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The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7

Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Battle-Scarred -0.6%Field-Tested +20.8%Minimal Wear +22.5%Well-Worn -0.9%
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
3x $1.20
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
7x $2.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $45.29
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
10.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
10.0% $11.26
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $10.22
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
10.0% $8.88
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $7.96
Max Win
$45.29 (+134.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$19.17 (-0.9%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+77.7%
Cost
$19.35
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $19.35
Ask Price EV $19.17 (-0.9%)
Bid Price EV $17.56 (-9.3%)
Ask Profit $-0.18 (-0.9%)
Bid Profit $-1.79 (-9.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.61 (+8.3%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.18
Bid Slippage Buffer -$1.79
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $45.29 (+134.0%)
Worst Case $7.96 (-58.9%)
Volatility +77.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$19.40
Avg Loss -$9.97
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-58.9%)
Std Dev $15.03
Avg Norm Float 0.4470
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 7h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Sign in to Validate
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn)
$1.27 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn)
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 12S //TOTAL COST $19.35 //ASK PRICE EV $19.17 //BID PRICE EV $17.56 //ASK PROFIT $-0.18 (-0.9%) //BID PROFIT $-1.79 (-9.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +77.7% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON) 
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.44701,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 45.285,
      "optimistic_value": 44.9,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 41.72,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.44701,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 7.96,
      "optimistic_value": 7.89,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 7.67,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:04.383011Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.44701,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 10.2155,
      "optimistic_value": 10.17,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 8.25,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:03.108572Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.09999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.312907,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-63c1d72b8501",
      "realistic_value": 23.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 23.32,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Black Lotus",
      "conservative_value": 22.28,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:42.656806Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63c1d72b8501.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.09999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.44701,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-803657465fa6",
      "realistic_value": 11.2575,
      "optimistic_value": 11.17,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Jawbreaker",
      "conservative_value": 10.43,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Well-Worn)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:42.287940Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803657465fa6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.09999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.2994967,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9eb2feb216c5",
      "realistic_value": 8.883000000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 8.82,
      "output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Olympus",
      "conservative_value": 8.39,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:26:27.703535Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb2feb216c5.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_73b807b036eb4a883feca8ba",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.2,
      "skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
      "listing_id": "521997935572493934",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:58.004252Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.27,
      "skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
      "listing_id": "494976390476808726",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:15.390440Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.28,
      "skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
      "listing_id": "527627487623868596",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:15.390440Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $126.41
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
10.0% $37.06
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
10.0% $26.91
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $23.12
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $21.23
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
10.0% $15.72
$126.41
+224.0%
$47.81
+22.5%
23.3%+111.9%$39.02—
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
10.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
10.0% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $11.91
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
10.0% $8.88
$63.86
+204.2%
$25.36
+20.8%
33.3%+102.6%$20.99—
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
13.3% $76.51
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $65.51
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
13.3% $62.28
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $61.47
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
13.3% $29.00
$290.04
+266.3%
$105.77
+33.6%
20.0%+117.5%$79.19—
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
16.7% $290.04
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
16.7% $76.51
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
16.7% $65.51
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
16.7% $62.28
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
16.7% $61.47
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
16.7% $29.00
$290.04
+286.7%
$97.47
+30.0%
33.3%+116.5%$75.00—
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted → Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $290.04
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
20.0% $76.51
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $65.51
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
20.0% $62.28
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $61.47
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
20.0% $29.00
$290.04
+307.6%
$89.16
+25.3%
33.3%+112.9%$71.16—
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
6.7% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
26.7% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
26.7% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
6.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
6.7% $11.91
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
26.7% $8.88
$63.86
+314.4%
$18.51
+20.1%
33.3%+86.4%$15.41—
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
23.3% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
23.3% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $10.67
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
23.3% $8.53
$63.86
+289.4%
$19.67
+19.9%
33.3%+95.6%$16.40—
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
3.3% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
30.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
30.0% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
3.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
3.3% $10.67
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
30.0% $8.53
$63.86
+339.5%
$16.99
+16.9%
63.3%+72.4%$14.53—
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
14.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.19
Etch Lord
M4A4 | Etch Lord
6.0% $2.49
$10.69
+237.3%
$4.24
+33.8%
70.0%+83.1%$3.17—
FS

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