The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Wild Six
2x $2.13
Urban Sovereign
5x $4.68
Amberline
1x $6.64
Galigator
2x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
Kintsugi
26.7% $65.51
Cortex
6.7% $62.66
Deathgaze
26.7% $61.47
Mortis
6.7% $32.52
Stymphalian
6.7% $22.83
Max Win
$290.04 (+225.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$119.07 (+33.6%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+116.4%
Cost
$89.14
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $89.14
Ask Price EV $119.07 (+33.6%)
Bid Price EV $97.61 (+9.5%)
Ask Profit $29.93 (+33.6%)
Bid Profit $8.47 (+9.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $21.46 (+24.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$29.93
Bid Slippage Buffer +$8.47
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $290.04 (+225.4%)
Worst Case $22.83 (-74.4%)
Volatility +116.4%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$200.90
Avg Loss -$32.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $22.83 (-74.4%)
Std Dev $103.80
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 38h 30m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Nova | Wild Six
—
Minimal Wear
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Wild Six
—
Factory New
$9.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.68 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$13.68 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 27M 45S //TOTAL COST $89.14 //ASK PRICE EV $119.07 //BID PRICE EV $97.61 //ASK PROFIT $29.93 (+33.6%) //BID PROFIT $8.47 (+9.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +116.4% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$290.04
+$200.90
+225.4%
$229.11
+$139.97
+157.0%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$65.51
-$23.63
-26.5%
$55.11
-$34.03
-38.2%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$62.66
-$26.48
-29.7%
$56.62
-$32.52
-36.5%
$6.04
9.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$61.47
-$27.67
-31.0%
$55.38
-$33.76
-37.9%
$6.09
9.9%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$32.52
-$56.62
-63.5%
$30.33
-$58.81
-66.0%
$2.19
6.7%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$22.83
-$66.31
-74.4%
$18.82
-$70.32
-78.9%
$4.01
17.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.715369Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:58.530181Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.0440622,
"output_skin_id": "skin-808553c51871",
"realistic_value": 22.8285,
"optimistic_value": 22.72,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Stymphalian",
"conservative_value": 18.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:23:30.925302Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808553c51871.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.044761600000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c41637779316",
"realistic_value": 32.523,
"optimistic_value": 31.69,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Mortis",
"conservative_value": 30.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T11:28:35.021432Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c41637779316.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-3901933d5e47",
"realistic_value": 62.6625,
"optimistic_value": 59.25,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Cortex",
"conservative_value": 56.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:37.613416Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-3901933d5e47.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9a6d0435d86a7fb770c892eb",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "645844275573960645",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:40:32.648993Z"
},
{
"price": 9.52,
"skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"listing_id": "502857524062902088",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
"name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:59.908400Z"
},
{
"price": 4.68,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "529879287551222028",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:01.068828Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.158952Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.158952Z"
},
{
"price": 13.68,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518620288314054676",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:53.211943Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 Cortex 6.7% $11.43 Mortis 6.7% $11.21 Stymphalian 6.7% $5.67 | $63.86 +198.4% | $25.47 +19.0% | 26.7% | +108.5% | $21.40 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Cortex 6.7% $23.03 Kintsugi 26.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 26.7% $20.41 Mortis 6.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 6.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +188.5% | $48.59 +10.9% | 26.7% | +107.3% | $43.82 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Cortex 10.0% $62.66 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Mortis 10.0% $32.52 Stymphalian 10.0% $22.83 | $290.04 +255.6% | $109.11 +33.8% | 23.3% | +123.6% | $81.57 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Cortex 3.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Mortis 3.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 3.3% $22.83 | $290.04 +200.2% | $129.04 +33.6% | 30.0% | +109.5% | $96.62 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Cortex 13.3% $62.66 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Mortis 13.3% $32.52 Stymphalian 13.3% $22.83 | $290.04 +277.3% | $99.14 +29.0% | 20.0% | +125.7% | $76.88 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Cortex 16.7% $62.66 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Mortis 16.7% $32.52 Stymphalian 16.7% $22.83 | $290.04 +301.4% | $89.17 +23.4% | 16.7% | +126.3% | $72.25 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Cortex 20.0% $23.03 Kintsugi 13.3% $22.62 Deathgaze 13.3% $20.41 Mortis 20.0% $16.91 Stymphalian 20.0% $11.23 | $126.41 +353.9% | $32.82 +17.9% | 13.3% | +132.7% | $27.85 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Cortex 23.3% $23.03 Kintsugi 10.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.23 Mortis 23.3% $16.91 Stymphalian 23.3% $11.23 | $126.41 +397.5% | $28.96 +14.0% | 10.0% | +129.0% | $25.41 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $126.41 Cortex 26.7% $23.03 Kintsugi 6.7% $22.62 Deathgaze 6.7% $20.41 Mortis 26.7% $16.91 Stymphalian 26.7% $11.23 | $126.41 +443.2% | $24.94 +7.2% | 6.7% | +118.2% | $23.27 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.19 Moonrise  2.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +177.0% | $4.90 +27.1% | 36.0% | +72.9% | $3.86 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir  5.0% $288.16 Bloodsport  5.0% $73.13 | $843.46 +64.0% | $615.83 +19.7% | 45.0% | +44.0% | $514.28 | — |