The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified MW 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear
Inputs
Crazy 8
1x $0.89
Vent Rush
2x $1.18
Downtown
1x $1.35
Urban Sovereign
2x $1.87
Amberline
4x $2.11
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
20.0% $60.44
Kintsugi
20.0% $16.60
Deathgaze
20.0% $16.56
Ice Coaled
13.3% $11.71
Kiss♥Love
13.3% $9.35
Visions
13.3% $7.73
Max Win
$60.44 (+195.7%)
EV (ROI %)
$22.56 (+10.4%)
Win %
20.0%
Volatility
+94.0%
Cost
$20.44
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.44
Ask Price EV $22.56 (+10.4%)
Bid Price EV $21.63 (+5.8%)
Ask Profit $2.12 (+10.4%)
Bid Profit $1.19 (+5.8%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.93 (+4.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.12
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.19
Risk
Win Probability 20.0%
Loss Probability 80.0%
Best Case $60.44 (+195.7%)
Worst Case $7.73 (-62.2%)
Volatility +94.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$40.00
Avg Loss -$7.35
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.73 (-62.2%)
Std Dev $19.22
Avg Norm Float 0.1497
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 153h 14m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
R8 Revolver | Crazy 8
—
Field-Tested
$0.89 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Vent Rush
—
Minimal Wear
$1.18 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Vent Rush
—
Minimal Wear
$1.29 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Downtown
—
Minimal Wear
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$1.87 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.11 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$2.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$3.10 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$3.14 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$3.15 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 45M 37S //TOTAL COST $20.44 //ASK PRICE EV $22.56 //BID PRICE EV $21.63 //ASK PROFIT $2.12 (+10.4%) //BID PROFIT $1.19 (+5.8%) //WIN PROBABILITY 20.0% //BEST CASE $60.44 //VOLATILITY +94.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$60.44
+$40.00
+195.7%
$56.50
+$36.06
+176.4%
$3.94
6.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$16.60
-$3.84
-18.8%
$16.40
-$4.04
-19.8%
$0.20
1.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
20.0%
$16.56
-$3.88
-19.0%
$16.46
-$3.98
-19.5%
$0.10
0.6%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$11.71
-$8.73
-42.7%
$11.33
-$9.11
-44.6%
$0.38
3.2%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
13.3%
$9.35
-$11.09
-54.3%
$9.33
-$11.11
-54.4%
$0.02
0.2%
—
NUKE
13.3%
$7.73
-$12.71
-62.2%
$7.52
-$12.92
-63.2%
$0.21
2.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-31|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|normal",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 60.4355,
"optimistic_value": 59.76,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 56.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:07:33.404330Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 16.6035,
"optimistic_value": 16.6,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 16.4,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:01:25.499674Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.19999999999999998,
"output_float": 0.14972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 16.564,
"optimistic_value": 16.48,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 16.46,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:39:55.885704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.1152844,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f10cd3871578",
"realistic_value": 11.708499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 11.67,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled",
"conservative_value": 11.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:29:03.652321Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f10cd3871578.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.104804,
"output_skin_id": "skin-5f1071439b89",
"realistic_value": 7.7295,
"optimistic_value": 7.6,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Visions",
"conservative_value": 7.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Visions (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:56:32.166501Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5f1071439b89.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14972,
"output_skin_id": "skin-6f81f65a9d91",
"realistic_value": 9.3505,
"optimistic_value": 9.34,
"output_full_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love",
"conservative_value": 9.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Recoil Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:09:56.892770Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f81f65a9d91.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_79d1652e6bb4463ea061e9a0",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.89,
"skin_id": "skin-ab0f49fac59d",
"listing_id": "500605942756136879",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8 (Field-Tested)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Crazy 8",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ab0f49fac59d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:07.339994Z"
},
{
"price": 1.18,
"skin_id": "skin-e2b145a9faa7",
"listing_id": "527627540538268832",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Vent Rush",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2b145a9faa7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:04.883397Z"
},
{
"price": 1.29,
"skin_id": "skin-e2b145a9faa7",
"listing_id": "520872141037553448",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Vent Rush (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "P90 | Vent Rush",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e2b145a9faa7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T13:59:04.883397Z"
},
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-302f05527562",
"listing_id": "515242588553883781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-31",
"market_hash_name": "M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Downtown",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-302f05527562.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:12:55.471794Z"
},
{
"price": 1.87,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "497228243055853289",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:17:49.700043Z"
},
{
"price": 2.11,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "524249840859683451",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:02.257099Z"
},
{
"price": 2.36,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "499480042827891505",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:10:02.257099Z"
},
{
"price": 3.1,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "520872141038091792",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:16:00.780786Z"
},
{
"price": 3.14,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "499480042828619209",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:48.745056Z"
},
{
"price": 3.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857742727303848",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T14:20:48.745056Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|normal|10|collection-set-community-31:4+collection-set-community-37:6"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 20.0% $35.39 Kintsugi 20.0% $9.44 Deathgaze 20.0% $9.16 Ice Coaled 13.3% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 13.3% $5.56 Visions 13.3% $5.18 | $35.39 +245.6% | $13.14 +28.3% | 20.0% | +109.8% | $10.24 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Crane Flight 20.0% $28.87 Kintsugi 20.0% $8.04 Deathgaze 20.0% $8.03 Ice Coaled 13.3% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 13.3% $5.69 Visions 13.3% $5.18 | $28.87 +193.7% | $11.35 +15.4% | 20.0% | +89.8% | $9.83 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 23.3% $35.39 Kintsugi 23.3% $9.44 Deathgaze 23.3% $9.16 Ice Coaled 10.0% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 10.0% $5.56 Visions 10.0% $5.18 | $35.39 +214.8% | $14.35 +27.7% | 23.3% | +104.1% | $11.24 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 26.7% $35.39 Kintsugi 26.7% $9.44 Deathgaze 26.7% $9.16 Ice Coaled 6.7% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 6.7% $5.56 Visions 6.7% $5.08 | $35.39 +189.1% | $15.56 +27.1% | 26.7% | +98.3% | $12.24 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 16.7% $35.39 Kintsugi 16.7% $9.44 Deathgaze 16.7% $9.16 Ice Coaled 16.7% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 16.7% $5.56 Visions 16.7% $5.08 | $35.39 +272.1% | $11.91 +25.2% | 16.7% | +111.8% | $9.51 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 30.0% $35.39 Kintsugi 30.0% $9.44 Deathgaze 30.0% $9.16 Ice Coaled 3.3% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 3.3% $5.56 Visions 3.3% $5.18 | $35.39 +161.0% | $16.78 +23.8% | 30.0% | +90.2% | $13.56 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested | Crane Flight 13.3% $35.39 Kintsugi 13.3% $9.44 Deathgaze 13.3% $9.16 Ice Coaled 20.0% $6.83 Kiss♥Love 20.0% $5.56 Visions 20.0% $5.18 | $35.39 +300.8% | $10.71 +21.3% | 40.0% | +111.1% | $8.83 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Recoil Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Electrum  16.0% $7.00 Firebreathing  16.0% $5.02 Galigator  16.0% $3.28 Amberline 16.0% $3.14 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $3.11 Flora Carnivora  4.0% $1.71 | $7.00 +113.3% | $3.72 +13.5% | 48.0% | +46.2% | $3.28 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Classified → Covert Field-Tested | Fully Tuned  30.0% $106.25 Queen's Gambit  30.0% $94.52 Printstream  20.0% $55.60 Chromatic Aberration  20.0% $52.52 | $106.25 +61.4% | $81.85 +24.4% | 60.0% | +35.2% | $65.82 | — |
The Recoil Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Covert → Extraordinary Well-Worn | Ultra Violent  3.6% $1,699.39 Occult  3.6% $1,063.78 Nocts  0.8% $964.25 Cloud Chaser  3.6% $887.82 Pillow Punchers  3.6% $639.66 Slingshot  0.8% $606.43 | $1,699.39 +369.8% | $415.27 +14.8% | 35.2% | +82.0% | $361.75 | — |