The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
O.S.I.P.R.
1x $0.54
Hideout
4x $0.16
Slag
2x $0.16
Light Box
3x $0.21
↓
Possible Outputs
Slate
2.0% $22.82
Block-18
18.0% $4.19
Trigger Discipline
2.0% $3.29
Etch Lord
18.0% $2.28
Analog Input
18.0% $2.02
dev_texture
2.0% $1.88
Max Win
$22.82 (+851.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.67 (+11.5%)
Win %
22.0%
Volatility
+126.8%
Cost
$2.40
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.40
Ask Price EV $2.67 (+11.5%)
Bid Price EV $2.44 (+1.6%)
Ask Profit $0.27 (+11.5%)
Bid Profit $0.04 (+1.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.24 (+9.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.27
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.04
Risk
Win Probability 22.0%
Loss Probability 78.0%
Best Case $22.82 (+851.0%)
Worst Case $0.91 (-62.2%)
Volatility +126.8%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$3.40
Avg Loss -$0.61
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.47 (-38.8%)
Std Dev $3.04
Avg Norm Float 0.2213
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 146h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | O.S.I.P.R.
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Slag
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.23 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Light Box
—
Field-Tested
$0.24 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Hideout
—
Minimal Wear
$0.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 43M 26S //TOTAL COST $2.40 //ASK PRICE EV $2.67 //BID PRICE EV $2.44 //ASK PROFIT $0.27 (+11.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.04 (+1.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 22.0% //BEST CASE $22.82 //VOLATILITY +126.8% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
2.0%
$22.82
+$20.42
+851.0%
$19.69
+$17.29
+720.4%
$3.13
13.7%
—
BIG WIN
18.0%
$4.19
+$1.79
+74.6%
$3.88
+$1.48
+61.7%
$0.31
7.4%
—
WIN
2.0%
$3.29
+$0.89
+37.2%
$3.14
+$0.74
+30.8%
$0.15
4.7%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.28
-$0.12
-4.8%
$2.08
-$0.32
-13.3%
$0.20
8.9%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$2.02
-$0.38
-15.9%
$1.86
-$0.54
-22.5%
$0.16
7.9%
—
LOSS
2.0%
$1.88
-$0.52
-21.7%
$1.58
-$0.82
-34.2%
$0.30
16.0%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.56
-$0.84
-35.0%
$1.43
-$0.97
-40.4%
$0.13
8.3%
—
LOSS
18.0%
$1.47
-$0.93
-38.8%
$1.39
-$1.01
-42.1%
$0.08
5.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.13
-$1.27
-52.9%
$0.93
-$1.47
-61.2%
$0.20
17.7%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$0.91
-$1.49
-62.2%
$0.87
-$1.53
-63.7%
$0.04
4.1%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"realistic_value": 1.47,
"optimistic_value": 1.47,
"output_full_name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"conservative_value": 1.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:12:03.099285Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.148699375,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2c04c0201892",
"realistic_value": 4.1905,
"optimistic_value": 4.11,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Block-18",
"conservative_value": 3.88,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Block-18 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:50.971922Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2c04c0201892.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e160542d6d4",
"realistic_value": 2.284,
"optimistic_value": 2.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A4 | Etch Lord",
"conservative_value": 2.08,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A4 | Etch Lord (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:08:48.401801Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e160542d6d4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.22132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48f9126df040",
"realistic_value": 1.56,
"optimistic_value": 1.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Just Smile",
"conservative_value": 1.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Just Smile (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:04:39.434678Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48f9126df040.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.18,
"output_float": 0.1369660952,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"realistic_value": 2.0185,
"optimistic_value": 1.98,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"conservative_value": 1.86,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:45.638633Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48e1c7c5df5e",
"realistic_value": 22.8245,
"optimistic_value": 22.73,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Slate",
"conservative_value": 19.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:05:15.073405Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48e1c7c5df5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.2146804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-337794166cad",
"realistic_value": 3.2935,
"optimistic_value": 3.29,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline",
"conservative_value": 3.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:20.278039Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-337794166cad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.22132,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d5acd24fcb47",
"realistic_value": 0.9075,
"optimistic_value": 0.89,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Button Masher",
"conservative_value": 0.87,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:13:43.267328Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5acd24fcb47.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.14385799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bce9af58ff21",
"realistic_value": 1.88,
"optimistic_value": 1.88,
"output_full_name": "Negev | dev_texture",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:06:08.900639Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bce9af58ff21.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.18812199999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-24c6ed776121",
"realistic_value": 1.1305,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Cyber Shell",
"conservative_value": 0.93,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T05:40:09.320923Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-24c6ed776121.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_9250a7cd2e41c80d79bfd63f",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-c6f056b9dbbc",
"listing_id": "505109489448628292",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | O.S.I.P.R.",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c6f056b9dbbc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:11:08.140012Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "515242588555061773",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:02:02.277663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "526501587737921273",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:20.187620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "528753387756713457",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:02:02.277663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-80f2ee4e940f",
"listing_id": "496101493247435159",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Slag (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Slag",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80f2ee4e940f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:01:20.187620Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "514116523129581066",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:02:02.277663Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "514116523130036718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:57:01.363214Z"
},
{
"price": 0.23,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "527626690807043180",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:57:01.363214Z"
},
{
"price": 0.24,
"skin_id": "skin-543d85d8ca60",
"listing_id": "523123091065987798",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Light Box (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Light Box",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-543d85d8ca60.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:57:01.363214Z"
},
{
"price": 0.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8d6879f0a2bc",
"listing_id": "510738989040894814",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Hideout (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Hideout",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8d6879f0a2bc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:14:55.249753Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-28:1+collection-set-community-33:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Kilowatt Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 2.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 2.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 18.0% $4.45 Block-18 18.0% $4.19 Just Smile 18.0% $3.32 Hybrid 18.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +1011.0% | $4.00 +23.7% | 58.0% | +142.1% | $3.23 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 6.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 6.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 14.0% $4.45 Block-18 14.0% $4.19 Just Smile 14.0% $3.32 Hybrid 14.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +723.1% | $5.35 +22.6% | 26.0% | +175.0% | $4.36 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Kilowatt Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 4.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 4.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 16.0% $4.45 Block-18 16.0% $4.19 Just Smile 16.0% $3.32 Hybrid 16.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +839.4% | $4.66 +22.1% | 40.0% | +166.3% | $3.82 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×4+The Kilowatt Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 8.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 8.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 12.0% $4.45 Block-18 12.0% $4.19 Just Smile 12.0% $3.32 Hybrid 12.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +613.4% | $6.02 +19.7% | 16.0% | +171.6% | $5.03 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Kilowatt Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 10.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 10.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 10.0% $4.45 Block-18 10.0% $4.19 Just Smile 10.0% $3.32 Hybrid 10.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +531.8% | $6.70 +17.9% | 20.0% | +166.3% | $5.68 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×6+The Kilowatt Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 12.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 12.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 8.0% $4.45 Block-18 8.0% $4.19 Just Smile 8.0% $3.32 Hybrid 8.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +464.3% | $7.37 +15.9% | 24.0% | +158.9% | $6.36 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×7+The Kilowatt Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 14.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 14.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 6.0% $4.45 Block-18 6.0% $4.19 Just Smile 6.0% $3.32 Hybrid 6.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +407.6% | $8.05 +13.8% | 28.0% | +150.5% | $7.07 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×8+The Kilowatt Collection ×2 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Slate 16.0% $35.89 Trigger Discipline 16.0% $7.72 Etch Lord 4.0% $4.45 Block-18 4.0% $4.19 Just Smile 4.0% $3.32 Hybrid 4.0% $2.63 | $35.89 +360.1% | $8.72 +11.8% | 16.0% | +141.9% | $7.80 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×3+The Kilowatt Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Black Lotus  23.3% $23.51 Jawbreaker  23.3% $14.90 Chromatic Aberration  10.0% $10.21 Food Chain  10.0% $9.95 Olympus  23.3% $8.82 XOXO  10.0% $6.20 | $23.51 +97.9% | $13.66 +15.0% | 46.7% | +50.9% | $11.88 | — |