The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Six
2x $1.91
Amberline
2x $3.18
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Kintsugi
26.7% $23.12
Cortex
6.7% $23.03
Deathgaze
26.7% $21.23
Mortis
6.7% $16.91
Stymphalian
6.7% $11.23
Max Win
$126.41 (+208.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$48.95 (+19.5%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+114.3%
Cost
$40.95
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $40.95
Ask Price EV $48.95 (+19.5%)
Bid Price EV $43.42 (+6.0%)
Ask Profit $8.00 (+19.5%)
Bid Profit $2.47 (+6.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.53 (+13.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$8.00
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.47
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+208.7%)
Worst Case $11.23 (-72.6%)
Volatility +114.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$85.46
Avg Loss -$20.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.23 (-72.6%)
Std Dev $46.81
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 141h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wild Six
—
Minimal Wear
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Minimal Wear
$2.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 29M 17S //TOTAL COST $40.95 //ASK PRICE EV $48.95 //BID PRICE EV $43.42 //ASK PROFIT $8.00 (+19.5%) //BID PROFIT $2.47 (+6.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +114.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$126.41
+$85.46
+208.7%
$112.39
+$71.44
+174.5%
$14.02
11.1%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$23.12
-$17.83
-43.5%
$20.66
-$20.29
-49.5%
$2.46
10.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$23.03
-$17.92
-43.8%
$19.44
-$21.51
-52.5%
$3.59
15.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$21.23
-$19.72
-48.2%
$19.38
-$21.57
-52.7%
$1.85
8.7%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$16.91
-$24.04
-58.7%
$14.00
-$26.95
-65.8%
$2.91
17.2%
—
NUKE THIN BID
6.7%
$11.23
-$29.72
-72.6%
$8.08
-$32.87
-80.3%
$3.15
28.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.121000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.086341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.001396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.09445590000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 11.2255,
"optimistic_value": 11.11,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 8.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:36:18.564963Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.0959552,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 16.9055,
"optimistic_value": 16.86,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:26:03.188102Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 23.0315,
"optimistic_value": 22.79,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 19.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T07:40:12.691090Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9a6d0435d86a7fb770c892eb",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "497228190140465825",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:33.584809Z"
},
{
"price": 2.14,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "493849693287731428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:33.584809Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:14.354664Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 Cortex 6.7% $11.43 Mortis 6.7% $11.21 Stymphalian 6.7% $5.67 | $63.86 +198.4% | $25.47 +19.0% | 26.7% | +108.5% | $21.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Cortex 10.0% $62.66 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Mortis 10.0% $32.52 Stymphalian 10.0% $23.14 | $290.04 +256.5% | $109.14 +34.2% | 23.3% | +123.9% | $81.35 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Cortex 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Mortis 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 13.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +277.3% | $99.18 +29.0% | 20.0% | +125.7% | $76.88 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Cortex 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Mortis 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 16.7% $23.14 | $290.04 +301.2% | $89.22 +23.4% | 16.7% | +126.2% | $72.29 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Cortex 20.0% $23.03 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.62 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.23 Mortis 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 20.0% $11.23 | $126.41 +353.9% | $32.93 +18.3% | 13.3% | +132.6% | $27.85 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.12 Cortex 23.3% $23.03 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.23 Mortis 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian 23.3% $11.23 | $126.41 +397.5% | $29.01 +14.2% | 10.0% | +129.0% | $25.41 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Cortex 26.7% $23.03 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 6.7% $21.23 Mortis 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 26.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +442.3% | $24.99 +7.2% | 6.7% | +118.0% | $23.31 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  16.0% $6.12 Galigator  16.0% $3.26 Amberline 16.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.19 Moonrise  4.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +204.6% | $4.52 +28.7% | 32.0% | +77.8% | $3.51 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir  5.0% $288.16 Bloodsport  5.0% $73.13 | $843.46 +64.0% | $615.83 +19.7% | 45.0% | +44.0% | $514.28 | — |