The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Six

2x $0.94
Amberline

8x $2.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight

26.7% $45.29
Mortis

6.7% $11.21
Deathgaze

26.7% $10.22
Cortex

6.7% $9.88
Kintsugi

26.7% $7.96
Stymphalian

6.7% $5.67
Max Win
$45.29 (+118.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$18.71 (-9.7%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+77.6%
Cost
$20.72
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.72
Ask Price EV $18.71 (-9.7%)
Bid Price EV $17.02 (-17.9%)
Ask Profit $-2.01 (-9.7%)
Bid Profit $-3.70 (-17.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.69 (+8.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.01
Bid Slippage Buffer -$3.70
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $45.29 (+118.6%)
Worst Case $5.67 (-72.6%)
Volatility +77.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$24.56
Avg Loss -$11.68
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.67 (-72.6%)
Std Dev $16.08
Avg Norm Float 0.3950
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 141h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wild Six
—
Field-Tested

$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Field-Tested

$1.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested

$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 29M 17S //TOTAL COST $20.72 //ASK PRICE EV $18.71 //BID PRICE EV $17.02 //ASK PROFIT $-2.01 (-9.7%) //BID PROFIT $-3.70 (-17.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +77.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN
26.7%
$45.29
+$24.56
+118.6%
$41.72
+$21.00
+101.4%
$3.56
7.9%
—

NUKE
6.7%
$11.21
-$9.51
-45.9%
$10.32
-$10.40
-50.2%
$0.89
7.9%
—

NUKE
26.7%
$10.22
-$10.50
-50.7%
$8.25
-$12.47
-60.2%
$1.97
19.2%
—

NUKE
6.7%
$9.88
-$10.84
-52.3%
$9.39
-$11.33
-54.7%
$0.49
5.0%
—

NUKE
26.7%
$7.96
-$12.76
-61.6%
$7.67
-$13.05
-63.0%
$0.29
3.6%
—

NUKE
6.7%
$5.67
-$15.05
-72.6%
$5.01
-$15.71
-75.8%
$0.66
11.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.39495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.39495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:04.383011Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.39495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.2155,
"optimistic_value": 10.17,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:03.108572Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.24881850000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 5.672,
"optimistic_value": 5.63,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 5.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:53:56.793645Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.252768,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 11.2065,
"optimistic_value": 11.07,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 10.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:56.944183Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.39495,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 9.884,
"optimistic_value": 9.8,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 9.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:58.161607Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9a6d0435d86a7fb770c892eb",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "509613089304519075",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:38.087427Z"
},
{
"price": 1,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "529879287551128752",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:38.087427Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight ![]() 26.7% $126.41 Kintsugi ![]() 26.7% $23.12 Cortex ![]() 6.7% $23.03 Deathgaze ![]() 26.7% $21.23 Mortis ![]() 6.7% $16.91 Stymphalian ![]() 6.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +208.7% | $48.95 +19.5% | 26.7% | +114.3% | $40.95 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 26.7% $63.86 Kintsugi ![]() 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 26.7% $11.91 Cortex ![]() 6.7% $11.43 Mortis ![]() 6.7% $11.21 Stymphalian ![]() 6.7% $5.67 | $63.86 +198.4% | $25.47 +19.0% | 26.7% | +108.5% | $21.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi ![]() 23.3% $65.51 Cortex ![]() 10.0% $62.66 Deathgaze ![]() 23.3% $61.47 Mortis ![]() 10.0% $32.52 Stymphalian ![]() 10.0% $23.14 | $290.04 +256.5% | $109.14 +34.2% | 23.3% | +123.9% | $81.35 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi ![]() 20.0% $65.51 Cortex ![]() 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze ![]() 20.0% $61.47 Mortis ![]() 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian ![]() 13.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +277.3% | $99.18 +29.0% | 20.0% | +125.7% | $76.88 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi ![]() 16.7% $65.51 Cortex ![]() 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze ![]() 16.7% $61.47 Mortis ![]() 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian ![]() 16.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +301.2% | $89.22 +23.4% | 16.7% | +126.2% | $72.29 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight ![]() 13.3% $126.41 Cortex ![]() 20.0% $23.03 Kintsugi ![]() 13.3% $22.62 Deathgaze ![]() 13.3% $21.23 Mortis ![]() 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian ![]() 20.0% $11.23 | $126.41 +353.9% | $32.93 +18.3% | 13.3% | +132.6% | $27.85 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight ![]() 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi ![]() 10.0% $23.12 Cortex ![]() 23.3% $23.03 Deathgaze ![]() 10.0% $21.23 Mortis ![]() 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian ![]() 23.3% $11.23 | $126.41 +397.5% | $29.01 +14.2% | 10.0% | +129.0% | $25.41 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight ![]() 6.7% $126.41 Cortex ![]() 26.7% $23.03 Kintsugi ![]() 6.7% $22.62 Deathgaze ![]() 6.7% $21.23 Mortis ![]() 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian ![]() 26.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +442.3% | $24.99 +7.2% | 6.7% | +118.0% | $23.31 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum ![]() 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing ![]() 16.0% $6.12 Galigator ![]() 16.0% $3.26 Amberline ![]() 16.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign ![]() 16.0% $3.19 Moonrise ![]() 4.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +204.6% | $4.52 +28.7% | 32.0% | +77.8% | $3.51 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit ![]() 45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned ![]() 45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir ![]() 5.0% $288.16 Bloodsport ![]() 5.0% $73.13 | $843.46 +64.0% | $615.83 +19.7% | 45.0% | +44.0% | $514.28 | — |








