The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Crazy 8
1x $0.83
Dragon Tech
2x $0.89
Amberline
6x $1.93
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.30
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $63.86
Ice Coaled
10.0% $16.45
Kintsugi
23.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
23.3% $11.72
Visions
10.0% $6.87
Kiss♥Love
10.0% $6.25
Max Win
$63.86 (+217.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$23.54 (+17.1%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+111.5%
Cost
$20.10
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.10
Ask Price EV $23.54 (+17.1%)
Bid Price EV $21.66 (+7.8%)
Ask Profit $3.44 (+17.1%)
Bid Profit $1.56 (+7.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.88 (+9.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.44
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.56
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+217.7%)
Worst Case $6.25 (-68.9%)
Volatility +111.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$43.76
Avg Loss -$8.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $6.25 (-68.9%)
Std Dev $22.41
Avg Norm Float 0.3655
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 21m
Oldest Output Price 146h 50m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
—
Well-Worn
$0.83 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
—
Field-Tested
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Dragon Tech
—
Field-Tested
$0.96 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.30 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 59M 36S //TOTAL COST $20.10 //ASK PRICE EV $23.54 //BID PRICE EV $21.66 //ASK PROFIT $3.44 (+17.1%) //BID PROFIT $1.56 (+7.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +111.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
23.3%
$63.86
+$43.76
+217.7%
$60.32
+$40.22
+200.1%
$3.54
5.5%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$16.45
-$3.65
-18.2%
$14.54
-$5.56
-27.7%
$1.91
11.6%
—
LOSS
23.3%
$12.65
-$7.45
-37.1%
$9.57
-$10.53
-52.4%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
23.3%
$11.72
-$8.38
-41.7%
$11.68
-$8.42
-41.9%
$0.04
0.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$6.87
-$13.23
-65.8%
$5.70
-$14.40
-71.6%
$1.17
17.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$6.25
-$13.85
-68.9%
$6.07
-$14.03
-69.8%
$0.18
2.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.36546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.36546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.36546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.715,
"optimistic_value": 11.68,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 11.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:56.553427Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.2814042,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
"realistic_value": 16.448999999999998,
"optimistic_value": 16.33,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:11:51.015917Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.255822,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"realistic_value": 6.8740000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 6.86,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Visions",
"conservative_value": 5.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:14:30.700437Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.36546,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"realistic_value": 6.2465,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"conservative_value": 6.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:57:30.800098Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_8de58fb3b4d28879a219b424",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.83,
"skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"listing_id": "509613089304546327",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Well-Worn)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:42:40.173668Z"
},
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-9acc418fe0ad",
"listing_id": "510738989041117942",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Dragon Tech",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9acc418fe0ad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:04.719162Z"
},
{
"price": 0.96,
"skin_id": "skin-9acc418fe0ad",
"listing_id": "507361289453601085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SG 553 | Dragon Tech",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9acc418fe0ad.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:40:04.719162Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:47:18.132481Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:55.427620Z"
},
{
"price": 2.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "501731789730739121",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:45:05.598022Z"
},
{
"price": 3.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "528753335312272197",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T06:44:51.873215Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-31:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $64.80 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Ice Coaled 10.0% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $58.41 Visions 10.0% $20.65 | $290.04 +241.1% | $110.92 +30.4% | 23.3% | +117.1% | $85.04 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Ice Coaled 10.0% $28.04 Kintsugi 23.3% $23.08 Deathgaze 23.3% $21.69 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $13.55 Visions 10.0% $10.49 | $126.41 +220.8% | $45.15 +14.6% | 23.3% | +114.4% | $39.40 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 30.0% $64.80 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Ice Coaled 3.3% $58.75 Kiss♥Love 3.3% $58.41 Visions 3.3% $20.65 | $290.04 +201.5% | $129.49 +34.6% | 30.0% | +109.6% | $96.20 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 26.7% $64.80 Ice Coaled 6.7% $58.75 Deathgaze 26.7% $58.69 Kiss♥Love 6.7% $58.41 Visions 6.7% $20.65 | $290.04 +219.9% | $119.46 +31.8% | 26.7% | +114.0% | $90.67 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Kintsugi 20.0% $64.80 Ice Coaled 13.3% $58.75 Deathgaze 20.0% $58.69 Kiss♥Love 13.3% $58.41 Visions 13.3% $20.65 | $290.04 +263.2% | $101.08 +26.6% | 20.0% | +119.5% | $79.86 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Kintsugi 16.7% $64.80 Ice Coaled 16.7% $58.75 Deathgaze 16.7% $58.69 Kiss♥Love 16.7% $58.41 Visions 16.7% $20.65 | $290.04 +290.2% | $91.89 +23.6% | 16.7% | +120.8% | $74.33 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 20.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.72 Visions 20.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 20.0% $6.25 | $63.86 +335.6% | $17.68 +20.6% | 33.3% | +126.2% | $14.66 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Ice Coaled 23.3% $16.45 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.72 Visions 23.3% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 23.3% $6.43 | $63.86 +386.4% | $15.77 +20.1% | 33.3% | +125.8% | $13.13 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Ice Coaled 26.7% $16.45 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.72 Visions 26.7% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 26.7% $6.43 | $63.86 +440.3% | $13.82 +16.9% | 40.0% | +118.6% | $11.82 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $63.86 Ice Coaled 30.0% $16.45 Kintsugi 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 3.3% $11.72 Visions 30.0% $6.87 Kiss♥Love 30.0% $6.43 | $63.86 +487.5% | $11.87 +9.2% | 40.0% | +97.7% | $10.87 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 Crazy 8 4.0% $9.52 | $51.27 +197.1% | $22.08 +27.9% | 48.0% | +77.5% | $17.26 | — |