The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade FT 10 items
Contract
Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Field-Tested
Inputs
Desert Tactical
2x $0.32
Echoing Sands
1x $0.42
Acid Dart
3x $0.14
Tiger Tear
2x $0.15
Leafhopper
2x $0.16
↓
Possible Outputs
Black Nile
7.5% $8.90
Steel Delta
7.5% $6.56
Wintergreen
14.0% $4.61
Mummy's Rot
7.5% $2.70
Copper Coated
7.5% $2.56
Tropical Breeze
14.0% $1.82
Max Win
$8.90 (+301.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.63 (+18.5%)
Win %
44.0%
Volatility
+117.5%
Cost
$2.22
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $2.22
Ask Price EV $2.63 (+18.5%)
Bid Price EV $2.29 (+3.3%)
Ask Profit $0.41 (+18.5%)
Bid Profit $0.07 (+3.3%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.34 (+15.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.41
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.07
Risk
Win Probability 44.0%
Loss Probability 56.0%
Best Case $8.90 (+301.1%)
Worst Case $0.40 (-81.8%)
Volatility +117.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 42.0%
Avg Win +$2.78
Avg Loss -$1.45
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.40 (-81.8%)
Std Dev $2.61
Avg Norm Float 0.1996
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 19m
Oldest Output Price 117h 55m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
USP-S | Desert Tactical
—
Well-Worn
$0.32 Float: HIDDEN
USP-S | Desert Tactical
—
Well-Worn
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MAC-10 | Echoing Sands
—
Field-Tested
$0.42 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.14 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.15 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Tiger Tear
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.16 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Acid Dart
—
Minimal Wear
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Leafhopper
—
Minimal Wear
$0.18 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 12M 38S //TOTAL COST $2.22 //ASK PRICE EV $2.63 //BID PRICE EV $2.29 //ASK PROFIT $0.41 (+18.5%) //BID PROFIT $0.07 (+3.3%) //WIN PROBABILITY 44.0% //BEST CASE $8.90 //VOLATILITY +117.5% //
Possible Outputs · 9
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
7.5%
$8.90
+$6.68
+301.1%
$7.65
+$5.43
+244.6%
$1.25
14.1%
—
BIG WIN
7.5%
$6.56
+$4.34
+195.3%
$5.80
+$3.58
+161.3%
$0.76
11.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
14.0%
$4.61
+$2.39
+107.7%
$3.81
+$1.59
+71.6%
$0.80
17.4%
—
WIN
7.5%
$2.70
+$0.48
+21.5%
$2.35
+$0.13
+5.9%
$0.35
12.9%
—
WIN
7.5%
$2.56
+$0.34
+15.2%
$2.34
+$0.12
+5.4%
$0.22
8.5%
—
LOSS
14.0%
$1.82
-$0.40
-18.0%
$1.70
-$0.52
-23.4%
$0.12
6.6%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.44
-$1.78
-80.2%
$0.41
-$1.81
-81.5%
$0.03
6.9%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.41
-$1.81
-81.5%
$0.38
-$1.84
-82.9%
$0.03
7.4%
—
NUKE
14.0%
$0.40
-$1.82
-81.8%
$0.36
-$1.86
-83.8%
$0.04
10.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-anubis|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 3,
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral|Industrial Grade|normal",
"item_count": 7,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.1496625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-e027a11f0d46",
"realistic_value": 4.61,
"optimistic_value": 4.61,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen",
"conservative_value": 3.81,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Wintergreen (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:23.769730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-e027a11f0d46.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.135694,
"output_skin_id": "skin-efe243521c5e",
"realistic_value": 0.4405,
"optimistic_value": 0.43,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket",
"conservative_value": 0.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:43:19.978088Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-efe243521c5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11973,
"output_skin_id": "skin-279e913dd981",
"realistic_value": 0.41050000000000003,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf",
"conservative_value": 0.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T22:48:54.653511Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-279e913dd981.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.10975250000000002,
"output_skin_id": "skin-ea3238e578e7",
"realistic_value": 1.821,
"optimistic_value": 1.73,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze",
"conservative_value": 1.7,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-03T06:59:13.839903Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-ea3238e578e7.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.13999999999999999,
"output_float": 0.11973,
"output_skin_id": "skin-17ba4cfaa721",
"realistic_value": 0.4035,
"optimistic_value": 0.4,
"output_full_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage",
"conservative_value": 0.36,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Boreal Collection",
"market_hash_name": "XM1014 | Copperflage (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:47:45.477576Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-17ba4cfaa721.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.1456715,
"output_skin_id": "skin-80cb7aad6895",
"realistic_value": 6.5555,
"optimistic_value": 6.37,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta",
"conservative_value": 5.8,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Steel Delta (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T16:38:20.299969Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-80cb7aad6895.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.1496625,
"output_skin_id": "skin-05f333baf59c",
"realistic_value": 8.904,
"optimistic_value": 8.89,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Black Nile",
"conservative_value": 7.65,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Black Nile (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T09:27:27.866870Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-05f333baf59c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.19955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-7c46ff3046d0",
"realistic_value": 2.558,
"optimistic_value": 2.53,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated",
"conservative_value": 2.34,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:49:46.408896Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-7c46ff3046d0.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.075,
"output_float": 0.19955,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29609fc133b0",
"realistic_value": 2.6975000000000002,
"optimistic_value": 2.68,
"output_full_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot",
"conservative_value": 2.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Anubis Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Tec-9 | Mummy's Rot (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:30.482957Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29609fc133b0.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_704794481f632d4a417cfb63",
"input_rarity": "Industrial Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.32,
"skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"listing_id": "506235389470029036",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Well-Worn)",
"name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:27.355916Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-808bfc3a4f41",
"listing_id": "519746135813339912",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical (Well-Worn)",
"name": "USP-S | Desert Tactical",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-808bfc3a4f41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:50:27.355916Z"
},
{
"price": 0.42,
"skin_id": "skin-eba9dcbab8fc",
"listing_id": "529879287551489472",
"collection_id": "collection-set-anubis",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MAC-10 | Echoing Sands",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-eba9dcbab8fc.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:39:37.822007Z"
},
{
"price": 0.14,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "494976390476503950",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:05.686918Z"
},
{
"price": 0.15,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "512990623225420919",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:45.351707Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-f57cd46a7078",
"listing_id": "523123722379712974",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Tiger Tear",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f57cd46a7078.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:44:45.351707Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "512990789044843799",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:05.686918Z"
},
{
"price": 0.16,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "503983423971210091",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:35:23.109716Z"
},
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-1caaee847d10",
"listing_id": "515242423037531833",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Acid Dart",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1caaee847d10.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:45:05.686918Z"
},
{
"price": 0.18,
"skin_id": "skin-cf53e2922c14",
"listing_id": "521997988015820706",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-neutral",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Leafhopper",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cf53e2922c14.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:35:23.109716Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Industrial Grade|Mil-Spec Grade|normal|10|collection-set-anubis:3+collection-set-timed-drops-neutral:7"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 7.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 7.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 7.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $7.61 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +508.9% | $10.13 +24.0% | 29.0% | +159.0% | $8.17 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×3+The Boreal Collection ×7 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 7.5% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 7.5% $45.74 Steel Delta 7.5% $34.44 Copper Coated 7.5% $24.45 Wintergreen 14.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 14.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +329.6% | $14.23 +22.9% | 30.0% | +129.5% | $11.58 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×1+The Boreal Collection ×9 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 2.5% $49.75 Steel Delta 2.5% $34.44 Wintergreen 18.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 2.5% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 2.5% $7.61 Tropical Breeze 18.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +1025.5% | $5.91 +33.7% | 28.0% | +194.0% | $4.42 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Minimal Wear | Black Nile 5.0% $49.75 Steel Delta 5.0% $34.44 Wintergreen 16.0% $10.66 Copper Coated 5.0% $7.81 Mummy's Rot 5.0% $7.61 Tropical Breeze 16.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +702.3% | $8.02 +29.3% | 36.0% | +181.1% | $6.20 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×4+The Boreal Collection ×6 Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade Factory New | Black Nile 10.0% $49.75 Mummy's Rot 10.0% $45.74 Steel Delta 10.0% $34.44 Copper Coated 10.0% $24.45 Wintergreen 12.0% $10.66 Tropical Breeze 12.0% $3.67 | $49.75 +248.4% | $17.72 +24.1% | 40.0% | +109.2% | $14.28 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Anubis Collection ×5+The Boreal Collection ×5 Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade Factory New | Desert Tactical 12.5% $14.55 Echoing Sands 12.5% $10.42 Azure Glyph  12.5% $9.87 Mud-Spec  12.5% $7.35 Polished Malachite  5.6% $1.69 VariCamo Grey  5.6% $1.14 | $14.55 +197.0% | $5.58 +13.9% | 50.0% | +85.7% | $4.90 | — |
The Anubis Collection ×2+The Boreal Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear | Waters of Nephthys  10.0% $549.87 Apep's Curse  10.0% $211.74 Green Energy  80.0% $109.76 | $549.87 +262.4% | $163.97 +8.1% | 20.0% | +87.1% | $151.71 | — |