The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
Popdog
2x $0.27
Fragment
4x $0.29
RMX
3x $0.36
Bock Blocks
1x $0.42
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
16.0% $5.85
Firebreathing
16.0% $3.69
Urban Sovereign
16.0% $2.46
Galigator
16.0% $2.29
Buddy
4.0% $2.25
Amberline
16.0% $2.12
Max Win
$5.85 (+75.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.96 (-11.5%)
Win %
32.0%
Volatility
+42.5%
Cost
$3.34
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.34
Ask Price EV $2.96 (-11.5%)
Bid Price EV $2.59 (-22.6%)
Ask Profit $-0.38 (-11.5%)
Bid Profit $-0.75 (-22.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+11.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.38
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.75
Risk
Win Probability 32.0%
Loss Probability 68.0%
Best Case $5.85 (+75.2%)
Worst Case $1.30 (-61.0%)
Volatility +42.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 68.0%
Avg Win +$1.43
Avg Loss -$1.24
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.37 (-59.1%)
Std Dev $1.42
Avg Norm Float 0.4603
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 155h 6m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MAG-7 | Popdog
—
Field-Tested
$0.27 Float: HIDDEN
MAG-7 | Popdog
—
Field-Tested
$0.28 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 54M 06S //TOTAL COST $3.34 //ASK PRICE EV $2.96 //BID PRICE EV $2.59 //ASK PROFIT $-0.38 (-11.5%) //BID PROFIT $-0.75 (-22.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 32.0% //BEST CASE $5.85 //VOLATILITY +42.5% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
16.0%
$5.85
+$2.51
+75.2%
$4.43
+$1.09
+32.6%
$1.42
24.3%
—
SMALL WIN
16.0%
$3.69
+$0.35
+10.6%
$3.65
+$0.31
+9.3%
$0.04
1.2%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.46
-$0.88
-26.3%
$2.18
-$1.16
-34.7%
$0.28
11.4%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.29
-$1.05
-31.5%
$2.16
-$1.18
-35.3%
$0.13
5.6%
—
LOSS
4.0%
$2.25
-$1.09
-32.5%
$1.92
-$1.42
-42.5%
$0.33
14.8%
—
LOSS
16.0%
$2.12
-$1.22
-36.5%
$1.90
-$1.44
-43.1%
$0.22
10.4%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.85
-$1.49
-44.5%
$1.70
-$1.64
-49.1%
$0.15
8.2%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.46
-$1.88
-56.2%
$1.24
-$2.10
-62.9%
$0.22
15.3%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.37
-$1.97
-59.1%
$1.28
-$2.06
-61.7%
$0.09
6.4%
—
NUKE
4.0%
$1.30
-$2.04
-61.0%
$1.21
-$2.13
-63.8%
$0.09
7.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.4603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 3.6935000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 3.69,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 3.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.559561Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.4603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 2.2885,
"optimistic_value": 2.25,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.870254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.4603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 5.8505,
"optimistic_value": 5.84,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 4.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.156004Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.4603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.12,
"optimistic_value": 2.12,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 1.9,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:07:11.795393Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16,
"output_float": 0.4603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.46,
"optimistic_value": 2.46,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.18,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.665920Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.25316500000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-31de22ad9746",
"realistic_value": 2.2544999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 2.23,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Buddy",
"conservative_value": 1.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:18:23.274333Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-31de22ad9746.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.345225,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"realistic_value": 1.464,
"optimistic_value": 1.45,
"output_full_name": "M249 | Aztec",
"conservative_value": 1.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:36.199489Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.4603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4ef86547d990",
"realistic_value": 1.3035,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Agent",
"conservative_value": 1.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:10:11.281356Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4ef86547d990.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.313004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5bcef416d83b",
"realistic_value": 1.8525,
"optimistic_value": 1.8,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Inferno",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:09.006931Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5bcef416d83b.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.04,
"output_float": 0.36824,
"output_skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"realistic_value": 1.3675,
"optimistic_value": 1.35,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:18:13.415872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_96c3f2069626251425db9e31",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.27,
"skin_id": "skin-25cbd4e0e058",
"listing_id": "518620288314699652",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Popdog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25cbd4e0e058.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:26.806782Z"
},
{
"price": 0.28,
"skin_id": "skin-25cbd4e0e058",
"listing_id": "514116523133848254",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAG-7 | Popdog",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-25cbd4e0e058.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:26.806782Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "528753387758395233",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:22.466070Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "499479989897464717",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:22.466070Z"
},
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "529879340432903412",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:22.466070Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "506235389470454088",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:22.466070Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "527627487625008320",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:32.527360Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "503983589619721927",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:32.527360Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "506235389469140196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:15:32.527360Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "498354142900989031",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T16:20:38.533199Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Agent 4.0% $29.05 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +181.9% | $23.36 +28.4% | 52.0% | +71.3% | $18.19 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 16.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 16.0% $6.12 Galigator 16.0% $3.49 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $2.98 Amberline 16.0% $2.84 Agent 4.0% $2.67 | $10.69 +192.2% | $4.56 +24.7% | 32.0% | +75.3% | $3.66 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 16.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 16.0% $10.78 Amberline 16.0% $6.01 Agent 4.0% $5.44 Galigator 16.0% $5.43 Buddy 4.0% $5.28 | $16.94 +122.8% | $7.87 +3.6% | 32.0% | +53.5% | $7.60 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Agent 2.0% $29.05 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +165.8% | $24.67 +27.9% | 38.0% | +70.2% | $19.29 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Agent 6.0% $29.05 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +194.2% | $22.05 +26.5% | 48.0% | +71.4% | $17.43 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 12.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 12.0% $31.66 Agent 8.0% $29.05 Amberline 12.0% $18.87 Galigator 12.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $13.85 | $51.27 +202.3% | $20.77 +22.5% | 44.0% | +70.3% | $16.96 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 10.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 10.0% $31.66 Agent 10.0% $29.05 Amberline 10.0% $18.87 Galigator 10.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $13.57 | $51.27 +206.1% | $19.43 +16.0% | 40.0% | +68.5% | $16.75 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Hydra  3.3% $109.82 Kintsugi  30.0% $60.46 Deathgaze  30.0% $58.67 Nostalgia  3.3% $38.84 Death by Puppy  3.3% $28.84 | $290.04 +192.2% | $128.67 +29.6% | 33.3% | +107.0% | $99.27 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Wildfire  5.0% $484.63 Commemoration  5.0% $117.77 | $843.46 +59.2% | $627.88 +18.5% | 45.0% | +39.7% | $529.72 | — |