The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Crazy 8
1x $0.83
Dragon Tech
2x $0.89
Amberline
7x $1.91
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $45.29
Ice Coaled
10.0% $16.45
Deathgaze
23.3% $10.08
Kintsugi
23.3% $7.96
Visions
10.0% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
10.0% $5.85
Max Win
$45.29 (+142.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$17.69 (-5.4%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+82.7%
Cost
$18.71
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $18.71
Ask Price EV $17.69 (-5.4%)
Bid Price EV $16.03 (-14.3%)
Ask Profit $-1.02 (-5.4%)
Bid Profit $-2.68 (-14.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.67 (+8.9%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$1.02
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.68
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+142.0%)
Worst Case $5.85 (-68.7%)
Volatility +82.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$26.57
Avg Loss -$9.41
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.85 (-68.7%)
Std Dev $15.46
Avg Norm Float 0.4311
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 146h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
—
Well-Worn
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
—
Field-Tested
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
—
Field-Tested
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 59M 36S //TOTAL COST $18.71 //ASK PRICE EV $17.69 //BID PRICE EV $16.03 //ASK PROFIT $-1.02 (-5.4%) //BID PROFIT $-2.68 (-14.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +82.7% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
23.3%
$45.29
+$26.57
+142.0%
$41.72
+$23.01
+123.0%
$3.56
7.9%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$16.45
-$2.26
-12.1%
$14.54
-$4.17
-22.3%
$1.91
11.6%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$10.08
-$8.63
-46.1%
$8.25
-$10.46
-55.9%
$1.83
18.2%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$7.96
-$10.75
-57.5%
$7.67
-$11.04
-59.0%
$0.29
3.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$6.87
-$11.84
-63.3%
$5.70
-$13.01
-69.5%
$1.17
17.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$5.85
-$12.86
-68.7%
$5.55
-$13.16
-70.3%
$0.30
5.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.43108,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.43108,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.767827Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.43108,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.0805,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:03.660588Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.33193160000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
"realistic_value": 16.448999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 16.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:11:51.015917Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.30175599999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"realistic_value": 6.8740000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 6.86,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Visions",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:14:30.700437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.43108,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"realistic_value": 5.8545,
"optimistic_value": 5.83,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"conservative_value": 5.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.209868Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8de58fb3b4d28879a219b424",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"listing_id": "509613089304546327",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:40.173668Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-9acc418fe0ad",
"listing_id": "510738989041117942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Dragon Tech",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9acc418fe0ad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:04.719162Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-9acc418fe0ad",
"listing_id": "507361289453601085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Dragon Tech",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9acc418fe0ad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:04.719162Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737643639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "501731789730739121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-31:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Ice Coaled 10.0% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $58.41 Visions 10.0% $20.65 | $290.04 +241.1% | $110.92 +30.4% | 23.3% | +117.1% | $85.04 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 10.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.72 Visions 10.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $6.25 | $63.86 +217.7% | $23.54 +17.1% | 23.3% | +111.5% | $20.10 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Ice Coaled 10.0% $28.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $23.08 Deathgaze 23.3% $21.69 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $13.55 Visions 10.0% $10.49 | $126.41 +220.8% | $45.15 +14.6% | 23.3% | +114.4% | $39.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Ice Coaled 3.3% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 3.3% $58.41 Visions 3.3% $20.65 | $290.04 +201.5% | $129.49 +34.6% | 30.0% | +109.6% | $96.20 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Ice Coaled 6.7% $58.75 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.69 Kiss♥Love 6.7% $58.41 Visions 6.7% $20.65 | $290.04 +219.9% | $119.46 +31.8% | 26.7% | +114.0% | $90.67 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $64.80 Ice Coaled 13.3% $58.75 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.69 Kiss♥Love 13.3% $58.41 Visions 13.3% $20.65 | $290.04 +263.2% | $101.08 +26.6% | 20.0% | +119.5% | $79.86 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $64.80 Ice Coaled 16.7% $58.75 Deathgaze 16.7% $58.69 Kiss♥Love 16.7% $58.41 Visions 16.7% $20.65 | $290.04 +290.2% | $91.89 +23.6% | 16.7% | +120.8% | $74.33 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 20.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.72 Visions 20.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 20.0% $6.25 | $63.86 +335.6% | $17.68 +20.6% | 33.3% | +126.2% | $14.66 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled 23.3% $16.45 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.72 Visions 23.3% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 23.3% $6.43 | $63.86 +386.4% | $15.77 +20.1% | 33.3% | +125.8% | $13.13 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Ice Coaled 26.7% $16.45 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.72 Visions 26.7% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 26.7% $6.43 | $63.86 +440.3% | $13.82 +16.9% | 40.0% | +118.6% | $11.82 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 30.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 3.3% $11.72 Visions 30.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 30.0% $6.43 | $63.86 +487.5% | $11.87 +9.2% | 40.0% | +97.7% | $10.87 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign  16.0% $13.92 Crazy 8 4.0% $9.52 | $51.27 +197.1% | $22.08 +27.9% | 48.0% | +77.5% | $17.26 | — |