The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FN 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New
Inputs
Mud-Spec
1x $0.66
Azure Glyph
2x $1.35
Acid Dart
2x $0.36
Mustard Gas
2x $0.80
Marsh
2x $1.19
VariCamo Grey
1x $1.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile
7.5% $49.75
Mummy's Rot
7.5% $45.74
Steel Delta
7.5% $34.44
Copper Coated
7.5% $24.45
Wintergreen
14.0% $10.66
Tropical Breeze
14.0% $3.67
Max Win
$49.75 (+329.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$14.23 (+22.9%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+147.7%
Cost
$11.58
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $11.58
Ask Price EV $14.23 (+22.9%)
Bid Price EV $13.79 (+19.1%)
Ask Profit $2.65 (+22.9%)
Bid Profit $2.21 (+19.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.44 (+3.8%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$2.65
Bid Slippage Buffer +$2.21
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $49.75 (+329.6%)
Worst Case $1.53 (-86.8%)
Volatility +147.7%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 56.0%
Avg Win +$27.01
Avg Loss -$7.79
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.53 (-86.8%)
Std Dev $17.10
Avg Norm Float 0.0696
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 144h 4m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M4A1-S | Mud-Spec
—
Field-Tested
$0.66 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph
—
Field-Tested
$1.35 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Azure Glyph
—
Minimal Wear
$2.50 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Factory New
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$0.80 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.19 Float: HIDDEN
P2000 | Marsh
—
Factory New
$1.20 Float: HIDDEN
P90 | Mustard Gas
—
Factory New
$1.46 Float: HIDDEN
AK-47 | VariCamo Grey
—
Factory New
$1.65 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 09S //TOTAL COST $11.58 //ASK PRICE EV $14.23 //BID PRICE EV $13.79 //ASK PROFIT $2.65 (+22.9%) //BID PROFIT $2.21 (+19.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $49.75 //VOLATILITY +147.7% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
7.5%
$49.75
+$38.17
+329.6%
$49.11
+$37.53
+324.1%
$0.64
1.3%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$45.74
+$34.16
+295.0%
$45.31
+$33.73
+291.3%
$0.43
0.9%
—
BIG WIN
7.5%
$34.44
+$22.86
+197.4%
$34.11
+$22.53
+194.6%
$0.33
1.0%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$24.45
+$12.87
+111.1%
$22.63
+$11.05
+95.4%
$1.82
7.4%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$10.66
-$0.92
-7.9%
$9.81
-$1.77
-15.3%
$0.85
8.0%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$3.67
-$7.91
-68.3%
$3.64
-$7.94
-68.6%
$0.03
0.8%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.56
-$10.02
-86.5%
$1.27
-$10.31
-89.0%
$0.29
18.6%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.55
-$10.03
-86.6%
$1.28
-$10.30
-88.9%
$0.27
17.4%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$1.53
-$10.05
-86.8%
$1.52
-$10.06
-86.9%
$0.01
0.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.0521775,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 10.66,
"optimistic_value": 10.66,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 9.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:10.267254Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.047307600000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 1.5335,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 1.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:55.165773Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.041742,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 1.549,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 1.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:14:51.732780Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.038263500000000006,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 3.671,
"optimistic_value": 3.65,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 3.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.367595Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.041742,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 1.5594999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 1.5,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 1.27,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:34.405657Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.0507861,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 34.4415,
"optimistic_value": 34.41,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 34.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:50:05.954513Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.0521775,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 49.7455,
"optimistic_value": 49.7,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 49.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:55:42.172673Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.06957,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 24.446,
"optimistic_value": 24.32,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 22.63,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:56:45.029162Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.06957,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 45.739,
"optimistic_value": 45.69,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 45.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:06.558569Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_704794481f632d4a417cfb63",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.66,
"skin_id": "skin-41f71f1a5f50",
"listing_id": "524249529997105599",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Mud-Spec",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-41f71f1a5f50.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:30:55.179444Z"
},
{
"price": 1.35,
"skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"listing_id": "497228024527630997",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:34:49.992050Z"
},
{
"price": 2.5,
"skin_id": "skin-9a0273275e44",
"listing_id": "496102290328479875",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Azure Glyph",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9a0273275e44.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:15.497173Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789045082911",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:52.274584Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "652601015910513612",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Factory New)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:52.274584Z"
},
{
"price": 0.8,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "502857689861815552",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:42.974064Z"
},
{
"price": 1.19,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625091045239",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:51.163928Z"
},
{
"price": 1.2,
"skin_id": "skin-fce2182cb25e",
"listing_id": "490472625090884103",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P2000 | Marsh (Factory New)",
"name": "P2000 | Marsh",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fce2182cb25e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:51.163928Z"
},
{
"price": 1.46,
"skin_id": "skin-566d676ca07d",
"listing_id": "515242536108553321",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "P90 | Mustard Gas (Factory New)",
"name": "P90 | Mustard Gas",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-566d676ca07d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:42:42.974064Z"
},
{
"price": 1.65,
"skin_id": "skin-cdb08bfe13d3",
"listing_id": "502857524062781020",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Factory New)",
"name": "AK-47 | VariCamo Grey",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cdb08bfe13d3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:32:51.890820Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 7.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 7.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 7.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $7.61 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +508.9% | $10.13 +24.0% | 29.0% | +159.0% | $8.17 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested | Black Nile 7.5% $8.90 Steel Delta 7.5% $6.56 Wintergreen 14.0% $4.61 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $2.70 Copper Coated 7.5% $2.56 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $1.82 | $8.90 +301.1% | $2.63 +18.5% | 44.0% | +98.2% | $2.22 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 2.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 18.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 2.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 2.5% $7.61 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +1025.5% | $5.91 +33.7% | 28.0% | +194.0% | $4.42 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 5.0% $49.75 Steel Delta 5.0% $34.44 Wintergreen 16.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 5.0% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $7.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +702.3% | $8.02 +29.3% | 36.0% | +181.1% | $6.20 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 10.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 10.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 10.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 10.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +248.4% | $17.72 +24.1% | 40.0% | +109.2% | $14.28 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical  12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands  12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph 12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec 12.5% $7.35 Polished Malachite  5.6% $1.69 VariCamo Grey 5.6% $1.14 | $14.55 +197.0% | $5.58 +13.9% | 50.0% | +85.7% | $4.90 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Waters of Nephthys  10.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  10.0% $211.74 Green Energy  80.0% $109.76 | $549.87 +262.4% | $163.97 +8.1% | 20.0% | +87.1% | $151.71 | — |