The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Exposure
2x $1.61
Amberline
7x $1.91
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $45.29
Leaded Glass
6.7% $20.86
High Roller
6.7% $15.81
Llama Cannon
6.7% $14.13
Deathgaze
26.7% $10.08
Kintsugi
26.7% $7.96
Max Win
$45.29 (+99.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.27 (-10.9%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+67.9%
Cost
$22.76
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $22.76
Ask Price EV $20.27 (-10.9%)
Bid Price EV $18.36 (-19.3%)
Ask Profit $-2.49 (-10.9%)
Bid Profit $-4.40 (-19.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.91 (+8.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$2.49
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.40
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $45.29 (+99.0%)
Worst Case $7.96 (-65.0%)
Volatility +67.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$22.52
Avg Loss -$11.58
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-65.0%)
Std Dev $15.45
Avg Norm Float 0.4390
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 143h 17m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Exposure
—
Field-Tested
$1.61 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Exposure
—
Field-Tested
$1.66 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.91 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.93 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 36S //TOTAL COST $22.76 //ASK PRICE EV $20.27 //BID PRICE EV $18.36 //ASK PROFIT $-2.49 (-10.9%) //BID PROFIT $-4.40 (-19.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +67.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$45.29
+$22.52
+99.0%
$41.72
+$18.96
+83.3%
$3.56
7.9%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$20.86
-$1.90
-8.4%
$19.41
-$3.35
-14.7%
$1.45
6.9%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$15.81
-$6.95
-30.5%
$12.74
-$10.02
-44.0%
$3.07
19.4%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$14.13
-$8.63
-37.9%
$12.68
-$10.08
-44.3%
$1.45
10.3%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$10.08
-$12.68
-55.7%
$8.25
-$14.51
-63.8%
$1.83
18.2%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$7.96
-$14.80
-65.0%
$7.67
-$15.09
-66.3%
$0.29
3.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-18|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.43905,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.43905,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:58.021612Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.43905,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 10.0805,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:13.822000Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.30733499999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c9be0566433c",
"realistic_value": 20.8585,
"optimistic_value": 20.61,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Leaded Glass",
"conservative_value": 19.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:36:47.660739Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c9be0566433c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.43905,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a0695188a122",
"realistic_value": 15.8085,
"optimistic_value": 13.39,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | High Roller",
"conservative_value": 12.74,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:28:40.824010Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a0695188a122.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.32416349999999994,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4cb968c36e88",
"realistic_value": 14.131,
"optimistic_value": 14.04,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon",
"conservative_value": 12.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:18.945094Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4cb968c36e88.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7f15529acf43a650aa0f8378",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.61,
"skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"listing_id": "518620288314134020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:47.420285Z"
},
{
"price": 1.66,
"skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"listing_id": "514116688949979042",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:47.420285Z"
},
{
"price": 1.91,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472790737643639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 1.93,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "515242588554990853",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:08.617706Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.551817Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "492724590626648601",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-18:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 High Roller 6.7% $68.87 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Leaded Glass 6.7% $62.72 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Llama Cannon 6.7% $29.22 | $290.04 +210.4% | $121.93 +30.5% | 26.7% | +108.9% | $93.43 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Leaded Glass 6.7% $31.51 Llama Cannon 6.7% $29.22 High Roller 6.7% $24.64 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +188.0% | $51.23 +16.7% | 26.7% | +103.5% | $43.89 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Leaded Glass 6.7% $20.86 High Roller 6.7% $16.09 Llama Cannon 6.7% $14.13 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +162.0% | $26.99 +10.7% | 26.7% | +91.7% | $24.37 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 High Roller 3.3% $68.87 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Leaded Glass 3.3% $62.72 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Llama Cannon 3.3% $29.22 | $290.04 +197.2% | $130.47 +33.7% | 30.0% | +107.2% | $97.60 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 High Roller 10.0% $68.87 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Leaded Glass 10.0% $62.72 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Llama Cannon 10.0% $29.22 | $290.04 +221.1% | $113.39 +25.5% | 23.3% | +108.5% | $90.33 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 High Roller 13.3% $68.87 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Leaded Glass 13.3% $62.72 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Llama Cannon 13.3% $29.22 | $290.04 +232.5% | $104.85 +20.2% | 20.0% | +107.0% | $87.22 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Leaded Glass 16.7% $31.51 Llama Cannon 16.7% $29.22 High Roller 16.7% $24.64 Kintsugi 16.7% $23.11 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.75 | $126.41 +239.5% | $42.77 +14.9% | 16.7% | +100.9% | $37.23 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Leaded Glass 20.0% $20.86 High Roller 20.0% $16.09 Llama Cannon 20.0% $14.13 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 | $63.86 +224.5% | $22.01 +11.8% | 33.3% | +84.8% | $19.68 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Leaded Glass 23.3% $31.51 Llama Cannon 23.3% $29.22 High Roller 23.3% $24.64 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.11 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.75 | $126.41 +263.9% | $37.05 +6.6% | 10.0% | +86.3% | $34.74 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 Tacticat  4.0% $9.72 | $51.27 +160.8% | $22.38 +13.9% | 32.0% | +67.7% | $19.66 | — |