The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Exposure
2x $5.90
Urban Sovereign
7x $4.72
Galigator
1x $9.00
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $290.04
High Roller
6.7% $68.87
Kintsugi
26.7% $65.51
Leaded Glass
6.7% $62.72
Deathgaze
26.7% $61.47
Llama Cannon
6.7% $29.22
Max Win
$290.04 (+209.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$121.93 (+30.3%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+108.7%
Cost
$93.59
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $93.59
Ask Price EV $121.93 (+30.3%)
Bid Price EV $99.64 (+6.5%)
Ask Profit $28.34 (+30.3%)
Bid Profit $6.05 (+6.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $22.28 (+23.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$28.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$6.05
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $290.04 (+209.9%)
Worst Case $29.22 (-68.8%)
Volatility +108.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$196.45
Avg Loss -$32.80
Bottom 5% Outcome $29.22 (-68.8%)
Std Dev $101.76
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 11m
Oldest Output Price 68h 7m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Exposure
—
Factory New
$5.90 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Exposure
—
Factory New
$7.83 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$7.53 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$9.00 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 39S //TOTAL COST $93.59 //ASK PRICE EV $121.93 //BID PRICE EV $99.64 //ASK PROFIT $28.34 (+30.3%) //BID PROFIT $6.05 (+6.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +108.7% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$290.04
+$196.45
+209.9%
$229.11
+$135.52
+144.8%
$60.93
21.0%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
6.7%
$68.87
-$24.72
-26.4%
$60.23
-$33.36
-35.6%
$8.64
12.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$65.51
-$28.08
-30.0%
$55.11
-$38.48
-41.1%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$62.72
-$30.87
-33.0%
$54.80
-$38.79
-41.4%
$7.92
12.6%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
26.7%
$61.47
-$32.12
-34.3%
$55.38
-$38.21
-40.8%
$6.09
9.9%
—
NUKE THIN BID
6.7%
$29.22
-$64.37
-68.8%
$21.19
-$72.40
-77.4%
$8.03
27.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-18|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:37.335337Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.06986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.465999999999994,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:31:44.183758Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.048902,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c9be0566433c",
"realistic_value": 62.722,
"optimistic_value": 61,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Leaded Glass",
"conservative_value": 54.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:13:13.066730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c9be0566433c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.06986,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a0695188a122",
"realistic_value": 68.87349999999999,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | High Roller",
"conservative_value": 60.23,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:42:51.504752Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a0695188a122.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.07680619999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4cb968c36e88",
"realistic_value": 29.2165,
"optimistic_value": 28.8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon",
"conservative_value": 21.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T07:50:58.583607Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4cb968c36e88.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7f15529acf43a650aa0f8378",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 5.9,
"skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"listing_id": "520872088105824252",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:47:12.315477Z"
},
{
"price": 7.83,
"skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"listing_id": "619949307130598659",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:47:12.315477Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
},
{
"price": 7.53,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "514116636505408218",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:31.788881Z"
},
{
"price": 9,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "496102237883506139",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:29.954532Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:55:34.463324Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-18:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $126.41 Leaded Glass 6.7% $31.51 Llama Cannon 6.7% $29.22 High Roller 6.7% $24.64 Kintsugi 26.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 26.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +190.1% | $51.23 +17.6% | 26.7% | +104.3% | $43.57 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Leaded Glass 6.7% $20.86 High Roller 6.7% $16.09 Llama Cannon 6.7% $14.13 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +172.4% | $26.99 +15.1% | 26.7% | +95.3% | $23.44 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 High Roller 3.3% $68.87 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Leaded Glass 3.3% $62.72 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Llama Cannon 3.3% $29.22 | $290.04 +198.8% | $130.47 +34.4% | 30.0% | +107.8% | $97.06 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 High Roller 10.0% $68.87 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Leaded Glass 10.0% $62.72 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Llama Cannon 10.0% $29.22 | $290.04 +220.3% | $113.39 +25.2% | 23.3% | +108.3% | $90.55 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 High Roller 13.3% $68.87 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Leaded Glass 13.3% $62.72 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Llama Cannon 13.3% $29.22 | $290.04 +229.0% | $104.85 +18.9% | 20.0% | +105.9% | $88.15 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Leaded Glass 16.7% $31.51 Llama Cannon 16.7% $29.22 High Roller 16.7% $24.64 Kintsugi 16.7% $23.12 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.23 | $126.41 +244.8% | $42.69 +16.4% | 16.7% | +102.6% | $36.66 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $126.41 Leaded Glass 20.0% $31.51 Llama Cannon 20.0% $29.22 High Roller 20.0% $24.64 Kintsugi 13.3% $23.12 Deathgaze 13.3% $21.23 | $126.41 +257.0% | $39.84 +12.5% | 13.3% | +96.4% | $35.41 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Leaded Glass 23.3% $20.86 High Roller 23.3% $16.09 Llama Cannon 23.3% $14.13 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +229.7% | $20.76 +7.2% | 33.3% | +75.8% | $19.37 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Amberline  18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.92 Tacticat  2.0% $9.72 | $51.27 +155.0% | $24.21 +20.4% | 36.0% | +68.0% | $20.11 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Classified → Covert Field-Tested ST | The Empress  15.0% $176.66 See Ya Later  15.0% $150.65 Queen's Gambit  35.0% $141.08 Fully Tuned  35.0% $105.54 | $176.66 +57.5% | $135.41 +20.7% | 65.0% | +22.1% | $112.17 | — |