The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested
Inputs
Circaetus
3x $0.36
Junk Yard
1x $0.49
Heavy Metal
1x $0.50
Rose Hex
3x $0.34
Shredded
1x $0.47
Blush Pour
1x $0.65
↓
Possible Outputs
Mulberry
16.7% $15.94
Slate
10.0% $7.08
Glitched Paint
16.7% $6.58
Bleeding Edge
16.7% $5.91
dev_texture
10.0% $1.24
Trigger Discipline
10.0% $1.15
Max Win
$15.94 (+235.6%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.83 (+22.8%)
Win %
60.0%
Volatility
+109.0%
Cost
$4.75
Age —
Financials
Total Cost $4.75
Ask Price EV $5.83 (+22.8%)
Bid Price EV $5.30 (+11.6%)
Ask Profit $1.08 (+22.8%)
Bid Profit $0.55 (+11.6%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.53 (+11.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$1.08
Bid Slippage Buffer +$0.55
Risk
Win Probability 60.0%
Loss Probability 40.0%
Best Case $15.94 (+235.6%)
Worst Case $0.72 (-84.8%)
Volatility +109.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 40.0%
Avg Win +$4.33
Avg Loss -$3.79
Bottom 5% Outcome $0.72 (-84.8%)
Std Dev $5.18
Avg Norm Float 0.1995
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 18m
Oldest Output Price 143h 59m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // High-EV Grinder · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus
—
Field-Tested
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus
—
Field-Tested
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus
—
Minimal Wear
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
R8 Revolver | Junk Yard
—
Minimal Wear
$0.49 Float: HIDDEN
SG 553 | Heavy Metal
—
Minimal Wear
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Shredded
—
Field-Tested
$0.47 Float: HIDDEN
SSG 08 | Blush Pour
—
Field-Tested
$0.65 Float: HIDDEN
M4A1-S | Rose Hex
—
Minimal Wear
$0.71 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 37M 45S //TOTAL COST $4.75 //ASK PRICE EV $5.83 //BID PRICE EV $5.30 //ASK PROFIT $1.08 (+22.8%) //BID PROFIT $0.55 (+11.6%) //WIN PROBABILITY 60.0% //BEST CASE $15.94 //VOLATILITY +109.0% //
Possible Outputs · 8
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
16.7%
$15.94
+$11.19
+235.6%
$14.54
+$9.79
+206.1%
$1.40
8.8%
—
WIN
10.0%
$7.08
+$2.33
+49.1%
$6.53
+$1.78
+37.5%
$0.55
7.8%
—
WIN
16.7%
$6.58
+$1.83
+38.5%
$6.21
+$1.46
+30.7%
$0.37
5.6%
—
WIN
16.7%
$5.91
+$1.16
+24.5%
$5.14
+$0.39
+8.2%
$0.77
13.1%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.24
-$3.51
-73.9%
$1.06
-$3.69
-77.7%
$0.18
14.6%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$1.15
-$3.60
-75.8%
$1.01
-$3.74
-78.7%
$0.14
12.0%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.75
-$4.00
-84.3%
$0.64
-$4.11
-86.5%
$0.11
14.3%
—
NUKE
10.0%
$0.72
-$4.03
-84.8%
$0.64
-$4.11
-86.5%
$0.08
11.2%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-28|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm|Mil-Spec Grade|normal",
"item_count": 5,
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.14965499999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2d7d76a0b8b5",
"realistic_value": 15.9415,
"optimistic_value": 15.91,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry",
"conservative_value": 14.54,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Mulberry (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:07.329445Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2d7d76a0b8b5.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.1336918,
"output_skin_id": "skin-75c237bdd4fc",
"realistic_value": 6.577999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 6.27,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint",
"conservative_value": 6.21,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Glitched Paint (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:22.295325Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-75c237bdd4fc.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.16666666666666666,
"output_float": 0.119724,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8e15b1a9e945",
"realistic_value": 5.914000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 5.9,
"output_full_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge",
"conservative_value": 5.14,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Radiant Collection",
"market_hash_name": "USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:39.151010Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8e15b1a9e945.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.19954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-48e1c7c5df5e",
"realistic_value": 7.083,
"optimistic_value": 7.02,
"output_full_name": "AK-47 | Slate",
"conservative_value": 6.53,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "AK-47 | Slate (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:29:50.840693Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-48e1c7c5df5e.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.1935538,
"output_skin_id": "skin-337794166cad",
"realistic_value": 1.1480000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 1.12,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline",
"conservative_value": 1.01,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:33:32.300187Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-337794166cad.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.19954,
"output_skin_id": "skin-d5acd24fcb47",
"realistic_value": 0.747,
"optimistic_value": 0.74,
"output_full_name": "MAC-10 | Button Masher",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "MAC-10 | Button Masher (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T18:10:52.162481Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d5acd24fcb47.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.129701,
"output_skin_id": "skin-bce9af58ff21",
"realistic_value": 1.2405,
"optimistic_value": 1.23,
"output_full_name": "Negev | dev_texture",
"conservative_value": 1.06,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "Negev | dev_texture (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:10:26.127388Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-bce9af58ff21.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.1,
"output_float": 0.16960899999999998,
"output_skin_id": "skin-24c6ed776121",
"realistic_value": 0.7204999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 0.71,
"output_full_name": "P250 | Cyber Shell",
"conservative_value": 0.64,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Snakebite Collection",
"market_hash_name": "P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T04:53:19.200538Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-24c6ed776121.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_60068fa0513fe4dca873f26e",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-feea98c5ab41",
"listing_id": "516367691475037106",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Circaetus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-feea98c5ab41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:01:10.807971Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-feea98c5ab41",
"listing_id": "528753335313536517",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Field-Tested)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Circaetus",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-feea98c5ab41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:01:10.807971Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-feea98c5ab41",
"listing_id": "520872088106707980",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "CZ75-Auto | Circaetus",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-feea98c5ab41.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:02.166261Z"
},
{
"price": 0.49,
"skin_id": "skin-503060091440",
"listing_id": "515242588555037077",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "R8 Revolver | Junk Yard",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-503060091440.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:00:28.152562Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-fff2ecbae8e7",
"listing_id": "519745391329964768",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-28",
"market_hash_name": "SG 553 | Heavy Metal (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "SG 553 | Heavy Metal",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fff2ecbae8e7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:46.810031Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "516368488725524570",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:47.782895Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "525375688036290175",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:47.782895Z"
},
{
"price": 0.47,
"skin_id": "skin-5254ad7ed93d",
"listing_id": "520872088105717584",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "MP9 | Shredded (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Shredded",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-5254ad7ed93d.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:05:51.899713Z"
},
{
"price": 0.65,
"skin_id": "skin-0f8b4882d7c6",
"listing_id": "526501535293744649",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Field-Tested)",
"name": "SSG 08 | Blush Pour",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-0f8b4882d7c6.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:09.060044Z"
},
{
"price": 0.71,
"skin_id": "skin-d474744b61b7",
"listing_id": "512990789045079311",
"collection_id": "collection-set-timed-drops-warm",
"market_hash_name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M4A1-S | Rose Hex",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-d474744b61b7.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T05:03:15.631768Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": false,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|normal|10|collection-set-community-28:5+collection-set-timed-drops-warm:5"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×5+The Radiant Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear | Mulberry 16.7% $15.94 Slate 10.0% $11.16 Glitched Paint 16.7% $6.58 Bleeding Edge 16.7% $5.91 Trigger Discipline 10.0% $2.91 Button Masher 10.0% $1.61 | $15.94 +148.7% | $6.58 +2.7% | 43.3% | +70.8% | $6.41 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Snakebite Collection ×4+The Radiant Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 20.0% $15.94 Slate 8.0% $7.08 Glitched Paint 20.0% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 20.0% $5.91 dev_texture 8.0% $1.24 Trigger Discipline 8.0% $1.15 | $15.94 +207.8% | $6.59 +27.3% | 68.0% | +91.1% | $5.18 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×2+The Radiant Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 26.7% $15.94 Slate 4.0% $7.08 Glitched Paint 26.7% $6.58 Bleeding Edge 26.7% $5.91 dev_texture 4.0% $1.24 Trigger Discipline 4.0% $1.15 | $15.94 +152.6% | $8.02 +27.1% | 57.3% | +74.7% | $6.31 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×1+The Radiant Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 30.0% $15.94 Slate 2.0% $7.08 Glitched Paint 30.0% $6.58 Bleeding Edge 30.0% $5.91 dev_texture 2.0% $1.24 Trigger Discipline 2.0% $1.15 | $15.94 +130.0% | $8.75 +26.2% | 32.0% | +67.2% | $6.93 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×6+The Radiant Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 13.3% $15.94 Slate 12.0% $7.08 Glitched Paint 13.3% $6.74 Bleeding Edge 13.3% $5.91 dev_texture 12.0% $1.24 Trigger Discipline 12.0% $1.15 | $15.94 +264.8% | $5.13 +17.3% | 52.0% | +102.8% | $4.37 | — |
The Snakebite Collection ×7+The Radiant Collection ×3 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested | Mulberry 10.0% $15.94 Slate 14.0% $7.08 Glitched Paint 10.0% $6.72 Bleeding Edge 10.0% $5.91 dev_texture 14.0% $1.24 Trigger Discipline 14.0% $1.15 | $15.94 +286.0% | $4.38 +6.2% | 44.0% | +102.7% | $4.13 | — |