The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FT ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested StatTrak™
Inputs
Night Riot
3x $0.17
Black Sand
3x $0.20
RMX
2x $0.34
Fusion
1x $0.40
Fragment
1x $0.41
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $10.69
Firebreathing
8.0% $6.12
Galigator
8.0% $3.56
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $2.91
Amberline
8.0% $2.88
Moonrise
12.0% $2.63
Max Win
$10.69 (+290.3%)
EV (ROI %)
$2.94 (+7.1%)
Win %
40.0%
Volatility
+98.6%
Cost
$2.74
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $2.74
Ask Price EV $2.94 (+7.1%)
Bid Price EV $2.49 (-9.0%)
Ask Profit $0.20 (+7.1%)
Bid Profit $-0.25 (-9.0%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.44 (+16.2%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.20
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.25
Risk
Win Probability 40.0%
Loss Probability 60.0%
Best Case $10.69 (+290.3%)
Worst Case $1.01 (-63.1%)
Volatility +98.6%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$2.49
Avg Loss -$1.34
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.01 (-63.1%)
Std Dev $2.70
Avg Norm Float 0.3172
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 14m
Oldest Output Price 151h 23m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Safe
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.17 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.19 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.20 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.21 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Field-Tested
$0.25 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | RMX
—
Well-Worn
$0.37 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Field-Tested
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
UMP-45 | Fragment
—
Field-Tested
$0.41 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 51S //TOTAL COST $2.74 //ASK PRICE EV $2.94 //BID PRICE EV $2.49 //ASK PROFIT $0.20 (+7.1%) //BID PROFIT $-0.25 (-9.0%) //WIN PROBABILITY 40.0% //BEST CASE $10.69 //VOLATILITY +98.6% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN
8.0%
$10.69
+$7.95
+290.3%
$9.15
+$6.41
+233.9%
$1.54
14.4%
—
BIG WIN
8.0%
$6.12
+$3.38
+123.2%
$4.98
+$2.24
+81.8%
$1.14
18.6%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID
8.0%
$3.56
+$0.82
+29.9%
$2.66
-$0.08
-2.9%
$0.90
25.2%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$2.91
+$0.17
+6.1%
$2.61
-$0.13
-4.7%
$0.30
10.2%
—
PAPER WIN
8.0%
$2.88
+$0.14
+5.2%
$2.61
-$0.13
-4.7%
$0.27
9.5%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$2.63
-$0.11
-4.0%
$2.35
-$0.39
-14.2%
$0.28
10.7%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.30
-$1.44
-52.4%
$1.16
-$1.58
-57.7%
$0.14
11.0%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.06
-$1.68
-61.3%
$0.92
-$1.82
-66.4%
$0.14
13.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.02
-$1.72
-62.9%
$0.82
-$1.92
-70.1%
$0.20
19.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.01
-$1.73
-63.1%
$0.85
-$1.89
-69.0%
$0.16
15.8%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.2061995,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 2.6315,
"optimistic_value": 2.6,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 2.35,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:19:18.000325Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.29185160000000004,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 1.3035,
"optimistic_value": 1.3,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 1.16,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:34:59.920793Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.17447650000000003,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 1.0605,
"optimistic_value": 1.05,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 0.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T04:27:51.747702Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.253784,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.017,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 0.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:22:26.025056Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.253784,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 1.01,
"optimistic_value": 1.01,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 0.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:34:35.764714Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.31723,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 6.117,
"optimistic_value": 6.11,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 4.98,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:41.545500Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.31723,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 3.558,
"optimistic_value": 3.53,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 2.66,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:21:59.237045Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.31723,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 10.693000000000001,
"optimistic_value": 10.63,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:48.376233Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.31723,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 2.8835,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:54.067411Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.31723,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 2.908,
"optimistic_value": 2.88,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 2.61,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Field-Tested)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:40:26.529893Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5e5f770fbec3439ec2d31153",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.17,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "502857742726883548",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:16.672212Z"
},
{
"price": 0.19,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "515241791640763117",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:16.672212Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "654852743756863759",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Field-Tested)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:32:16.672212Z"
},
{
"price": 0.2,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "525374890946739055",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:36.576886Z"
},
{
"price": 0.21,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "516368488725299606",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:36.576886Z"
},
{
"price": 0.25,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "497228137696405193",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Field-Tested)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:36.576886Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "510739041953589082",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:28:05.992257Z"
},
{
"price": 0.37,
"skin_id": "skin-fb5805d13a5e",
"listing_id": "526501587737943665",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | RMX (Well-Worn)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | RMX",
"wear_name": "Well-Worn",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-fb5805d13a5e.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:28:05.992257Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "520872141038016156",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Field-Tested)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:30:19.897498Z"
},
{
"price": 0.41,
"skin_id": "skin-40743fbc40a8",
"listing_id": "521998040962761918",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Field-Tested)",
"name": "UMP-45 | Fragment",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-40743fbc40a8.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:39:47.410921Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.18 Galigator 8.0% $5.73 Moonrise 12.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $5.01 | $16.94 +278.0% | $5.29 +18.2% | 52.0% | +81.5% | $4.48 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 12.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +244.1% | $15.29 +2.6% | 24.0% | +75.9% | $14.90 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 4.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +193.5% | $22.34 +27.9% | 48.0% | +76.4% | $17.47 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +169.9% | $24.10 +26.8% | 36.0% | +72.5% | $19.00 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 6.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +201.8% | $20.58 +21.1% | 42.0% | +76.1% | $16.99 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.17 Galigator 10.0% $5.51 Moonrise 10.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $5.00 | $16.94 +242.8% | $5.88 +19.0% | 60.0% | +77.8% | $4.94 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.18 Galigator 12.0% $5.73 Moonrise 8.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $5.01 | $16.94 +209.6% | $6.50 +18.9% | 48.0% | +72.5% | $5.47 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cortex  3.3% $61.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze  30.0% $59.23 Mortis  3.3% $31.41 Stymphalian  3.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +193.8% | $126.99 +28.6% | 30.0% | +108.5% | $98.71 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir  5.0% $288.16 Bloodsport  5.0% $73.13 | $843.46 +65.7% | $615.83 +21.0% | 45.0% | +44.4% | $509.04 | — |