% | 33.3% | +85.9% | $102.61 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +174.2% | $119.74 +13.2% | 33.3% | +77.9% | $105.77 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +171.0% | $115.88 +8.3% | 33.3% | +71.0% | $107.04 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Rapid Transit  6.0% $36.14 Turbine  6.0% $36.07 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Saibā Oni  6.0% $18.57 | $51.27 +134.1% | $25.25 +15.3% | 40.0% | +50.7% | $21.90 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |