The Gamma 2 Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted WW 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Well-Worn
Inputs
Ventilator
1x $0.36
Sky Mandala
3x $0.34
Fraise Crane
2x $0.35
Warm Blooded
2x $0.49
Earth Mandala
2x $0.70
↓
Possible Outputs
Exothermic
45.0% $7.38
Sleeping Potion
45.0% $2.56
Petroglyph
2.0% $1.82
Directive
2.0% $1.54
Weasel
2.0% $1.51
Triarch
2.0% $1.47
Max Win
$7.38 (+41.4%)
EV (ROI %)
$4.63 (-11.3%)
Win %
45.0%
Volatility
+48.0%
Cost
$5.22
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $5.22
Ask Price EV $4.63 (-11.3%)
Bid Price EV $4.38 (-16.0%)
Ask Profit $-0.59 (-11.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.84 (-16.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.24 (+4.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer -$0.59
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.84
Risk
Win Probability 45.0%
Loss Probability 55.0%
Best Case $7.38 (+41.4%)
Worst Case $1.45 (-72.2%)
Volatility +48.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 55.0%
Avg Win +$2.16
Avg Loss -$2.84
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.51 (-71.0%)
Std Dev $2.51
Avg Norm Float 0.4475
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 22m
Oldest Output Price 139h 33m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Tight
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Negative Setup · Weak · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
G3SG1 | Ventilator
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.35 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Battle-Scarred
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded
—
Field-Tested
$0.54 Float: HIDDEN
Galil AR | Sky Mandala
—
Field-Tested
$0.60 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
—
Field-Tested
$0.70 Float: HIDDEN
Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala
—
Field-Tested
$0.94 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 04M 06S //TOTAL COST $5.22 //ASK PRICE EV $4.63 //BID PRICE EV $4.38 //ASK PROFIT $-0.59 (-11.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.84 (-16.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 45.0% //BEST CASE $7.38 //VOLATILITY +48.0% //
Possible Outputs · 7
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
WIN
45.0%
$7.38
+$2.16
+41.4%
$7.16
+$1.94
+37.2%
$0.22
3.0%
—
NUKE
45.0%
$2.56
-$2.66
-51.0%
$2.25
-$2.97
-56.9%
$0.31
12.0%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.82
-$3.40
-65.1%
$1.77
-$3.45
-66.1%
$0.05
3.0%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.54
-$3.68
-70.6%
$1.47
-$3.75
-71.8%
$0.07
4.4%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.51
-$3.71
-71.0%
$1.49
-$3.73
-71.5%
$0.02
1.6%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.47
-$3.75
-71.8%
$1.41
-$3.81
-73.0%
$0.06
4.1%
—
NUKE
2.0%
$1.45
-$3.77
-72.2%
$1.35
-$3.87
-74.1%
$0.10
6.9%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-gamma-2|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 1,
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 9,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.31321499999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d384f428d432",
"realistic_value": 7.38,
"optimistic_value": 7.31,
"output_full_name": "AWP | Exothermic",
"conservative_value": 7.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AWP | Exothermic (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:55:15.724732Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d384f428d432.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.45,
"output_float": 0.31321499999999997,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a060f0657eb4",
"realistic_value": 2.557,
"optimistic_value": 2.55,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion",
"conservative_value": 2.25,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Harlequin Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:48.251879Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a060f0657eb4.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.480603,
"output_skin_id": "skin-02e5c0a4a714",
"realistic_value": 1.537,
"optimistic_value": 1.53,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive",
"conservative_value": 1.47,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Directive (Battle-Scarred)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:23:36.851939Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-02e5c0a4a714.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.44745,
"output_skin_id": "skin-0e48389f836a",
"realistic_value": 1.5135,
"optimistic_value": 1.51,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel",
"conservative_value": 1.49,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Glock-18 | Weasel (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-04T05:41:21.993000Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0e48389f836a.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.196878,
"output_skin_id": "skin-18a6943d8cc2",
"realistic_value": 1.824,
"optimistic_value": 1.81,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph",
"conservative_value": 1.77,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T17:03:44.004863Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-18a6943d8cc2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.44745,
"output_skin_id": "skin-9c61185e3e75",
"realistic_value": 1.4505,
"optimistic_value": 1.44,
"output_full_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore",
"conservative_value": 1.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SCAR-20 | Powercore (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:49.294179Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-9c61185e3e75.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.02,
"output_float": 0.44745,
"output_skin_id": "skin-1dad3beb1452",
"realistic_value": 1.4705,
"optimistic_value": 1.46,
"output_full_name": "SG 553 | Triarch",
"conservative_value": 1.41,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"collection_name": "The Gamma 2 Collection",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Triarch (Well-Worn)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:45:08.271764Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-1dad3beb1452.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_65a589d882370754c4bb1b08",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-2455f7e4f242",
"listing_id": "518620288313336188",
"collection_id": "collection-set-gamma-2",
"market_hash_name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "G3SG1 | Ventilator",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2455f7e4f242.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:47:37.337812Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "503983589619270235",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:54.819866Z"
},
{
"price": 0.35,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "492724590626378025",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:34:48.112225Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "508487189339587610",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Battle-Scarred)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Battle-Scarred",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:37:54.819866Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "496102290329240123",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:12.837350Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-6f23920b8406",
"listing_id": "490472790737265639",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Five-SeveN | Fraise Crane",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-6f23920b8406.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:46.183996Z"
},
{
"price": 0.54,
"skin_id": "skin-37ac474a54e4",
"listing_id": "494976390476381946",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Warm Blooded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-37ac474a54e4.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:12.837350Z"
},
{
"price": 0.6,
"skin_id": "skin-49296f9e5232",
"listing_id": "505109489448503948",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Galil AR | Sky Mandala",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-49296f9e5232.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:54:46.839453Z"
},
{
"price": 0.7,
"skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"listing_id": "518620288313571268",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:12.357849Z"
},
{
"price": 0.94,
"skin_id": "skin-0843472a9098",
"listing_id": "499479989895637069",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant",
"market_hash_name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0843472a9098.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T00:50:12.357849Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-gamma-2:1+collection-set-timed-drops-exuberant:9"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma 2 Collection ×1+The Harlequin Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Battle-Scarred | Exothermic 45.0% $7.38 Sleeping Potion 45.0% $2.56 Petroglyph 2.0% $1.82 Weasel 2.0% $1.59 Triarch 2.0% $1.58 Powercore 2.0% $1.55 | $7.38 +60.8% | $4.63 +0.9% | 45.0% | +53.6% | $4.59 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma 2 Collection ×3+The Harlequin Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Exothermic 35.0% $13.26 Sleeping Potion 35.0% $11.82 Petroglyph 6.0% $2.04 Directive 6.0% $1.98 Powercore 6.0% $1.89 Triarch 6.0% $1.83 | $13.26 +76.5% | $9.34 +24.4% | 70.0% | +60.5% | $7.51 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×4+The Harlequin Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Exothermic 30.0% $12.78 Sleeping Potion 30.0% $11.82 Petroglyph 8.0% $2.04 Directive 8.0% $1.98 Powercore 8.0% $1.89 Triarch 8.0% $1.83 | $12.78 +89.6% | $8.13 +20.7% | 60.0% | +70.9% | $6.74 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×5+The Harlequin Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Exothermic 25.0% $13.33 Sleeping Potion 25.0% $11.82 Petroglyph 10.0% $2.04 Directive 10.0% $1.98 Powercore 10.0% $1.89 Triarch 10.0% $1.83 | $13.33 +113.9% | $7.23 +16.0% | 50.0% | +81.5% | $6.23 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×7+The Harlequin Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 14.0% $64.11 Exothermic 15.0% $26.79 Sleeping Potion 15.0% $24.63 Triarch 14.0% $13.89 Powercore 14.0% $12.89 Directive 14.0% $9.23 | $64.11 +205.6% | $22.63 +7.9% | 44.0% | +81.6% | $20.98 | — |
The Gamma 2 Collection ×9+The Harlequin Collection ×1 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New | Weasel 18.0% $64.11 Exothermic 5.0% $26.79 Sleeping Potion 5.0% $24.63 Triarch 18.0% $13.89 Powercore 18.0% $12.89 Directive 18.0% $9.23 | $64.11 +204.3% | $21.75 +3.2% | 28.0% | +92.3% | $21.07 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Gamma 2 Collection ×7+The Harlequin Collection ×3 Restricted → Classified Well-Worn | Party Animal  30.0% $19.29 Fuel Injector  23.3% $16.66 Syd Mead  23.3% $16.59 Airlock  23.3% $16.12 | $19.29 +16.0% | $17.31 +4.1% | 53.3% | +7.9% | $16.63 | — |