The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Assault
2x $1.43
Fusion
4x $0.89
Bock Blocks
4x $0.95
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
16.0% $31.66
Agent
4.0% $29.05
Amberline
16.0% $18.87
Galigator
16.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $13.57
Max Win
$51.27 (+187.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$23.38 (+31.2%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+79.6%
Cost
$17.82
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $17.82
Ask Price EV $23.38 (+31.2%)
Bid Price EV $19.88 (+11.6%)
Ask Profit $5.56 (+31.2%)
Bid Profit $2.06 (+11.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $3.49 (+19.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$5.56
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.06
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+187.7%)
Worst Case $7.33 (-58.9%)
Volatility +79.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 16.0%
Avg Win +$15.74
Avg Loss -$5.47
Bottom 5% Outcome $9.33 (-47.6%)
Std Dev $14.19
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 153h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Premium Signal · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
SCAR-20 | Assault
—
Factory New
$1.43 Float: HIDDEN
SCAR-20 | Assault
—
Factory New
$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.95 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$1.07 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.55 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.99 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 57M 23S //TOTAL COST $17.82 //ASK PRICE EV $23.38 //BID PRICE EV $19.88 //ASK PROFIT $5.56 (+31.2%) //BID PROFIT $2.06 (+11.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +79.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$51.27
+$33.45
+187.7%
$43.51
+$25.69
+144.2%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$31.66
+$13.84
+77.6%
$29.45
+$11.63
+65.3%
$2.21
7.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
4.0%
$29.05
+$11.23
+63.0%
$24.09
+$6.27
+35.2%
$4.96
17.1%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$18.87
+$1.05
+5.9%
$12.97
-$4.85
-27.2%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$14.51
-$3.31
-18.6%
$13.05
-$4.77
-26.8%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
16.0%
$13.57
-$4.25
-23.8%
$11.82
-$6.00
-33.7%
$1.75
12.9%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$9.69
-$8.13
-45.6%
$7.59
-$10.23
-57.4%
$2.10
21.7%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$9.47
-$8.35
-46.9%
$8.37
-$9.45
-53.0%
$1.10
11.6%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$9.33
-$8.49
-47.6%
$8.48
-$9.34
-52.4%
$0.85
9.1%
—
NUKE THIN BID
4.0%
$7.33
-$10.49
-58.9%
$5.38
-$12.44
-69.8%
$1.95
26.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 13.574,
"optimistic_value": 13.42,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:10:37.968447Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.0384725,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 9.694500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 9.46,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 7.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T17:41:03.882537Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.052462499999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 7.3294999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 7.27,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 5.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:21:19.865424Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.06995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 29.0475,
"optimistic_value": 28.54,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 24.09,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:25:46.088683Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.047566000000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 9.3305,
"optimistic_value": 9.25,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 8.48,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:28:42.890128Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.05596,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 9.468499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 9.36,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 8.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:04:33.651580Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_96c3f2069626251425db9e31",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.43,
"skin_id": "skin-df8e665e3faa",
"listing_id": "528753335311987293",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Assault",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-df8e665e3faa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:18.298561Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-df8e665e3faa",
"listing_id": "518619491402839852",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New)",
"name": "SCAR-20 | Assault",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-df8e665e3faa.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:02:18.298561Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "525375635592918547",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:09.719787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:14:09.719787Z"
},
{
"price": 0.95,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "528753335314230633",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:01.683121Z"
},
{
"price": 1.07,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "503983423969275595",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:08:01.683121Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:39.318057Z"
},
{
"price": 2.55,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613089304746343",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:46.701716Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605889842157771",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T15:07:46.701716Z"
},
{
"price": 2.99,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "490472790738237423",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:59:39.318057Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.49 Amberline 16.0% $2.88 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $2.87 Agent 4.0% $2.67 | $10.69 +191.4% | $4.56 +24.1% | 32.0% | +75.3% | $3.67 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 16.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 16.0% $10.78 Amberline 16.0% $6.11 Galigator 16.0% $5.59 Agent 4.0% $5.44 Buddy 4.0% $5.28 | $16.94 +140.2% | $7.94 +12.6% | 32.0% | +57.1% | $7.05 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Agent 2.0% $29.05 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +175.2% | $24.68 +32.5% | 56.0% | +72.7% | $18.63 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Agent 6.0% $29.05 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +194.5% | $22.05 +26.7% | 48.0% | +71.5% | $17.41 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Agent 8.0% $29.05 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +204.1% | $20.74 +23.0% | 44.0% | +70.9% | $16.86 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Agent 10.0% $29.05 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +205.4% | $19.43 +15.7% | 40.0% | +68.3% | $16.79 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Hydra  3.3% $109.82 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.67 Nostalgia  3.3% $38.84 Death by Puppy  3.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +194.9% | $128.66 +30.8% | 33.3% | +108.1% | $98.34 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Wildfire  5.0% $484.63 Commemoration  5.0% $117.77 | $843.46 +59.2% | $627.88 +18.5% | 45.0% | +39.7% | $529.72 | — |