The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FN ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Aztec
1x $3.70
Urban Sovereign
7x $4.60
Amberline
1x $6.64
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $290.04
Hydra
3.3% $109.82
Kintsugi
30.0% $65.51
Deathgaze
30.0% $61.53
Nostalgia
3.3% $39.33
Death by Puppy
3.3% $28.62
Max Win
$290.04 (+196.8%)
EV (ROI %)
$131.05 (+34.1%)
Win %
33.3%
Volatility
+107.2%
Cost
$97.73
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $97.73
Ask Price EV $131.05 (+34.1%)
Bid Price EV $107.19 (+9.7%)
Ask Profit $33.32 (+34.1%)
Bid Profit $9.46 (+9.7%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $23.86 (+24.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$33.32
Bid Slippage Buffer +$9.46
Risk
Win Probability 33.3%
Loss Probability 66.7%
Best Case $290.04 (+196.8%)
Worst Case $28.62 (-70.7%)
Volatility +107.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$174.29
Avg Loss -$37.17
Bottom 5% Outcome $39.33 (-59.8%)
Std Dev $104.73
Avg Norm Float 0.0695
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 6m
Oldest Output Price 139h 32m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
M249 | Aztec
—
Minimal Wear
$3.70 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.60 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.65 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$15.50 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$16.99 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Factory New
$17.66 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 40M 47S //TOTAL COST $97.73 //ASK PRICE EV $131.05 //BID PRICE EV $107.19 //ASK PROFIT $33.32 (+34.1%) //BID PROFIT $9.46 (+9.7%) //WIN PROBABILITY 33.3% //BEST CASE $290.04 //VOLATILITY +107.2% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$290.04
+$192.31
+196.8%
$229.11
+$131.38
+134.4%
$60.93
21.0%
—
SMALL WIN EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$109.82
+$12.09
+12.4%
$103.07
+$5.34
+5.5%
$6.75
6.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$65.51
-$32.22
-33.0%
$55.11
-$42.62
-43.6%
$10.40
15.9%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$61.53
-$36.20
-37.0%
$55.38
-$42.35
-43.3%
$6.15
10.0%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$39.33
-$58.40
-59.8%
$32.59
-$65.14
-66.7%
$6.74
17.1%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$28.62
-$69.11
-70.7%
$23.55
-$74.18
-75.9%
$5.07
17.7%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.0695,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 290.0445,
"optimistic_value": 279.45,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 229.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:40.031809Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.0695,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 65.5065,
"optimistic_value": 64.74,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 55.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.723158Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.0695,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 61.528999999999996,
"optimistic_value": 59.66,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 55.38,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:28.082311Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.027800000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29ac998e7985",
"realistic_value": 28.623,
"optimistic_value": 28.42,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Death by Puppy",
"conservative_value": 23.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:09.207019Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29ac998e7985.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0695,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97024f744394",
"realistic_value": 109.81649999999999,
"optimistic_value": 105.41,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Hydra",
"conservative_value": 103.07,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:38.007134Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97024f744394.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.039615,
"output_skin_id": "skin-082000871d86",
"realistic_value": 39.327,
"optimistic_value": 38.83,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Nostalgia",
"conservative_value": 32.59,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:21:12.161311Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-082000871d86.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6d5a88ebb4afb52a203239d7",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.7,
"skin_id": "skin-0ca39d6a9fe2",
"listing_id": "519745391323246232",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Aztec (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Aztec",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0ca39d6a9fe2.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:54:37.911940Z"
},
{
"price": 4.6,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "511864888984804653",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 4.65,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "509613089304042939",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:14.971761Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:52:30.419249Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:13.555448Z"
},
{
"price": 15.3,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "518619491430346084",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 15.5,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "496101493270757831",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 16.99,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "523123091079375442",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
},
{
"price": 17.66,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506234592361187964",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:20.078689Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Hydra 3.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 3.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 3.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +158.6% | $28.05 +13.6% | 30.0% | +95.1% | $24.69 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Hydra 3.3% $37.25 Death by Puppy 3.3% $28.62 Kintsugi 30.0% $23.12 Deathgaze 30.0% $20.83 Nostalgia 3.3% $19.32 | $126.41 +149.6% | $53.95 +6.5% | 30.0% | +93.9% | $50.64 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Hydra 6.7% $109.82 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Nostalgia 6.7% $39.33 Death by Puppy 6.7% $28.62 | $290.04 +208.5% | $123.06 +30.9% | 33.3% | +108.5% | $94.01 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Hydra 10.0% $109.82 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Nostalgia 10.0% $39.33 Death by Puppy 10.0% $28.62 | $290.04 +216.6% | $115.08 +25.6% | 33.3% | +107.6% | $91.61 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Hydra 13.3% $109.82 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.53 Nostalgia 13.3% $39.33 Death by Puppy 13.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +225.1% | $107.12 +20.1% | 33.3% | +105.7% | $89.22 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Hydra 16.7% $19.93 Death by Puppy 16.7% $13.42 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Nostalgia 16.7% $12.46 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +236.3% | $22.37 +17.8% | 33.3% | +98.7% | $18.99 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Hydra 20.0% $19.93 Death by Puppy 20.0% $13.42 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Nostalgia 20.0% $12.46 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.60 | $63.86 +252.2% | $20.91 +15.3% | 33.3% | +94.3% | $18.13 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Hydra 23.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 23.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 23.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +267.6% | $19.53 +12.4% | 33.3% | +86.8% | $17.37 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum  18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing  18.0% $31.66 Agent  2.0% $29.05 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.92 | $51.27 +162.3% | $24.74 +26.5% | 38.0% | +69.0% | $19.55 | — |