The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
2x $3.84
Urban Sovereign
6x $4.75
Amberline
1x $6.64
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
The Outsiders
6.7% $151.51
Neo-Noir
6.7% $88.41
Kintsugi
26.7% $65.51
Epicenter
6.7% $61.48
Deathgaze
26.7% $61.47
Max Win
$290.04 (+192.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$131.30 (+32.3%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+99.0%
Cost
$99.26
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $99.26
Ask Price EV $131.30 (+32.3%)
Bid Price EV $107.95 (+8.8%)
Ask Profit $32.04 (+32.3%)
Bid Profit $8.69 (+8.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $23.34 (+23.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$32.04
Bid Slippage Buffer +$8.69
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+192.2%)
Worst Case $61.47 (-38.1%)
Volatility +99.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$163.08
Avg Loss -$33.48
Bottom 5% Outcome $61.47 (-38.1%)
Std Dev $98.23
Avg Norm Float 0.0700
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 6m
Oldest Output Price 142h 43m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Minimal Wear
$3.84 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Factory New
$9.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.68 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 01H 00M 53S //TOTAL COST $99.26 //ASK PRICE EV $131.30 //BID PRICE EV $107.95 //ASK PROFIT $32.04 (+32.3%) //BID PROFIT $8.69 (+8.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +99.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$290.04
+$190.78
+192.2%
$229.11
+$129.85
+130.8%
$60.93
21.0%
—
BIG WIN
6.7%
$151.51
+$52.25
+52.6%
$136.13
+$36.87
+37.1%
$15.38
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$88.41
-$10.85
-10.9%
$71.58
-$27.68
-27.9%
$16.83
19.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$65.51
-$33.75
-34.0%
$55.11
-$44.15
-44.5%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$61.48
-$37.78
-38.1%
$53.19
-$46.07
-46.4%
$8.29
13.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$61.47
-$37.79
-38.1%
$55.38
-$43.88
-44.2%
$6.09
9.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:37.335337Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:44.183758Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.062991,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 151.5075,
"optimistic_value": 145.47,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 136.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:14:43.462893Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.055992,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 61.480000000000004,
"optimistic_value": 60.99,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 53.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:34:01.850047Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 88.4145,
"optimistic_value": 84.75,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 71.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:11:04.758920Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9f6301c4c4daffae74453e19",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.84,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "515242588554280141",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:25.847008Z"
},
{
"price": 9.2,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "509613089303856027",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:25.713128Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:57:52.879933Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:29.954532Z"
},
{
"price": 13.68,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518620288314054676",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 The Outsiders 6.7% $30.72 Neo-Noir 6.7% $13.18 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Epicenter 6.7% $12.47 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +169.8% | $27.34 +15.5% | 33.3% | +95.0% | $23.67 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 The Outsiders 6.7% $54.99 Neo-Noir 6.7% $35.51 Epicenter 6.7% $29.46 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +170.7% | $53.53 +14.7% | 33.3% | +95.8% | $46.69 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 3.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 3.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Epicenter 3.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +188.1% | $135.15 +34.3% | 33.3% | +102.0% | $100.67 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +183.1% | $127.44 +24.4% | 33.3% | +91.2% | $102.44 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +179.3% | $123.59 +19.0% | 33.3% | +84.9% | $103.85 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +177.3% | $119.74 +14.5% | 33.3% | +78.8% | $104.60 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +168.6% | $115.88 +7.3% | 33.3% | +70.4% | $108.00 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Rapid Transit  4.0% $36.14 Turbine  4.0% $36.07 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Saibā Oni  4.0% $18.57 | $51.27 +148.8% | $25.52 +23.8% | 40.0% | +55.4% | $20.61 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |