The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted FN ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New StatTrak™
Inputs
Black Sand
4x $0.43
Night Riot
2x $0.59
Bock Blocks
2x $0.78
Fusion
2x $0.92
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $51.27
Firebreathing
8.0% $31.66
Amberline
8.0% $18.87
Galigator
8.0% $14.51
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $12.98
SWAG-7
12.0% $11.87
Max Win
$51.27 (+244.1%)
EV (ROI %)
$15.29 (+2.6%)
Win %
24.0%
Volatility
+85.2%
Cost
$14.90
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $14.90
Ask Price EV $15.29 (+2.6%)
Bid Price EV $12.82 (-13.9%)
Ask Profit $0.39 (+2.6%)
Bid Profit $-2.08 (-13.9%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $2.47 (+16.6%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.39
Bid Slippage Buffer -$2.08
Risk
Win Probability 24.0%
Loss Probability 76.0%
Best Case $51.27 (+244.1%)
Worst Case $5.16 (-65.3%)
Volatility +85.2%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 36.0%
Avg Win +$19.03
Avg Loss -$5.49
Bottom 5% Outcome $5.16 (-65.3%)
Std Dev $12.69
Avg Norm Float 0.0699
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 23m
Oldest Output Price 151h 15m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.59 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Factory New
$1.75 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Factory New
$2.13 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Factory New
$2.69 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Minimal Wear
$0.78 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.92 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Factory New
$2.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Factory New
$2.56 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 47M 28S //TOTAL COST $14.90 //ASK PRICE EV $15.29 //BID PRICE EV $12.82 //ASK PROFIT $0.39 (+2.6%) //BID PROFIT $-2.08 (-13.9%) //WIN PROBABILITY 24.0% //BEST CASE $51.27 //VOLATILITY +85.2% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$51.27
+$36.37
+244.1%
$43.51
+$28.61
+192.0%
$7.76
15.1%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$31.66
+$16.76
+112.5%
$29.45
+$14.55
+97.7%
$2.21
7.0%
—
PAPER WIN THIN BID EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$18.87
+$3.97
+26.6%
$12.97
-$1.93
-13.0%
$5.90
31.3%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$14.51
-$0.39
-2.6%
$13.05
-$1.85
-12.4%
$1.46
10.1%
—
LOSS EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$12.98
-$1.92
-12.9%
$11.82
-$3.08
-20.7%
$1.16
8.9%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$11.87
-$3.03
-20.3%
$9.50
-$5.40
-36.2%
$2.37
20.0%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$11.42
-$3.48
-23.4%
$9.50
-$5.40
-36.2%
$1.92
16.8%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$6.85
-$8.05
-54.0%
$5.92
-$8.98
-60.3%
$0.93
13.6%
—
NUKE THIN BID
12.0%
$5.94
-$8.96
-60.2%
$4.11
-$10.79
-72.4%
$1.83
30.8%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$5.16
-$9.74
-65.3%
$3.96
-$10.94
-73.4%
$1.20
23.3%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.04545450000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 11.417,
"optimistic_value": 11.34,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 9.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:32:20.705072Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0643356,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 11.874,
"optimistic_value": 11.58,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 9.5,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T05:26:01.925055Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.03846150000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 5.164499999999999,
"optimistic_value": 5.14,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 3.96,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-06T17:05:47.950004Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05594400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 5.937,
"optimistic_value": 5.37,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 4.11,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:24:09.990739Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.05594400000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 6.8545,
"optimistic_value": 6.83,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 5.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:15:02.908185Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 31.657,
"optimistic_value": 31.02,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 29.45,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.490012Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 14.512,
"optimistic_value": 14.33,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 13.05,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:43.833807Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 51.274,
"optimistic_value": 50.91,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 43.51,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.200704Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 18.869,
"optimistic_value": 17.56,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 12.97,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T23:36:10.284461Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.06993,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 12.975999999999999,
"optimistic_value": 12.5,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 11.82,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Factory New)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:39:52.746343Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5e5f770fbec3439ec2d31153",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "634586617423315815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:22.510974Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "722392155663211667",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:53.230228Z"
},
{
"price": 0.59,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "625579418058737758",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:22.510974Z"
},
{
"price": 1.75,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "508487023587761858",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:25:26.063696Z"
},
{
"price": 2.13,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "505109437007100692",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Factory New)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:25:26.063696Z"
},
{
"price": 2.69,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "511864723318192989",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Factory New)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:27:28.300866Z"
},
{
"price": 0.78,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "525375740885184271",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:37:16.800668Z"
},
{
"price": 0.92,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "523123722383769418",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:18:56.309444Z"
},
{
"price": 2.46,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "506235389470490196",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Factory New)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:29:32.369641Z"
},
{
"price": 2.56,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "500605889842157771",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Factory New)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Factory New",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T12:35:38.493278Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 8.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 8.0% $10.78 Amberline 8.0% $6.18 Galigator 8.0% $5.73 Moonrise 12.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $5.01 | $16.94 +278.0% | $5.29 +18.2% | 52.0% | +81.5% | $4.48 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.56 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.91 Amberline 8.0% $2.88 Moonrise 12.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +290.3% | $2.94 +7.1% | 40.0% | +86.9% | $2.74 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 4.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +193.5% | $22.34 +27.9% | 48.0% | +76.4% | $17.47 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +169.9% | $24.10 +26.8% | 36.0% | +72.5% | $19.00 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $12.98 SWAG-7 6.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +201.8% | $20.58 +21.1% | 42.0% | +76.1% | $16.99 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.17 Galigator 10.0% $5.51 Moonrise 10.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $5.00 | $16.94 +242.8% | $5.88 +19.0% | 60.0% | +77.8% | $4.94 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.18 Galigator 12.0% $5.73 Moonrise 8.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $5.01 | $16.94 +209.6% | $6.50 +18.9% | 48.0% | +72.5% | $5.47 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cortex  3.3% $61.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze  30.0% $59.23 Mortis  3.3% $31.41 Stymphalian  3.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +193.8% | $126.99 +28.6% | 30.0% | +108.5% | $98.71 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Classified → Covert Factory New ST | Queen's Gambit  45.0% $843.46 Fully Tuned  45.0% $484.90 Neo-Noir  5.0% $288.16 Bloodsport  5.0% $73.13 | $843.46 +65.7% | $615.83 +21.0% | 45.0% | +44.4% | $509.04 | — |