The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Exposure
2x $2.68
Amberline
3x $3.52
Urban Sovereign
5x $3.64
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
26.7% $126.41
Leaded Glass
6.7% $31.51
Llama Cannon
6.7% $29.22
High Roller
6.7% $24.64
Kintsugi
26.7% $23.12
Deathgaze
26.7% $21.23
Max Win
$126.41 (+188.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$51.23 (+16.7%)
Win %
26.7%
Volatility
+103.5%
Cost
$43.89
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $43.89
Ask Price EV $51.23 (+16.7%)
Bid Price EV $45.24 (+3.1%)
Ask Profit $7.34 (+16.7%)
Bid Profit $1.35 (+3.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.99 (+13.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$7.34
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.35
Risk
Win Probability 26.7%
Loss Probability 73.3%
Best Case $126.41 (+188.0%)
Worst Case $21.23 (-51.6%)
Volatility +103.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 73.3%
Avg Win +$82.52
Avg Loss -$20.00
Bottom 5% Outcome $21.23 (-51.6%)
Std Dev $45.42
Avg Norm Float 0.1478
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 17m
Oldest Output Price 143h 29m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Exposure
—
Minimal Wear
$2.68 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Exposure
—
Minimal Wear
$2.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.52 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$4.67 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 42M 35S //TOTAL COST $43.89 //ASK PRICE EV $51.23 //BID PRICE EV $45.24 //ASK PROFIT $7.34 (+16.7%) //BID PROFIT $1.35 (+3.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 26.7% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +103.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
26.7%
$126.41
+$82.52
+188.0%
$112.39
+$68.50
+156.1%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS
6.7%
$31.51
-$12.38
-28.2%
$27.37
-$16.52
-37.6%
$4.14
13.1%
—
LOSS THIN BID
6.7%
$29.22
-$14.67
-33.4%
$21.19
-$22.70
-51.7%
$8.03
27.5%
—
NUKE
6.7%
$24.64
-$19.25
-43.9%
$20.25
-$23.64
-53.9%
$4.39
17.8%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$23.12
-$20.77
-47.3%
$20.66
-$23.23
-52.9%
$2.46
10.7%
—
NUKE
26.7%
$21.23
-$22.66
-51.6%
$19.38
-$24.51
-55.8%
$1.85
8.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-18|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 2,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 8,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14781,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14781,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.1245,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.895772Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.26666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14781,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:00.741590Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.10346699999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-c9be0566433c",
"realistic_value": 31.5125,
"optimistic_value": 31.25,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Leaded Glass",
"conservative_value": 27.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:29.919227Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-c9be0566433c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.14781,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a0695188a122",
"realistic_value": 24.639499999999998,
"optimistic_value": 22.83,
"output_full_name": "PP-Bizon | High Roller",
"conservative_value": 20.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:07:48.107789Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a0695188a122.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.06666666666666667,
"output_float": 0.1290327,
"output_skin_id": "skin-4cb968c36e88",
"realistic_value": 29.2165,
"optimistic_value": 28.8,
"output_full_name": "R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon",
"conservative_value": 21.19,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Spectrum 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-05T07:50:58.583607Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-4cb968c36e88.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_7f15529acf43a650aa0f8378",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.68,
"skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"listing_id": "496102124624307071",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:36:59.329095Z"
},
{
"price": 2.72,
"skin_id": "skin-fe7065d1a17d",
"listing_id": "518620122758083540",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-18",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Exposure",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fe7065d1a17d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:36:59.329095Z"
},
{
"price": 3.52,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "497228024527485521",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:53.081140Z"
},
{
"price": 4.67,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "508487023588144070",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:25.544356Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550388512",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:57.435938Z"
},
{
"price": 6.41,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "528753387757823085",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:18.432179Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-18:2+collection-set-community-37:8"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 High Roller 6.7% $68.87 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Leaded Glass 6.7% $62.72 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Llama Cannon 6.7% $29.22 | $290.04 +210.4% | $121.93 +30.5% | 26.7% | +108.9% | $93.43 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $63.86 Leaded Glass 6.7% $20.86 High Roller 6.7% $16.09 Llama Cannon 6.7% $14.13 Kintsugi 26.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 26.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +162.0% | $26.99 +10.7% | 26.7% | +91.7% | $24.37 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $290.04 High Roller 3.3% $68.87 Kintsugi 30.0% $65.51 Leaded Glass 3.3% $62.72 Deathgaze 30.0% $61.47 Llama Cannon 3.3% $29.22 | $290.04 +197.2% | $130.47 +33.7% | 30.0% | +107.2% | $97.60 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 High Roller 10.0% $68.87 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Leaded Glass 10.0% $62.72 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Llama Cannon 10.0% $29.22 | $290.04 +221.1% | $113.39 +25.5% | 23.3% | +108.5% | $90.33 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 High Roller 13.3% $68.87 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Leaded Glass 13.3% $62.72 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Llama Cannon 13.3% $29.22 | $290.04 +232.5% | $104.85 +20.2% | 20.0% | +107.0% | $87.22 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $126.41 Leaded Glass 16.7% $31.51 Llama Cannon 16.7% $29.22 High Roller 16.7% $24.64 Kintsugi 16.7% $23.11 Deathgaze 16.7% $21.75 | $126.41 +239.5% | $42.77 +14.9% | 16.7% | +100.9% | $37.23 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Leaded Glass 20.0% $20.86 High Roller 20.0% $16.09 Llama Cannon 20.0% $14.13 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 | $63.86 +224.5% | $22.01 +11.8% | 33.3% | +84.8% | $19.68 | — |
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $126.41 Leaded Glass 23.3% $31.51 Llama Cannon 23.3% $29.22 High Roller 23.3% $24.64 Kintsugi 10.0% $23.11 Deathgaze 10.0% $21.75 | $126.41 +263.9% | $37.05 +6.6% | 10.0% | +86.3% | $34.74 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Spectrum 2 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator  16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.92 Tacticat  4.0% $9.72 | $51.27 +160.8% | $22.38 +13.9% | 32.0% | +67.7% | $19.66 | — |