The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Arctic Wolf
2x $1.20
Amberline
7x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $63.86
Kintsugi
26.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
26.7% $11.91
Cortex
6.7% $11.43
Mortis
6.7% $11.21
Stymphalian
6.7% $5.67
Max Win
$63.86 (+198.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$25.47 (+19.0%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+108.5%
Cost
$21.40
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $21.40
Ask Price EV $25.47 (+19.0%)
Bid Price EV $22.87 (+6.9%)
Ask Profit $4.07 (+19.0%)
Bid Profit $1.47 (+6.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.59 (+12.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.07
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.47
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $63.86 (+198.4%)
Worst Case $5.67 (-73.5%)
Volatility +108.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$42.46
Avg Loss -$9.89
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.67 (-73.5%)
Std Dev $23.21
Avg Norm Float 0.3797
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 141h 28m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf
—
Field-Tested
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf
—
Field-Tested
$1.41 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 29M 17S //TOTAL COST $21.40 //ASK PRICE EV $25.47 //BID PRICE EV $22.87 //ASK PROFIT $4.07 (+19.0%) //BID PROFIT $1.47 (+6.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +108.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$63.86
+$42.46
+198.4%
$60.32
+$38.92
+181.9%
$3.54
5.5%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$12.65
-$8.75
-40.9%
$9.57
-$11.83
-55.3%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$11.91
-$9.49
-44.3%
$9.52
-$11.88
-55.5%
$2.39
20.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$11.43
-$9.97
-46.6%
$10.13
-$11.27
-52.7%
$1.30
11.4%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$11.21
-$10.19
-47.6%
$10.32
-$11.08
-51.8%
$0.89
7.9%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$5.67
-$15.73
-73.5%
$5.01
-$16.39
-76.6%
$0.66
11.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.37971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.913,
"optimistic_value": 11.78,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.565944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.2392173,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 5.672,
"optimistic_value": 5.63,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 5.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:53:56.793645Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.2430144,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 11.2065,
"optimistic_value": 11.07,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 10.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:56.944183Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.37971,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 11.4295,
"optimistic_value": 11.16,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 10.13,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T03:48:24.269872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9a6d0435d86a7fb770c892eb",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"listing_id": "631208210992369054",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:51.085092Z"
},
{
"price": 1.41,
"skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"listing_id": "516368488724793842",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:38:51.085092Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Cortex 6.7% $23.03 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 Mortis 6.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 6.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +208.7% | $48.95 +19.5% | 26.7% | +114.3% | $40.95 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Cortex 10.0% $62.66 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Mortis 10.0% $32.52 Stymphalian 10.0% $23.14 | $290.04 +256.5% | $109.14 +34.2% | 23.3% | +123.9% | $81.35 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Cortex 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Mortis 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 13.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +277.3% | $99.18 +29.0% | 20.0% | +125.7% | $76.88 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Cortex 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Mortis 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 16.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +301.2% | $89.22 +23.4% | 16.7% | +126.2% | $72.29 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Cortex 20.0% $23.03 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.62 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.23 Mortis 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 20.0% $11.23 | $126.41 +353.9% | $32.93 +18.3% | 13.3% | +132.6% | $27.85 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.12 Cortex 23.3% $23.03 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.23 Mortis 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian 23.3% $11.23 | $126.41 +397.5% | $29.01 +14.2% | 10.0% | +129.0% | $25.41 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Cortex 26.7% $23.03 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 6.7% $21.23 Mortis 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 26.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +442.3% | $24.99 +7.2% | 6.7% | +118.0% | $23.31 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Galigator  16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 Moonrise  4.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +204.6% | $4.52 +28.7% | 32.0% | +77.8% | $3.51 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir  5.0% $288.16 Bloodsport  5.0% $73.13 | $843.46 +64.0% | $615.83 +19.7% | 45.0% | +44.0% | $514.28 | — |