The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified FT ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Plastique
1x $1.40
Amberline
7x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
2x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $63.86
Hydra
3.3% $19.93
Death by Puppy
3.3% $13.42
Kintsugi
30.0% $12.65
Nostalgia
3.3% $12.46
Deathgaze
30.0% $11.60
Max Win
$63.86 (+159.0%)
EV (ROI %)
$27.96 (+13.4%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+95.5%
Cost
$24.66
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $24.66
Ask Price EV $27.96 (+13.4%)
Bid Price EV $25.14 (+2.0%)
Ask Profit $3.30 (+13.4%)
Bid Profit $0.48 (+2.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.82 (+11.4%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$3.30
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.48
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $63.86 (+159.0%)
Worst Case $11.60 (-53.0%)
Volatility +95.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 66.7%
Avg Win +$39.20
Avg Loss -$12.09
Bottom 5% Outcome $11.60 (-53.0%)
Std Dev $23.55
Avg Norm Float 0.3745
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 31m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Plastique
—
Field-Tested
$1.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.64 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 10S //TOTAL COST $24.66 //ASK PRICE EV $27.96 //BID PRICE EV $25.14 //ASK PROFIT $3.30 (+13.4%) //BID PROFIT $0.48 (+2.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $63.86 //VOLATILITY +95.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$63.86
+$39.20
+159.0%
$60.32
+$35.66
+144.6%
$3.54
5.5%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$19.93
-$4.73
-19.2%
$17.22
-$7.44
-30.2%
$2.71
13.6%
—
NUKE EDGE FLOAT
3.3%
$13.42
-$11.24
-45.6%
$11.47
-$13.19
-53.5%
$1.95
14.5%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$12.65
-$12.01
-48.7%
$9.57
-$15.09
-61.2%
$3.08
24.4%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$12.46
-$12.20
-49.5%
$10.97
-$13.69
-55.5%
$1.49
11.9%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$11.60
-$13.06
-53.0%
$9.52
-$15.14
-61.4%
$2.08
17.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 63.8595,
"optimistic_value": 63.52,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 60.32,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.600521Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 12.650500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 12.57,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 9.57,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:11:01.279472Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.37446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 11.6015,
"optimistic_value": 11.5,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 9.52,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:48.252870Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.149784,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29ac998e7985",
"realistic_value": 13.416500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 13.07,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Death by Puppy",
"conservative_value": 11.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:36:08.466622Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29ac998e7985.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.37446,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97024f744394",
"realistic_value": 19.9305,
"optimistic_value": 19.36,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Hydra",
"conservative_value": 17.22,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:26:53.634440Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97024f744394.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.2134422,
"output_skin_id": "skin-082000871d86",
"realistic_value": 12.4575,
"optimistic_value": 12.09,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Nostalgia",
"conservative_value": 10.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T01:09:48.325454Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-082000871d86.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6d5a88ebb4afb52a203239d7",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.4,
"skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"listing_id": "497228024530915781",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:49.418735Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 3.17,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "496102290329110667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:51.370303Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
},
{
"price": 3.64,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "498354037510570279",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Hydra 3.3% $37.25 Death by Puppy 3.3% $28.62 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 30.0% $20.41 Nostalgia 3.3% $19.32 | $126.41 +167.6% | $53.67 +13.6% | 30.0% | +101.0% | $47.24 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Hydra 6.7% $109.82 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Nostalgia 6.7% $39.33 Death by Puppy 6.7% $28.62 | $290.04 +211.2% | $123.06 +32.0% | 33.3% | +109.4% | $93.20 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Hydra 10.0% $109.82 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Nostalgia 10.0% $39.33 Death by Puppy 10.0% $28.62 | $290.04 +216.8% | $115.08 +25.7% | 33.3% | +107.6% | $91.56 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Hydra 16.7% $19.93 Death by Puppy 16.7% $13.42 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Nostalgia 16.7% $12.46 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +242.8% | $22.37 +20.1% | 33.3% | +100.6% | $18.63 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Hydra 13.3% $109.82 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Nostalgia 13.3% $39.33 Death by Puppy 13.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +224.8% | $107.11 +20.0% | 33.3% | +105.6% | $89.29 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Hydra 20.0% $19.93 Death by Puppy 20.0% $13.42 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Nostalgia 20.0% $12.46 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 | $63.86 +252.2% | $20.95 +15.6% | 33.3% | +94.2% | $18.13 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Hydra 23.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 23.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 23.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +268.1% | $19.53 +12.6% | 33.3% | +86.9% | $17.35 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Galigator  18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.19 Agent  2.0% $2.67 | $10.69 +174.2% | $4.96 +27.1% | 36.0% | +72.0% | $3.90 | — |