The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified BS ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
Randy Rush
2x $1.63
Amberline
7x $1.91
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $46.25
The Outsiders
6.7% $30.45
Epicenter
6.7% $17.79
Neo-Noir
6.7% $10.27
Kintsugi
26.7% $9.34
Deathgaze
26.7% $7.94
Max Win
$46.25 (+103.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.84 (-8.5%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+71.6%
Cost
$22.77
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $22.77
Ask Price EV $20.84 (-8.5%)
Bid Price EV $19.64 (-13.7%)
Ask Profit $-1.93 (-8.5%)
Bid Profit $-3.13 (-13.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.20 (+5.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.93
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.13
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $46.25 (+103.1%)
Worst Case $7.94 (-65.1%)
Volatility +71.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 60.0%
Avg Win +$20.32
Avg Loss -$13.05
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.94 (-65.1%)
Std Dev $16.31
Avg Norm Float 0.4828
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 20m
Oldest Output Price 143h 38m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.63 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Randy Rush
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 31S //TOTAL COST $22.77 //ASK PRICE EV $20.84 //BID PRICE EV $19.64 //ASK PROFIT $-1.93 (-8.5%) //BID PROFIT $-3.13 (-13.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $46.25 //VOLATILITY +71.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$46.25
+$23.48
+103.1%
$43.83
+$21.06
+92.5%
$2.42
5.2%
—
WIN
6.7%
$30.45
+$7.67
+33.7%
$27.80
+$5.03
+22.1%
$2.64
8.7%
—
LOSS THIN BID
6.7%
$17.79
-$4.98
-21.9%
$13.08
-$9.69
-42.6%
$4.71
26.5%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$10.27
-$12.50
-54.9%
$9.86
-$12.91
-56.7%
$0.41
4.0%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$9.34
-$13.43
-59.0%
$9.31
-$13.46
-59.1%
$0.03
0.3%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$7.94
-$14.83
-65.1%
$7.84
-$14.93
-65.6%
$0.10
1.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-34|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.48282,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 46.253,
"optimistic_value": 46.05,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 43.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.770872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.48282,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 9.34,
"optimistic_value": 9.34,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.600372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.48282,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 7.9365000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 7.87,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:59.564302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.43453800000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ad56dc47a4c4",
"realistic_value": 30.445,
"optimistic_value": 29.5,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | The Outsiders",
"conservative_value": 27.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Outsiders (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:15:55.850543Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ad56dc47a4c4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.38625600000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-71be2ee4feeb",
"realistic_value": 17.791,
"optimistic_value": 17.28,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Epicenter",
"conservative_value": 13.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:06.204211Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-71be2ee4feeb.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.48282,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52c02605493f",
"realistic_value": 10.274,
"optimistic_value": 10.19,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Neo-Noir",
"conservative_value": 9.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Gallery Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:36:48.659093Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52c02605493f.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9f6301c4c4daffae74453e19",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.63,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "501731789730079925",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:31.662261Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-39f40ce9d13d",
"listing_id": "506235337025174388",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-34",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Randy Rush (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "P90 | Randy Rush",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39f40ce9d13d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:31.662261Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737643639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-34:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 6.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 6.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Epicenter 6.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.2% | $131.30 +29.5% | 33.3% | +96.9% | $101.35 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 The Outsiders 6.7% $54.65 Neo-Noir 6.7% $35.51 Epicenter 6.7% $29.44 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +168.4% | $53.51 +13.6% | 33.3% | +95.0% | $47.09 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 The Outsiders 6.7% $30.72 Neo-Noir 6.7% $13.26 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Epicenter 6.7% $12.47 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +159.9% | $27.34 +11.3% | 33.3% | +91.5% | $24.57 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 10.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 10.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Epicenter 10.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +186.9% | $127.44 +26.0% | 33.3% | +92.4% | $101.11 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 The Outsiders 13.3% $151.51 Neo-Noir 13.3% $88.41 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Epicenter 13.3% $61.48 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 | $290.04 +182.7% | $123.59 +20.4% | 33.3% | +85.9% | $102.61 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 The Outsiders 16.7% $151.51 Neo-Noir 16.7% $88.41 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Epicenter 16.7% $61.48 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 | $290.04 +174.2% | $119.74 +13.2% | 33.3% | +77.9% | $105.77 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 The Outsiders 20.0% $151.51 Neo-Noir 20.0% $88.41 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Epicenter 20.0% $61.48 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 | $290.04 +171.0% | $115.88 +8.3% | 33.3% | +71.0% | $107.04 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gallery Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  14.0% $51.27 Rapid Transit  6.0% $36.14 Turbine  6.0% $36.07 Firebreathing  14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Saibā Oni  6.0% $18.57 | $51.27 +134.1% | $25.25 +15.3% | 40.0% | +50.7% | $21.90 | — |
The Gallery Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Vaporwave  5.0% $644.00 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Gold Toof  5.0% $341.19 | $843.46 +56.8% | $647.02 +20.3% | 50.0% | +34.2% | $537.94 | — |