The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade MW 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear
Inputs
Mud-Spec

1x $0.66
Azure Glyph

1x $1.35
Echoing Sands

1x $2.00
Polished Malachite

2x $0.30
Acid Dart

2x $0.36
Garter-9

1x $0.53
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile

7.5% $49.75
Steel Delta

7.5% $34.44
Wintergreen

14.0% $10.66
Copper Coated

7.5% $7.81
Mummy's Rot

7.5% $7.61
Tropical Breeze

14.0% $3.67
Max Win
$49.75 (+528.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$10.13 (+28.1%)
Win %
29.0%
Volatility
+178.6%
Cost
$7.91
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $7.91
Ask Price EV $10.13 (+28.1%)
Bid Price EV $9.81 (+24.0%)
Ask Profit $2.22 (+28.1%)
Bid Profit $1.90 (+24.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.32 (+4.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.22
Bid Slippage Buffer +$1.90
Risk
Win Probability 29.0%
Loss Probability 71.0%
Best Case $49.75 (+528.9%)
Worst Case $1.53 (-80.6%)
Volatility +178.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$19.01
Avg Loss -$4.64
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.53 (-80.6%)
Std Dev $14.13
Avg Norm Float 0.0931
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 143h 9m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec
—
Field-Tested

$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph
—
Field-Tested

$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Echoing Sands
—
Minimal Wear

$2.00 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear

$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite
—
Minimal Wear

$0.31 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New

$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New

$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
Tec-9 | Garter-9
—
Factory New

$0.53 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New

$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New

$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 19M 10S //TOTAL COST $7.91 //ASK PRICE EV $10.13 //BID PRICE EV $9.81 //ASK PROFIT $2.22 (+28.1%) //BID PROFIT $1.90 (+24.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 29.0% //BEST CASE $49.75 //VOLATILITY +178.6% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated

BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$49.75
+$41.84
+528.9%
$49.11
+$41.20
+520.9%
$0.64
1.3%
—

BIG WIN
7.5%
$34.44
+$26.53
+335.4%
$34.11
+$26.20
+331.2%
$0.33
1.0%
—

WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$10.66
+$2.75
+34.8%
$9.81
+$1.90
+24.0%
$0.85
8.0%
—

LOSS
7.5%
$7.81
-$0.10
-1.3%
$7.33
-$0.58
-7.3%
$0.48
6.1%
—

LOSS
7.5%
$7.61
-$0.30
-3.7%
$7.10
-$0.81
-10.2%
$0.51
6.7%
—

NUKE
14.0%
$3.67
-$4.24
-53.6%
$3.64
-$4.27
-54.0%
$0.03
0.8%
—

NUKE
14.0%
$1.57
-$6.34
-80.1%
$1.28
-$6.63
-83.8%
$0.29
18.6%
—

NUKE
14.0%
$1.56
-$6.35
-80.3%
$1.50
-$6.41
-81.0%
$0.06
3.8%
—

NUKE
14.0%
$1.53
-$6.38
-80.6%
$1.52
-$6.39
-80.8%
$0.01
0.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.06983249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0633148,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.5335,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:21:54.516990Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.055866,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.572,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:53:39.344613Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.051210500000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.055866,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.5594999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:52:31.687833Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.0679703,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 34.4415,
"optimistic_value": 34.41,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 34.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:05.954513Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.06983249999999999,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 49.7455,
"optimistic_value": 49.7,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 49.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:55:42.172673Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.09311,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 7.807,
"optimistic_value": 7.66,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 7.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:39:15.783835Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.09311,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 7.6135,
"optimistic_value": 7.54,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 7.1,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T10:05:15.240835Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_704794481f632d4a417cfb63",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"listing_id": "524249529997105599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:40:32.695048Z"
},
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"listing_id": "497228024527630997",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:44:32.805683Z"
},
{
"price": 2,
"skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"listing_id": "493850490549203212",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:41:55.500017Z"
},
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "520872088106929236",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:29.410707Z"
},
{
"price": 0.31,
"skin_id": "skin-6467891391e9",
"listing_id": "507361289452005421",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Dual Berettas | Polished Malachite",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6467891391e9.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:50:29.410707Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789045082911",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:15.437170Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "652601015910513612",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:15.437170Z"
},
{
"price": 0.53,
"skin_id": "skin-a493194726cd",
"listing_id": "502857689862568636",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9 (Factory New)",
"name": "Tec-9 | Garter-9",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a493194726cd.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:11.456871Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:53:05.235613Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625091045239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T03:58:13.242596Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile ![]() 7.5% $49.75 Mummy's Rot ![]() 7.5% $45.74 Steel Delta ![]() 7.5% $34.44 Copper Coated ![]() 7.5% $24.45 Wintergreen ![]() 14.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze ![]() 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +332.2% | $14.24 +23.7% | 30.0% | +130.3% | $11.51 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile ![]() 7.5% $8.90 Steel Delta ![]() 7.5% $6.56 Wintergreen ![]() 14.0% $4.61 Mummy's Rot ![]() 7.5% $2.61 Copper Coated ![]() 7.5% $2.56 Tropical Breeze ![]() 14.0% $1.82 | $8.90 +294.0% | $2.62 +16.1% | 44.0% | +96.5% | $2.26 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile ![]() 2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta ![]() 2.5% $34.44 Wintergreen ![]() 18.0% $10.66 Copper Coated ![]() 2.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot ![]() 2.5% $7.61 Tropical Breeze ![]() 18.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +1028.0% | $5.91 +34.0% | 28.0% | +194.4% | $4.41 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile ![]() 10.0% $49.75 Steel Delta ![]() 10.0% $34.44 Wintergreen ![]() 12.0% $10.66 Copper Coated ![]() 10.0% $7.81 Mummy's Rot ![]() 10.0% $7.61 Tropical Breeze ![]() 12.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +403.5% | $12.24 +23.9% | 32.0% | +144.3% | $9.88 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical ![]() 12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands ![]() 12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph ![]() 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec ![]() 12.5% $7.35 Polished Malachite ![]() 5.6% $1.69 VariCamo Grey ![]() 5.6% $1.11 | $14.55 +197.0% | $5.58 +13.8% | 50.0% | +85.7% | $4.90 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Waters of Nephthys ![]() 10.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse ![]() 10.0% $211.74 Green Energy ![]() 80.0% $109.76 | $549.87 +262.4% | $163.97 +8.1% | 20.0% | +87.1% | $151.71 | — |




