The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted → Classified BS ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
Analog Input

1x $1.19
Hybrid

2x $1.20
Amberline

7x $2.08
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight

23.3% $46.25
Black Lotus

10.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker

10.0% $10.14
Kintsugi

23.3% $9.34
Olympus

10.0% $8.88
Deathgaze

23.3% $7.94
Max Win
$46.25 (+140.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$19.08 (-0.6%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+81.3%
Cost
$19.20
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $19.20
Ask Price EV $19.08 (-0.6%)
Bid Price EV $18.29 (-4.7%)
Ask Profit $-0.12 (-0.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.91 (-4.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.78 (+4.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.12
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.91
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $46.25 (+140.9%)
Worst Case $7.94 (-58.7%)
Volatility +81.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$20.23
Avg Loss -$10.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.94 (-58.7%)
Std Dev $15.61
Avg Norm Float 0.4808
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 7h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
—
Well-Worn

$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Battle-Scarred

$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
—
Battle-Scarred

$1.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred

$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn

$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 11S //TOTAL COST $19.20 //ASK PRICE EV $19.08 //BID PRICE EV $18.29 //ASK PROFIT $-0.12 (-0.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.91 (-4.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $46.25 //VOLATILITY +81.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN
23.3%
$46.25
+$27.05
+140.9%
$43.83
+$24.63
+128.3%
$2.42
5.2%
—

WIN
10.0%
$23.51
+$4.31
+22.5%
$22.28
+$3.08
+16.0%
$1.23
5.2%
—

NUKE
10.0%
$10.14
-$9.06
-47.2%
$9.97
-$9.23
-48.1%
$0.17
1.7%
—

NUKE
23.3%
$9.34
-$9.86
-51.4%
$9.31
-$9.89
-51.5%
$0.03
0.3%
—

NUKE
10.0%
$8.88
-$10.32
-53.7%
$8.39
-$10.81
-56.3%
$0.49
5.5%
—

NUKE
23.3%
$7.94
-$11.26
-58.7%
$7.84
-$11.36
-59.2%
$0.10
1.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.48082,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 46.253,
"optimistic_value": 46.05,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 43.83,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.770872Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.48082,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 9.34,
"optimistic_value": 9.34,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.600372Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.2333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.48082,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 7.9365000000000006,
"optimistic_value": 7.87,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 7.84,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:02.282190Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.336574,
"output_skin_id": "skin-63c1d72b8501",
"realistic_value": 23.5125,
"optimistic_value": 23.32,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Black Lotus",
"conservative_value": 22.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:42.656806Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63c1d72b8501.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.48082,
"output_skin_id": "skin-803657465fa6",
"realistic_value": 10.1435,
"optimistic_value": 10,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Jawbreaker",
"conservative_value": 9.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.968650Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803657465fa6.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.09999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.32214940000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9eb2feb216c5",
"realistic_value": 8.883000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 8.82,
"output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Olympus",
"conservative_value": 8.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:26:27.703535Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb2feb216c5.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_73b807b036eb4a883feca8ba",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
"listing_id": "506235389468974488",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Well-Worn)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:54.783511Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "521997935572493934",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:58.004252Z"
},
{
"price": 1.21,
"skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
"listing_id": "519746135814651248",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:58.004252Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight ![]() 23.3% $126.41 Black Lotus ![]() 10.0% $37.06 Jawbreaker ![]() 10.0% $26.91 Kintsugi ![]() 23.3% $23.12 Deathgaze ![]() 23.3% $21.23 Olympus ![]() 10.0% $15.72 | $126.41 +224.0% | $47.81 +22.5% | 23.3% | +111.9% | $39.02 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 23.3% $63.86 Black Lotus ![]() 10.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker ![]() 10.0% $14.90 Kintsugi ![]() 23.3% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 23.3% $11.91 Olympus ![]() 10.0% $8.88 | $63.86 +204.2% | $25.36 +20.8% | 33.3% | +102.6% | $20.99 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 20.0% $290.04 Jawbreaker ![]() 13.3% $76.51 Kintsugi ![]() 20.0% $65.51 Black Lotus ![]() 13.3% $62.28 Deathgaze ![]() 20.0% $61.47 Olympus ![]() 13.3% $29.00 | $290.04 +266.3% | $105.77 +33.6% | 20.0% | +117.5% | $79.19 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 16.7% $290.04 Jawbreaker ![]() 16.7% $76.51 Kintsugi ![]() 16.7% $65.51 Black Lotus ![]() 16.7% $62.28 Deathgaze ![]() 16.7% $61.47 Olympus ![]() 16.7% $29.00 | $290.04 +286.7% | $97.47 +30.0% | 33.3% | +116.5% | $75.00 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight ![]() 13.3% $290.04 Jawbreaker ![]() 20.0% $76.51 Kintsugi ![]() 13.3% $65.51 Black Lotus ![]() 20.0% $62.28 Deathgaze ![]() 13.3% $61.47 Olympus ![]() 20.0% $29.00 | $290.04 +307.6% | $89.16 +25.3% | 33.3% | +112.9% | $71.16 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 6.7% $63.86 Black Lotus ![]() 26.7% $23.51 Jawbreaker ![]() 26.7% $14.90 Kintsugi ![]() 6.7% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 6.7% $11.91 Olympus ![]() 26.7% $8.88 | $63.86 +314.4% | $18.51 +20.1% | 33.3% | +86.4% | $15.41 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 10.0% $63.86 Black Lotus ![]() 23.3% $23.51 Jawbreaker ![]() 23.3% $14.90 Kintsugi ![]() 10.0% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 10.0% $10.67 Olympus ![]() 23.3% $8.53 | $63.86 +289.4% | $19.67 +19.9% | 33.3% | +95.6% | $16.40 | — |
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight ![]() 3.3% $63.86 Black Lotus ![]() 30.0% $23.51 Jawbreaker ![]() 30.0% $14.90 Kintsugi ![]() 3.3% $12.65 Deathgaze ![]() 3.3% $10.67 Olympus ![]() 30.0% $8.53 | $63.86 +339.5% | $16.99 +16.9% | 63.3% | +72.4% | $14.53 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum ![]() 14.0% $10.69 Firebreathing ![]() 14.0% $6.12 Galigator ![]() 14.0% $3.26 Amberline ![]() 14.0% $3.22 Urban Sovereign ![]() 14.0% $3.19 Etch Lord ![]() 6.0% $2.49 | $10.69 +237.3% | $4.24 +33.8% | 70.0% | +83.1% | $3.17 | — |




