The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
O.S.I.P.R.
1x $0.54
Light Box
3x $0.21
Motorized
2x $0.29
Hideout
2x $0.31
Dark Sigil
1x $0.36
Slag
1x $0.38
↓
Possible Outputs
Slate
2.0% $35.89
Trigger Discipline
2.0% $7.72
Etch Lord
18.0% $4.45
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Just Smile
18.0% $3.32
Cyber Shell
2.0% $2.68
Max Win
$35.89 (+1004.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.00 (+23.0%)
Win %
58.0%
Volatility
+144.2%
Cost
$3.25
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $3.25
Ask Price EV $4.00 (+23.0%)
Bid Price EV $3.59 (+10.6%)
Ask Profit $0.75 (+23.0%)
Bid Profit $0.34 (+10.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.40 (+12.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.75
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.34
Risk
Win Probability 58.0%
Loss Probability 42.0%
Best Case $35.89 (+1004.2%)
Worst Case $1.88 (-42.1%)
Volatility +144.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 22.0%
Avg Win +$1.96
Avg Loss -$0.93
Bottom 5% Outcome $2.02 (-37.9%)
Std Dev $4.69
Avg Norm Float 0.1482
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 143h 57m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | O.S.I.P.R.
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Motorized
—
Minimal Wear
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Nova | Dark Sigil
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Minimal Wear
$0.38 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 48S //TOTAL COST $3.25 //ASK PRICE EV $4.00 //BID PRICE EV $3.59 //ASK PROFIT $0.75 (+23.0%) //BID PROFIT $0.34 (+10.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 58.0% //BEST CASE $35.89 //VOLATILITY +144.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$35.89
+$32.64
+1004.2%
$31.83
+$28.58
+879.4%
$4.06
11.3%
—
BIG WIN
2.0%
$7.72
+$4.47
+137.4%
$6.92
+$3.67
+112.9%
$0.80
10.3%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.45
+$1.20
+36.8%
$3.86
+$0.61
+18.8%
$0.59
13.2%
—
WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$0.94
+28.9%
$3.88
+$0.63
+19.4%
$0.31
7.4%
—
PAPER WIN
18.0%
$3.32
+$0.07
+2.1%
$2.85
-$0.40
-12.3%
$0.47
14.1%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$2.68
-$0.57
-17.6%
$2.24
-$1.01
-31.1%
$0.44
16.3%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.63
-$0.62
-19.1%
$2.60
-$0.65
-20.0%
$0.03
1.2%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$2.29
-$0.96
-29.5%
$1.72
-$1.53
-47.1%
$0.57
24.9%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.02
-$1.23
-37.9%
$1.86
-$1.39
-42.8%
$0.16
7.9%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.88
-$1.37
-42.1%
$1.58
-$1.67
-51.4%
$0.30
16.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14815,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 2.6305,
"optimistic_value": 2.62,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 2.6,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:12:57.221700Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.09953828125,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14815,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 4.4475,
"optimistic_value": 4.43,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 3.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:47.747830Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.14815,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 3.3175,
"optimistic_value": 3.3,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:25.258742Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.091684109,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:52.072510Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14815,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48e1c7c5df5e",
"realistic_value": 35.8865,
"optimistic_value": 35.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Slate",
"conservative_value": 31.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:27:09.763644Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48e1c7c5df5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14370549999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-337794166cad",
"realistic_value": 7.7155,
"optimistic_value": 7.6,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline",
"conservative_value": 6.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:20:38.205064Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-337794166cad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14815,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d5acd24fcb47",
"realistic_value": 2.2915,
"optimistic_value": 2.26,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Button Masher",
"conservative_value": 1.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:02:15.960339Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5acd24fcb47.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.09629750000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bce9af58ff21",
"realistic_value": 1.8805,
"optimistic_value": 1.87,
"output_full_name": "Negev | dev_texture",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:15:29.005082Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bce9af58ff21.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.1259275,
"output_skin_id": "skin-24c6ed776121",
"realistic_value": 2.6774999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Cyber Shell",
"conservative_value": 2.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:28.287382Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-24c6ed776121.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9250a7cd2e41c80d79bfd63f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c6f056b9dbbc",
"listing_id": "505109489448628292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | O.S.I.P.R.",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c6f056b9dbbc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:57:31.888157Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:21.375196Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "521997988015699458",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:22.225185Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "501731789730516389",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "520872088106698692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:29.147912Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-806137e84f73",
"listing_id": "528753335314258353",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Motorized (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Motorized",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-806137e84f73.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:22.225185Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-baa1adba3189",
"listing_id": "505108692508590428",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Nova | Dark Sigil",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-baa1adba3189.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:55:48.313410Z"
},
{
"price": 0.38,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "508486392212133206",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:13:08.903612Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-28:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Slate 2.0% $22.82 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Trigger Discipline 2.0% $3.29 Etch Lord 18.0% $2.42 Analog Input 18.0% $2.02 dev_texture 2.0% $1.88 | $22.82 +831.6% | $2.70 +10.2% | 22.0% | +119.8% | $2.45 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 4.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 4.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Just Smile 16.0% $3.32 Hybrid 16.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +859.5% | $4.67 +24.9% | 40.0% | +169.8% | $3.74 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 6.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 6.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Just Smile 14.0% $3.32 Cyber Shell 6.0% $2.68 | $35.89 +723.1% | $5.35 +22.7% | 26.0% | +174.1% | $4.36 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 8.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 8.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Just Smile 12.0% $3.32 Hybrid 12.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +620.6% | $6.02 +20.9% | 16.0% | +173.4% | $4.98 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 10.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 10.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Just Smile 10.0% $3.32 Cyber Shell 10.0% $2.68 | $35.89 +536.3% | $6.71 +18.9% | 20.0% | +167.4% | $5.64 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 12.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 12.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Just Smile 8.0% $3.32 Cyber Shell 12.0% $2.68 | $35.89 +469.6% | $7.38 +17.2% | 24.0% | +161.1% | $6.30 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 14.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 14.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Just Smile 6.0% $3.32 Cyber Shell 14.0% $2.68 | $35.89 +409.8% | $8.06 +14.5% | 28.0% | +152.7% | $7.04 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 16.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 16.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Just Smile 4.0% $3.32 Hybrid 4.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +360.1% | $8.72 +11.8% | 16.0% | +141.9% | $7.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  23.3% $23.51 Jawbreaker  23.3% $14.90 Chromatic Aberration  10.0% $10.21 Food Chain  10.0% $9.95 Olympus  23.3% $8.88 XOXO  10.0% $6.20 | $23.51 +97.9% | $13.67 +15.1% | 46.7% | +50.8% | $11.88 | — |