The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9
Restricted → Classified WW ST 10 items
Contract
Restricted → Classified Well-Worn StatTrak™
Inputs
Plastique
1x $1.28
Amberline
8x $2.08
Urban Sovereign
1x $3.19
↓
Possible Outputs
Crane Flight
30.0% $45.29
Hydra
3.3% $16.87
Nostalgia
3.3% $12.46
Death by Puppy
3.3% $10.88
Deathgaze
30.0% $9.04
Kintsugi
30.0% $7.96
Max Win
$45.29 (+94.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$20.03 (-13.8%)
Win %
30.0%
Volatility
+71.5%
Cost
$23.24
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $23.24
Ask Price EV $20.03 (-13.8%)
Bid Price EV $18.51 (-20.4%)
Ask Profit $-3.21 (-13.8%)
Bid Profit $-4.73 (-20.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $1.52 (+6.5%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$3.21
Bid Slippage Buffer -$4.73
Risk
Win Probability 30.0%
Loss Probability 70.0%
Best Case $45.29 (+94.9%)
Worst Case $7.96 (-65.7%)
Volatility +71.5%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 70.0%
Avg Win +$22.04
Avg Loss -$14.04
Bottom 5% Outcome $7.96 (-65.7%)
Std Dev $16.62
Avg Norm Float 0.4490
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 140h 34m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Plastique
—
Battle-Scarred
$1.28 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.08 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.09 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Battle-Scarred
$2.15 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.30 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.31 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.33 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Well-Worn
$2.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP7 | Amberline
—
Field-Tested
$3.17 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Urban Sovereign
—
Field-Tested
$3.19 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 08S //TOTAL COST $23.24 //ASK PRICE EV $20.03 //BID PRICE EV $18.51 //ASK PROFIT $-3.21 (-13.8%) //BID PROFIT $-4.73 (-20.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 30.0% //BEST CASE $45.29 //VOLATILITY +71.5% //
Possible Outputs · 6
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
30.0%
$45.29
+$22.04
+94.9%
$41.72
+$18.48
+79.5%
$3.56
7.9%
—
LOSS
3.3%
$16.87
-$6.37
-27.4%
$15.15
-$8.09
-34.8%
$1.72
10.2%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$12.46
-$10.78
-46.4%
$10.97
-$12.27
-52.8%
$1.49
11.9%
—
NUKE
3.3%
$10.88
-$12.36
-53.2%
$10.43
-$12.81
-55.1%
$0.45
4.1%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$9.04
-$14.20
-61.1%
$8.25
-$14.99
-64.5%
$0.79
8.7%
—
NUKE
30.0%
$7.96
-$15.28
-65.7%
$7.67
-$15.57
-67.0%
$0.29
3.6%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-24|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Restricted|stattrak",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.44898,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f64cdaac0b90",
"realistic_value": 45.285,
"optimistic_value": 44.9,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Crane Flight",
"conservative_value": 41.72,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.425805Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f64cdaac0b90.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.44898,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2f5828f37817",
"realistic_value": 7.96,
"optimistic_value": 7.89,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Kintsugi",
"conservative_value": 7.67,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:49.694054Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2f5828f37817.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.3,
"output_float": 0.44898,
"output_skin_id": "skin-612576d81a84",
"realistic_value": 9.0395,
"optimistic_value": 8.98,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Deathgaze",
"conservative_value": 8.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:52.693930Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-612576d81a84.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.179592,
"output_skin_id": "skin-29ac998e7985",
"realistic_value": 10.878,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "AUG | Death by Puppy",
"conservative_value": 10.43,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:13:29.111771Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-29ac998e7985.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.44898,
"output_skin_id": "skin-97024f744394",
"realistic_value": 16.866,
"optimistic_value": 16.46,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Hydra",
"conservative_value": 15.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:24:30.290542Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-97024f744394.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.03333333333333333,
"output_float": 0.2559186,
"output_skin_id": "skin-082000871d86",
"realistic_value": 12.4575,
"optimistic_value": 12.09,
"output_full_name": "P90 | Nostalgia",
"conservative_value": 10.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The CS20 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T01:09:48.325454Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-082000871d86.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_6d5a88ebb4afb52a203239d7",
"input_rarity": "Restricted",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 1.28,
"skin_id": "skin-520d7a1ce647",
"listing_id": "499479989896345729",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-24",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Plastique",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-520d7a1ce647.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:50:52.224590Z"
},
{
"price": 2.08,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361289452694821",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.09,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "514116688949678190",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.15,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "490472738292168531",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:55.238665Z"
},
{
"price": 2.3,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "525375635593980187",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.31,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "505109489448722396",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.33,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "507361237008630373",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 2.34,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "492724538182385829",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Well-Worn)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:45.898941Z"
},
{
"price": 3.17,
"skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"listing_id": "496102290329110667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:37:51.370303Z"
},
{
"price": 3.19,
"skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"listing_id": "493850490550002916",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T01:35:46.917228Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Classified",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Restricted|Classified|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-24:1+collection-set-community-37:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Minimal Wear ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $126.41 Hydra 3.3% $37.25 Death by Puppy 3.3% $28.62 Kintsugi 30.0% $22.62 Deathgaze 30.0% $20.41 Nostalgia 3.3% $19.32 | $126.41 +167.6% | $53.67 +13.6% | 30.0% | +101.0% | $47.24 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 30.0% $63.86 Hydra 3.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 3.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 30.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 3.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 30.0% $11.60 | $63.86 +159.0% | $27.96 +13.4% | 30.0% | +95.5% | $24.66 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 26.7% $290.04 Hydra 6.7% $109.82 Kintsugi 26.7% $65.51 Deathgaze 26.7% $61.47 Nostalgia 6.7% $39.33 Death by Puppy 6.7% $28.62 | $290.04 +211.2% | $123.06 +32.0% | 33.3% | +109.4% | $93.20 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 23.3% $290.04 Hydra 10.0% $109.82 Kintsugi 23.3% $65.51 Deathgaze 23.3% $61.47 Nostalgia 10.0% $39.33 Death by Puppy 10.0% $28.62 | $290.04 +216.8% | $115.08 +25.7% | 33.3% | +107.6% | $91.56 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 16.7% $63.86 Hydra 16.7% $19.93 Death by Puppy 16.7% $13.42 Kintsugi 16.7% $12.65 Nostalgia 16.7% $12.46 Deathgaze 16.7% $11.91 | $63.86 +242.8% | $22.37 +20.1% | 33.3% | +100.6% | $18.63 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight 20.0% $290.04 Hydra 13.3% $109.82 Kintsugi 20.0% $65.51 Deathgaze 20.0% $61.47 Nostalgia 13.3% $39.33 Death by Puppy 13.3% $28.62 | $290.04 +224.8% | $107.11 +20.0% | 33.3% | +105.6% | $89.29 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 13.3% $63.86 Hydra 20.0% $19.93 Death by Puppy 20.0% $13.42 Kintsugi 13.3% $12.65 Nostalgia 20.0% $12.46 Deathgaze 13.3% $11.91 | $63.86 +252.2% | $20.95 +15.6% | 33.3% | +94.2% | $18.13 | — |
The CS20 Collection ×7+The Dead Hand Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Field-Tested ST | Crane Flight 10.0% $63.86 Hydra 23.3% $19.93 Death by Puppy 23.3% $13.42 Kintsugi 10.0% $12.65 Nostalgia 23.3% $12.46 Deathgaze 10.0% $11.91 | $63.86 +268.1% | $19.53 +12.6% | 33.3% | +86.9% | $17.35 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The CS20 Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum  18.0% $10.69 Firebreathing  18.0% $6.12 Galigator  18.0% $3.26 Amberline 18.0% $3.21 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $3.19 Agent  2.0% $2.67 | $10.69 +174.2% | $4.96 +27.1% | 36.0% | +72.0% | $3.90 | — |