The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified MW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Plastique
1x $3.06
Amberline
2x $3.17
Urban Sovereign
6x $3.19
Galigator
1x $7.29
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $126.41
Hydra
3.3% $37.25
Death by Puppy
3.3% $28.62
Kintsugi
30.0% $22.62
Deathgaze
30.0% $20.41
Nostalgia
3.3% $19.32
Max Win
$126.41 (+167.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$53.67 (+13.6%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+101.0%
Cost
$47.24
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $47.24
Ask Price EV $53.67 (+13.6%)
Bid Price EV $48.21 (+2.1%)
Ask Profit $6.43 (+13.6%)
Bid Profit $0.97 (+2.1%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $5.46 (+11.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$6.43
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.97
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $126.41 (+167.6%)
Worst Case $19.32 (-59.1%)
Volatility +101.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$79.17
Avg Loss -$24.74
Bottom 5% Outcome $20.41 (-56.8%)
Std Dev $47.73
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Plastique
—
Minimal Wear
$3.06 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.72 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$4.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.38 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Minimal Wear
$5.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Minimal Wear
$6.64 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Galigator
—
Minimal Wear
$7.29 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 08S //TOTAL COST $47.24 //ASK PRICE EV $53.67 //BID PRICE EV $48.21 //ASK PROFIT $6.43 (+13.6%) //BID PROFIT $0.97 (+2.1%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $126.41 //VOLATILITY +101.0% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$126.41
+$79.17
+167.6%
$112.39
+$65.15
+137.9%
$14.02
11.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$37.25
-$9.99
-21.2%
$35.62
-$11.62
-24.6%
$1.63
4.4%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$28.62
-$18.62
-39.4%
$23.55
-$23.69
-50.1%
$5.07
17.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$22.62
-$24.62
-52.1%
$20.66
-$26.58
-56.3%
$1.96
8.7%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
30.0%
$20.41
-$26.83
-56.8%
$19.37
-$27.87
-59.0%
$1.04
5.1%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$19.32
-$27.92
-59.1%
$15.42
-$31.82
-67.4%
$3.90
20.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 126.41149999999999,
"optimistic_value": 124,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 112.39,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.452841Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 22.619999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 22.2,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 20.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:47.292146Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 20.407,
"optimistic_value": 19.98,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 19.37,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:47.338085Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.059952000000000005,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29ac998e7985",
"realistic_value": 28.623,
"optimistic_value": 28.42,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Death by Puppy",
"conservative_value": 23.55,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:40.958138Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29ac998e7985.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.14988,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97024f744394",
"realistic_value": 37.2465,
"optimistic_value": 36.48,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Hydra",
"conservative_value": 35.62,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:29.101730Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97024f744394.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.0854316,
"output_skin_id": "skin-082000871d86",
"realistic_value": 19.316,
"optimistic_value": 19.05,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Nostalgia",
"conservative_value": 15.42,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:33:16.177997Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-082000871d86.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6d5a88ebb4afb52a203239d7",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 3.06,
"skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"listing_id": "525375635594766031",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:43:10.755038Z"
},
{
"price": 3.17,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "496102290329110667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:51.370303Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
},
{
"price": 4.72,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605889840023871",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 4.75,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "521997988014719718",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.38,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "500605837398261191",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 5.4,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "506235337025176368",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.257285Z"
},
{
"price": 6.64,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182346589",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:38:01.068828Z"
},
{
"price": 7.29,
"skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"listing_id": "524249787960966687",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.158952Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Hydra 3.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 3.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 3.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.60 | $63.86 +159.0% | $27.96 +13.4% | 30.0% | +95.5% | $24.66 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Hydra 6.7% $109.82 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Nostalgia 6.7% $39.33 Death by Puppy 6.7% $28.62 | $290.04 +211.2% | $123.06 +32.0% | 33.3% | +109.4% | $93.20 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Hydra 10.0% $109.82 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Nostalgia 10.0% $39.33 Death by Puppy 10.0% $28.62 | $290.04 +216.8% | $115.08 +25.7% | 33.3% | +107.6% | $91.56 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Hydra 16.7% $19.93 Death by Puppy 16.7% $13.42 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Nostalgia 16.7% $12.46 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +242.8% | $22.37 +20.1% | 33.3% | +100.6% | $18.63 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Hydra 13.3% $109.82 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Nostalgia 13.3% $39.33 Death by Puppy 13.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +224.8% | $107.11 +20.0% | 33.3% | +105.6% | $89.29 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Hydra 20.0% $19.93 Death by Puppy 20.0% $13.42 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Nostalgia 20.0% $12.46 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 | $63.86 +252.2% | $20.95 +15.6% | 33.3% | +94.2% | $18.13 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Hydra 23.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 23.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 23.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +268.1% | $19.53 +12.6% | 33.3% | +86.9% | $17.35 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Galigator 18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.19 Agent  2.0% $2.67 | $10.69 +174.2% | $4.96 +27.1% | 36.0% | +72.0% | $3.90 | — |