The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7

Restricted Classified BS ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted Classified Battle-Scarred StatTrak™
Inputs
Analog Input
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
1x $1.19
Hybrid
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
2x $1.20
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
7x $2.08
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $46.25
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
10.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
10.0% $10.14
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $9.34
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
10.0% $8.88
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $7.94
Max Win
$46.25 (+140.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$19.08 (-0.6%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+81.3%
Cost
$19.20
Age
Financials
Total Cost $19.20
Ask Price EV $19.08 (-0.6%)
Bid Price EV $18.29 (-4.7%)
Ask Profit $-0.12 (-0.6%)
Bid Profit $-0.91 (-4.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.78 (+4.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.12
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.91
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $46.25 (+140.9%)
Worst Case $7.94 (-58.7%)
Volatility +81.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$20.23
Avg Loss -$10.30
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.94 (-58.7%)
Std Dev $15.61
Avg Norm Float 0.4808
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 7h 11m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
Sawed-Off | Analog Input
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Well-Worn)
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Hybrid
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)
$1.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Battle-Scarred
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
Well-Worn
StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 25M 11S //TOTAL COST $19.20 //ASK PRICE EV $19.08 //BID PRICE EV $18.29 //ASK PROFIT $-0.12 (-0.6%) //BID PROFIT $-0.91 (-4.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $46.25 //VOLATILITY +81.3% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Click Spin to start.
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
  "parts": [
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-33|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 3,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33"
    },
    {
      "bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
      "item_count": 7,
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
    }
  ],
  "outcomes": [
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.48082,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
      "realistic_value": 46.253,
      "optimistic_value": 46.05,
      "output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
      "conservative_value": 43.83,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.770872Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.48082,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
      "realistic_value": 9.34,
      "optimistic_value": 9.34,
      "output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
      "conservative_value": 9.31,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.600372Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.2333333333333333,
      "output_float": 0.48082,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
      "realistic_value": 7.9365000000000006,
      "optimistic_value": 7.87,
      "output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
      "conservative_value": 7.84,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:47:02.282190Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.09999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.336574,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-63c1d72b8501",
      "realistic_value": 23.5125,
      "optimistic_value": 23.32,
      "output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Black Lotus",
      "conservative_value": 22.28,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:42.656806Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-63c1d72b8501.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.09999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.48082,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-803657465fa6",
      "realistic_value": 10.1435,
      "optimistic_value": 10,
      "output_full_name": "USP-S | Jawbreaker",
      "conservative_value": 9.97,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ USP-S | Jawbreaker (Battle-Scarred)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.968650Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-803657465fa6.png"
    },
    {
      "probability": 0.09999999999999999,
      "output_float": 0.32214940000000003,
      "output_skin_id": "skin-9eb2feb216c5",
      "realistic_value": 8.883000000000001,
      "optimistic_value": 8.82,
      "output_full_name": "Zeus x27 | Olympus",
      "conservative_value": 8.39,
      "source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "wear_name": "Field-Tested",
      "collection_name": "The Kilowatt Collection",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Field-Tested)",
      "price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:26:27.703535Z",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9eb2feb216c5.png"
    }
  ],
  "family_id": "fam_73b807b036eb4a883feca8ba",
  "input_rarity": "Restricted",
  "chosen_inputs": [
    {
      "price": 1.19,
      "skin_id": "skin-d0653c0aaf2f",
      "listing_id": "506235389468974488",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "Sawed-Off | Analog Input",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d0653c0aaf2f.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:54.783511Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.2,
      "skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
      "listing_id": "521997935572493934",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:58.004252Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 1.21,
      "skin_id": "skin-204c9ef36369",
      "listing_id": "519746135814651248",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-33",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Hybrid (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "Five-SeveN | Hybrid",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-204c9ef36369.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:58.004252Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.08,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361289452694821",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.09,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "514116688949678190",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.15,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "490472738292168531",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:49:05.348438Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.3,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "525375635593980187",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.31,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "505109489448722396",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.33,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "507361237008630373",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    },
    {
      "price": 2.34,
      "skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
      "listing_id": "492724538182385829",
      "collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
      "market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
      "name": "MP7 | Amberline",
      "wear_name": "Well-Worn",
      "image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
      "market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T02:46:57.275700Z"
    }
  ],
  "contract_size": 10,
  "output_rarity": "Classified",
  "stattrak_mode": true,
  "composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-33:3+collection-set-community-37:7"
}
Related

Related contracts

Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted Classified Minimal Wear ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $126.41
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
10.0% $37.06
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
10.0% $26.91
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $23.12
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $21.23
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
10.0% $15.72
$126.41
+224.0%
$47.81
+22.5%
23.3%+111.9%$39.02
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
23.3% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
10.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
10.0% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
23.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
23.3% $11.91
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
10.0% $8.88
$63.86
+204.2%
$25.36
+20.8%
33.3%+102.6%$20.99
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
20.0% $290.04
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
13.3% $76.51
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
20.0% $65.51
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
13.3% $62.28
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
20.0% $61.47
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
13.3% $29.00
$290.04
+266.3%
$105.77
+33.6%
20.0%+117.5%$79.19
The Kilowatt Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
16.7% $290.04
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
16.7% $76.51
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
16.7% $65.51
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
16.7% $62.28
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
16.7% $61.47
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
16.7% $29.00
$290.04
+286.7%
$97.47
+30.0%
33.3%+116.5%$75.00
The Kilowatt Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Restricted Classified Factory New ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
13.3% $290.04
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
20.0% $76.51
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
13.3% $65.51
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
20.0% $62.28
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
13.3% $61.47
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
20.0% $29.00
$290.04
+307.6%
$89.16
+25.3%
33.3%+112.9%$71.16
The Kilowatt Collection ×8+The Dead Hand Collection ×2
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
6.7% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
26.7% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
26.7% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
6.7% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
6.7% $11.91
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
26.7% $8.88
$63.86
+314.4%
$18.51
+20.1%
33.3%+86.4%$15.41
The Kilowatt Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
10.0% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
23.3% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
23.3% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
10.0% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
10.0% $10.67
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
23.3% $8.53
$63.86
+289.4%
$19.67
+19.9%
33.3%+95.6%$16.40
The Kilowatt Collection ×9+The Dead Hand Collection ×1
Restricted Classified Field-Tested ST
Crane Flight
AK-47 | Crane Flight
3.3% $63.86
Black Lotus
M4A1-S | Black Lotus
30.0% $23.51
Jawbreaker
USP-S | Jawbreaker
30.0% $14.90
Kintsugi
P250 | Kintsugi
3.3% $12.65
Deathgaze
P90 | Deathgaze
3.3% $10.67
Olympus
Zeus x27 | Olympus
30.0% $8.53
$63.86
+339.5%
$16.99
+16.9%
63.3%+72.4%$14.53
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
ContractOutputsMax WinEV (ROI)Win %VolatilityCostAge
The Kilowatt Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7
Mil-Spec Grade Restricted Field-Tested ST
Electrum
M4A1-S | Electrum
14.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
Desert Eagle | Firebreathing
14.0% $6.12
Galigator
Galil AR | Galigator
14.0% $3.26
Amberline
MP7 | Amberline
14.0% $3.22
Urban Sovereign
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
14.0% $3.19
Etch Lord
M4A4 | Etch Lord
6.0% $2.49
$10.69
+237.3%
$4.24
+33.8%
70.0%+83.1%$3.17
FS

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