The Gamma 2 Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted BS 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred
Inputs
Briefing
1x $0.30
Fraise Crane
3x $0.34
Sky Mandala
3x $0.34
Earth Mandala
2x $0.43
Warm Blooded
1x $0.54
↓
Possible Outputs
Exothermic
45.0% $7.57
Sleeping Potion
45.0% $2.61
Petroglyph
2.0% $1.82
Weasel
2.0% $1.59
Triarch
2.0% $1.58
Powercore
2.0% $1.55
Max Win
$7.57 (+68.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.75 (+5.7%)
Win %
45.0%
Volatility
+57.3%
Cost
$4.49
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $4.49
Ask Price EV $4.75 (+5.7%)
Bid Price EV $4.38 (-2.5%)
Ask Profit $0.26 (+5.7%)
Bid Profit $-0.11 (-2.5%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.37 (+8.1%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.26
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.11
Risk
Win Probability 45.0%
Loss Probability 55.0%
Best Case $7.57 (+68.6%)
Worst Case $1.54 (-65.8%)
Volatility +57.3%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 55.0%
Avg Win +$3.08
Avg Loss -$2.06
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.58 (-64.7%)
Std Dev $2.57
Avg Norm Float 0.5130
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 25m
Oldest Output Price 139h 1m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Big-Win Hunter · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
UMP-45 | Briefing
—
Well-Worn
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
—
Field-Tested
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
—
Field-Tested
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 06M 26S //TOTAL COST $4.49 //ASK PRICE EV $4.75 //BID PRICE EV $4.38 //ASK PROFIT $0.26 (+5.7%) //BID PROFIT $-0.11 (-2.5%) //WIN PROBABILITY 45.0% //BEST CASE $7.57 //VOLATILITY +57.3% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
45.0%
$7.57
+$3.08
+68.6%
$7.15
+$2.66
+59.2%
$0.42
5.6%
—
NUKE
45.0%
$2.61
-$1.88
-41.8%
$2.25
-$2.24
-49.9%
$0.36
13.9%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.82
-$2.67
-59.4%
$1.77
-$2.72
-60.6%
$0.05
3.0%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.59
-$2.90
-64.6%
$1.44
-$3.05
-67.9%
$0.15
9.5%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.58
-$2.91
-64.7%
$1.47
-$3.02
-67.3%
$0.11
7.2%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.55
-$2.94
-65.4%
$1.33
-$3.16
-70.4%
$0.22
14.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.54
-$2.95
-65.8%
$1.47
-$3.02
-67.3%
$0.07
4.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.35907199999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d384f428d432",
"realistic_value": 7.571000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 7.48,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Exothermic",
"conservative_value": 7.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:41:55.233949Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d384f428d432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.35907199999999995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a060f0657eb4",
"realistic_value": 2.6145,
"optimistic_value": 2.59,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:58:57.950743Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a060f0657eb4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.5421824,
"output_skin_id": "skin-02e5c0a4a714",
"realistic_value": 1.537,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive",
"conservative_value": 1.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:36.851939Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02e5c0a4a714.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.51296,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e48389f836a",
"realistic_value": 1.5905,
"optimistic_value": 1.58,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel",
"conservative_value": 1.44,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:02:56.998505Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e48389f836a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.2257024,
"output_skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"realistic_value": 1.824,
"optimistic_value": 1.81,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"conservative_value": 1.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T17:03:44.004863Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.51296,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9c61185e3e75",
"realistic_value": 1.554,
"optimistic_value": 1.54,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore",
"conservative_value": 1.33,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:05:08.945139Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9c61185e3e75.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.51296,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"realistic_value": 1.584,
"optimistic_value": 1.57,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"conservative_value": 1.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Triarch (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T04:56:39.368387Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_65a589d882370754c4bb1b08",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-2826d766adf3",
"listing_id": "499479989896392493",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Briefing (Well-Worn)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Briefing",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2826d766adf3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:56:04.407383Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "526501587737312333",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:47:48.054913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "503983589619270235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:56.227182Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "501731789729082221",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:47:48.054913Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "508487189339587610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:50:56.227182Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"listing_id": "515242588554508309",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:00.906408Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "516368488725499766",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:40.177285Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "494976390476381946",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:15.230095Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "505109489448503948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:39:47.572635Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"listing_id": "518620288313571268",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:01:00.906408Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-gamma-2:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma 2 Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Exothermic 35.0% $13.38 Sleeping Potion 35.0% $11.82 Petroglyph 6.0% $2.04 Directive 6.0% $1.98 Powercore 6.0% $1.89 Triarch 6.0% $1.83 | $13.38 +80.1% | $9.40 +26.4% | 70.0% | +61.6% | $7.43 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Exothermic 30.0% $13.38 Sleeping Potion 30.0% $11.82 Petroglyph 8.0% $2.04 Directive 8.0% $1.98 Powercore 8.0% $1.89 Triarch 8.0% $1.83 | $13.38 +99.4% | $8.33 +24.1% | 60.0% | +73.6% | $6.71 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Exothermic 25.0% $13.38 Sleeping Potion 25.0% $11.82 Petroglyph 10.0% $2.04 Directive 10.0% $1.98 Powercore 10.0% $1.89 Triarch 10.0% $1.83 | $13.38 +115.2% | $7.26 +16.7% | 50.0% | +81.8% | $6.22 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×7+The Harlequin Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 14.0% $64.11 Exothermic 15.0% $26.79 Sleeping Potion 15.0% $24.63 Triarch 14.0% $13.89 Powercore 14.0% $12.89 Directive 14.0% $9.23 | $64.11 +205.6% | $22.63 +7.9% | 44.0% | +81.6% | $20.98 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×9+The Harlequin Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 18.0% $64.11 Exothermic 5.0% $26.79 Sleeping Potion 5.0% $24.63 Triarch 18.0% $13.89 Powercore 18.0% $12.89 Directive 18.0% $9.23 | $64.11 +204.3% | $21.75 +3.2% | 28.0% | +92.3% | $21.07 | — |