The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Hybrid
2x $2.65
Analog Input
1x $2.73
Amberline
1x $3.18
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $126.41
Black Lotus
10.0% $37.06
Jawbreaker
10.0% $26.91
Kintsugi
23.3% $23.12
Deathgaze
23.3% $21.23
Olympus
10.0% $15.72
Max Win
$126.41 (+224.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$47.81 (+22.5%)
Win %
23.3%
Volatility
+111.9%
Cost
$39.02
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $39.02
Ask Price EV $47.81 (+22.5%)
Bid Price EV $42.49 (+8.9%)
Ask Profit $8.79 (+22.5%)
Bid Profit $3.47 (+8.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.32 (+13.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$8.79
Bid Slippage Buffer +$3.47
Risk
Win Probability 23.3%
Loss Probability 76.7%
Best Case $126.41 (+224.0%)
Worst Case $15.72 (-59.7%)
Volatility +111.9%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$87.39
Avg Loss -$15.13
Bottom 5% Outcome $15.72 (-59.7%)
Std Dev $43.67
Avg Norm Float 0.1491
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 7h 10m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Minimal Wear
$2.65 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
—
Minimal Wear
$2.73 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Minimal Wear
$3.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.18 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 45S //TOTAL COST $39.02 //ASK PRICE EV $47.81 //BID PRICE EV $42.49 //ASK PROFIT $8.79 (+22.5%) //BID PROFIT $3.47 (+8.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 23.3% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +111.9% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$126.41
+$87.39
+224.0%
$112.39
+$73.37
+188.0%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS
10.0%
$37.06
-$1.96
-5.0%
$31.30
-$7.72
-19.8%
$5.76
15.5%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$26.91
-$12.11
-31.0%
$24.24
-$14.78
-37.9%
$2.67
9.9%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$23.12
-$15.90
-40.7%
$20.66
-$18.36
-47.1%
$2.46
10.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$21.23
-$17.79
-45.6%
$19.38
-$19.64
-50.3%
$1.85
8.7%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$15.72
-$23.30
-59.7%
$13.68
-$25.34
-64.9%
$2.04
13.0%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 23.121000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 22.96,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.086341Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 21.23,
"optimistic_value": 20.6,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.001396Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.10439799999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-63c1d72b8501",
"realistic_value": 37.059,
"optimistic_value": 36.8,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Black Lotus",
"conservative_value": 31.3,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:42.092942Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63c1d72b8501.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.14914,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803657465fa6",
"realistic_value": 26.905,
"optimistic_value": 26.45,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Jawbreaker",
"conservative_value": 24.24,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:24:11.948438Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803657465fa6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.09992380000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb2feb216c5",
"realistic_value": 15.7235,
"optimistic_value": 15.58,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Olympus",
"conservative_value": 13.68,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:06.588436Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb2feb216c5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_73b807b036eb4a883feca8ba",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 2.65,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "524249735518035879",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:18.966685Z"
},
{
"price": 2.73,
"skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"listing_id": "508487189339475938",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:37.154409Z"
},
{
"price": 3.38,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "498353293079026567",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:51:18.966685Z"
},
{
"price": 3.18,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "502857689861474128",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:48:59.510287Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.257802Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $63.86 Black Lotus 10.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker 10.0% $14.90 Kintsugi 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 23.3% $11.91 Olympus 10.0% $8.88 | $63.86 +204.2% | $25.36 +20.8% | 33.3% | +102.6% | $20.99 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Jawbreaker 13.3% $76.51 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Black Lotus 13.3% $62.28 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Olympus 13.3% $29.00 | $290.04 +266.3% | $105.77 +33.6% | 20.0% | +117.5% | $79.19 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Jawbreaker 16.7% $76.51 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Black Lotus 16.7% $62.28 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Olympus 16.7% $29.00 | $290.04 +286.7% | $97.47 +30.0% | 33.3% | +116.5% | $75.00 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Jawbreaker 20.0% $76.51 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Black Lotus 20.0% $62.28 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Olympus 20.0% $29.00 | $290.04 +307.6% | $89.16 +25.3% | 33.3% | +112.9% | $71.16 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Black Lotus 26.7% $23.51 Jawbreaker 26.7% $14.90 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.91 Olympus 26.7% $8.88 | $63.86 +314.4% | $18.51 +20.1% | 33.3% | +86.4% | $15.41 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Black Lotus 23.3% $23.51 Jawbreaker 23.3% $14.90 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $10.67 Olympus 23.3% $8.53 | $63.86 +289.4% | $19.67 +19.9% | 33.3% | +95.6% | $16.40 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $63.86 Black Lotus 30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker 30.0% $14.90 Kintsugi 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 3.3% $10.67 Olympus 30.0% $8.53 | $63.86 +339.5% | $16.99 +16.9% | 63.3% | +72.4% | $14.53 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  14.0% $6.12 Galigator  14.0% $3.26 Amberline 14.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.19 Etch Lord  6.0% $2.49 | $10.69 +237.3% | $4.24 +33.8% | 70.0% | +83.1% | $3.17 | — |