The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Hybrid
3x $1.28
Amberline
6x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
23.3% $63.86
Black Lotus
10.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
10.0% $14.90
Kintsugi
23.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
23.3% $11.91
Olympus
10.0% $8.88
Max Win
$63.86 (+204.2%)
EV (ROI %)
$25.36 (+20.8%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+102.6%
Cost
$20.99
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $20.99
Ask Price EV $25.36 (+20.8%)
Bid Price EV $22.93 (+9.2%)
Ask Profit $4.37 (+20.8%)
Bid Profit $1.94 (+9.2%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.43 (+11.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$4.37
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.94
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $63.86 (+204.2%)
Worst Case $8.88 (-57.7%)
Volatility +102.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$30.77
Avg Loss -$8.83
Bottom 5% Outcome $8.88 (-57.7%)
Std Dev $21.54
Avg Norm Float 0.3794
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 7h 10m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Well-Worn
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Field-Tested
$1.49 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Field-Tested
$1.58 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 24M 48S //TOTAL COST $20.99 //ASK PRICE EV $25.36 //BID PRICE EV $22.93 //ASK PROFIT $4.37 (+20.8%) //BID PROFIT $1.94 (+9.2%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +102.6% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$63.86
+$42.87
+204.2%
$60.32
+$39.33
+187.4%
$3.54
5.5%
—
SMALL WIN
10.0%
$23.51
+$2.52
+12.0%
$22.28
+$1.29
+6.1%
$1.23
5.2%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
10.0%
$14.90
-$6.09
-29.0%
$13.35
-$7.64
-36.4%
$1.55
10.4%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$12.65
-$8.34
-39.7%
$9.57
-$11.42
-54.4%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
23.3%
$11.91
-$9.08
-43.2%
$9.52
-$11.47
-54.6%
$2.39
20.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$8.88
-$12.11
-57.7%
$8.39
-$12.60
-60.0%
$0.49
5.5%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.913,
"optimistic_value": 11.78,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:59.565944Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.26560799999999996,
"output_skin_id": "skin-63c1d72b8501",
"realistic_value": 23.5125,
"optimistic_value": 23.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Black Lotus",
"conservative_value": 22.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:42.656806Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63c1d72b8501.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.37944,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803657465fa6",
"realistic_value": 14.8975,
"optimistic_value": 14.74,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Jawbreaker",
"conservative_value": 13.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T21:51:27.043661Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803657465fa6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.25422480000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb2feb216c5",
"realistic_value": 8.883000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.82,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Olympus",
"conservative_value": 8.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:26:27.703535Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb2feb216c5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_73b807b036eb4a883feca8ba",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.28,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "527627487623868596",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:15.390440Z"
},
{
"price": 1.49,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "520871922576548376",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:16.708055Z"
},
{
"price": 1.58,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "497228024527461185",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:34:16.708055Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.565913Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $126.41 Black Lotus 10.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker 10.0% $26.91 Kintsugi 23.3% $23.12 Deathgaze 23.3% $21.23 Olympus 10.0% $15.72 | $126.41 +224.0% | $47.81 +22.5% | 23.3% | +111.9% | $39.02 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Jawbreaker 13.3% $76.51 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Black Lotus 13.3% $62.28 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Olympus 13.3% $29.00 | $290.04 +266.3% | $105.77 +33.6% | 20.0% | +117.5% | $79.19 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $290.04 Jawbreaker 16.7% $76.51 Kintsugi 16.7% $65.51 Black Lotus 16.7% $62.28 Deathgaze 16.7% $61.47 Olympus 16.7% $29.00 | $290.04 +286.7% | $97.47 +30.0% | 33.3% | +116.5% | $75.00 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $290.04 Jawbreaker 20.0% $76.51 Kintsugi 13.3% $65.51 Black Lotus 20.0% $62.28 Deathgaze 13.3% $61.47 Olympus 20.0% $29.00 | $290.04 +307.6% | $89.16 +25.3% | 33.3% | +112.9% | $71.16 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 6.7% $63.86 Black Lotus 26.7% $23.51 Jawbreaker 26.7% $14.90 Kintsugi 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze 6.7% $11.91 Olympus 26.7% $8.88 | $63.86 +314.4% | $18.51 +20.1% | 33.3% | +86.4% | $15.41 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Black Lotus 23.3% $23.51 Jawbreaker 23.3% $14.90 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze 10.0% $10.67 Olympus 23.3% $8.53 | $63.86 +289.4% | $19.67 +19.9% | 33.3% | +95.6% | $16.40 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 3.3% $63.86 Black Lotus 30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker 30.0% $14.90 Kintsugi 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze 3.3% $10.67 Olympus 30.0% $8.53 | $63.86 +339.5% | $16.99 +16.9% | 63.3% | +72.4% | $14.53 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  14.0% $6.12 Galigator  14.0% $3.26 Amberline 14.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $3.19 Etch Lord  6.0% $2.49 | $10.69 +237.3% | $4.24 +33.8% | 70.0% | +83.1% | $3.17 | — |