The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted MW ST 10 items
Contract
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear StatTrak™
Inputs
Night Riot
3x $0.30
Black Sand
3x $0.36
Bock Blocks
3x $0.46
Fusion
1x $0.72
↓
Possible Outputs
Electrum
8.0% $16.94
Firebreathing
8.0% $10.78
Amberline
8.0% $6.26
Galigator
8.0% $5.81
Moonrise
12.0% $5.15
Urban Sovereign
8.0% $4.99
Max Win
$16.94 (+273.9%)
EV (ROI %)
$5.31 (+17.3%)
Win %
52.0%
Volatility
+93.0%
Cost
$4.53
Age —
Financials
ASK-ONLY EDGETotal Cost $4.53
Ask Price EV $5.31 (+17.3%)
Bid Price EV $4.47 (-1.4%)
Ask Profit $0.78 (+17.3%)
Bid Profit $-0.06 (-1.4%)
See more
Liquidity Gap $0.85 (+18.7%)
Ask Slippage Buffer +$0.78
Bid Slippage Buffer -$0.06
Risk
Win Probability 52.0%
Loss Probability 48.0%
Best Case $16.94 (+273.9%)
Worst Case $1.91 (-57.8%)
Volatility +93.0%
See more
Major Loss Prob (≤−25%) 48.0%
Avg Win +$3.55
Avg Loss -$2.21
Bottom 5% Outcome $1.91 (-57.8%)
Std Dev $4.21
Avg Norm Float 0.1499
P(output) Sum 1.0000
Execution ▸ ▾
Price Freshness Old
Oldest Input Price 9m
Oldest Output Price 150h 48m
Fill Confidence Low
Input Availability 10 / 10
Float Safety Edge
Price History
ROI & Win Rate
TRADEUPS.ANALYST // AI Report // Moonshot · Strong Positive · Validation Recommended
SYSTEM // Connecting to Cloudflare AI worker...
Chosen Inputs · 10 items
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.30 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.34 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.36 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.39 Float: HIDDEN
PP-Bizon | Night Riot
—
Minimal Wear
$0.40 Float: HIDDEN
MP9 | Black Sand
—
Minimal Wear
$0.43 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.46 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.50 Float: HIDDEN
M249 | Bock Blocks
—
Field-Tested
$0.63 Float: HIDDEN
Sawed-Off | Fusion
—
Minimal Wear
$0.72 Float: HIDDEN
OUTPUT SPACE RESOLVED // CONTRACT AGE 33M 49S //TOTAL COST $4.53 //ASK PRICE EV $5.31 //BID PRICE EV $4.47 //ASK PROFIT $0.78 (+17.3%) //BID PROFIT $-0.06 (-1.4%) //WIN PROBABILITY 52.0% //BEST CASE $16.94 //VOLATILITY +93.0% //
Possible Outputs · 10
Skin
Tags
Chance
Ask
Bid
Spread
Updated
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$16.94
+$12.41
+273.9%
$14.31
+$9.78
+215.9%
$2.63
15.5%
—
BIG WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$10.78
+$6.25
+137.9%
$9.15
+$4.62
+102.0%
$1.63
15.1%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$6.26
+$1.73
+38.2%
$4.92
+$0.39
+8.6%
$1.34
21.4%
—
WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$5.81
+$1.28
+28.3%
$4.91
+$0.38
+8.4%
$0.90
15.5%
—
PAPER WIN
12.0%
$5.15
+$0.62
+13.8%
$4.28
-$0.25
-5.5%
$0.87
17.0%
—
PAPER WIN EDGE FLOAT
8.0%
$4.99
+$0.46
+10.2%
$4.26
-$0.27
-6.0%
$0.73
14.7%
—
LOSS
12.0%
$3.33
-$1.20
-26.5%
$2.85
-$1.68
-37.1%
$0.48
14.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.04
-$2.49
-55.0%
$1.69
-$2.84
-62.7%
$0.35
17.2%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$2.00
-$2.53
-55.9%
$1.79
-$2.74
-60.5%
$0.21
10.4%
—
NUKE
12.0%
$1.91
-$2.62
-57.8%
$1.58
-$2.95
-65.1%
$0.33
17.4%
—
Monte Carlo Simulator
Session
Spins 0
Win Rate —
Spent $0.00
Net P&L
Ask: +$0.00
Bid: +$0.00
Avg Return
Ask: —
Bid: —
Total Return
Ask: $0.00
Bid: $0.00
Best Win
Ask: —
Bid: —
Latest Result
No spins recorded yet.
Cumulative P&L
Ask Bid
Run a spin to plot Ask and Bid cumulative
P&L.
Raw payload (JSON)
{
"parts": [
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-19|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 6,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19"
},
{
"bucket_id": "collection-set-community-37|Mil-Spec Grade|stattrak",
"item_count": 4,
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37"
}
],
"outcomes": [
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0974155,
"output_skin_id": "skin-52971a3886a2",
"realistic_value": 5.1545,
"optimistic_value": 5.13,
"output_full_name": "Glock-18 | Moonrise",
"conservative_value": 4.28,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-02T04:44:42.556819Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-52971a3886a2.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.13788040000000001,
"output_skin_id": "skin-f0063cb51e43",
"realistic_value": 3.3289999999999997,
"optimistic_value": 3.28,
"output_full_name": "MAG-7 | SWAG-7",
"conservative_value": 2.85,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:45:52.995110Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-f0063cb51e43.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.0824285,
"output_skin_id": "skin-58651a482529",
"realistic_value": 2.04,
"optimistic_value": 2.04,
"output_full_name": "Negev | Lionfish",
"conservative_value": 1.69,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Negev | Lionfish (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T10:54:28.660248Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-58651a482529.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.119896,
"output_skin_id": "skin-85bee1ae1898",
"realistic_value": 1.9135,
"optimistic_value": 1.91,
"output_full_name": "Nova | Wild Six",
"conservative_value": 1.58,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Nova | Wild Six (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:10:02.728299Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-85bee1ae1898.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.12,
"output_float": 0.119896,
"output_skin_id": "skin-a4ca18460f2c",
"realistic_value": 1.998,
"optimistic_value": 1.9,
"output_full_name": "UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf",
"conservative_value": 1.79,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Clutch Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:20:36.956860Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-a4ca18460f2c.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-2bcac1c42296",
"realistic_value": 10.7765,
"optimistic_value": 10.71,
"output_full_name": "Desert Eagle | Firebreathing",
"conservative_value": 9.15,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:39.430728Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-2bcac1c42296.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-8571b4f29f98",
"realistic_value": 5.813,
"optimistic_value": 5.68,
"output_full_name": "Galil AR | Galigator",
"conservative_value": 4.91,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:30:52.911183Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-8571b4f29f98.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-62ecfa87b86d",
"realistic_value": 16.936,
"optimistic_value": 16.88,
"output_full_name": "M4A1-S | Electrum",
"conservative_value": 14.31,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-07T19:45:44.044782Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-62ecfa87b86d.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-55d44f236355",
"realistic_value": 6.2604999999999995,
"optimistic_value": 6.18,
"output_full_name": "MP7 | Amberline",
"conservative_value": 4.92,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:12:25.969858Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-55d44f236355.png"
},
{
"probability": 0.08,
"output_float": 0.14987,
"output_skin_id": "skin-36e373c7de1c",
"realistic_value": 4.992500000000001,
"optimistic_value": 4.94,
"output_full_name": "MP9 | Urban Sovereign",
"conservative_value": 4.26,
"source_collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"collection_name": "The Dead Hand Collection",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign (Minimal Wear)",
"price_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:30:50.505399Z",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-36e373c7de1c.png"
}
],
"family_id": "fam_5e5f770fbec3439ec2d31153",
"input_rarity": "Mil-Spec Grade",
"chosen_inputs": [
{
"price": 0.3,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "509613142167607719",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:21.513149Z"
},
{
"price": 0.34,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "526501587738401189",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:21.513149Z"
},
{
"price": 0.36,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "523123888073153314",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:12.145403Z"
},
{
"price": 0.39,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "775323495735297198",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:12.145403Z"
},
{
"price": 0.4,
"skin_id": "skin-906fd7b3b38a",
"listing_id": "497227393142459465",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Night Riot (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "PP-Bizon | Night Riot",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-906fd7b3b38a.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:28:21.513149Z"
},
{
"price": 0.43,
"skin_id": "skin-cbffebebb7f3",
"listing_id": "634586617423315815",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-19",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "MP9 | Black Sand",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-cbffebebb7f3.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:26:12.145403Z"
},
{
"price": 0.46,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "519746241188751776",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:24.241621Z"
},
{
"price": 0.5,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "509613036859925607",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:24.241621Z"
},
{
"price": 0.63,
"skin_id": "skin-526e890d5739",
"listing_id": "643593816523454425",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ M249 | Bock Blocks (Field-Tested)",
"name": "M249 | Bock Blocks",
"wear_name": "Field-Tested",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-526e890d5739.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:23:24.241621Z"
},
{
"price": 0.72,
"skin_id": "skin-39ceb900b437",
"listing_id": "491598743580610550",
"collection_id": "collection-set-community-37",
"market_hash_name": "StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear)",
"name": "Sawed-Off | Fusion",
"wear_name": "Minimal Wear",
"image_url": "https://cdn.cs2signal.com/skins/skin-39ceb900b437.png",
"market_fetched_at": "2026-05-08T11:31:07.389743Z"
}
],
"contract_size": 10,
"output_rarity": "Restricted",
"stattrak_mode": true,
"composition_key": "Mil-Spec Grade|Restricted|stattrak|10|collection-set-community-19:6+collection-set-community-37:4"
}Related
Related contracts
Different wear buckets
Same contract family, other output wear ratings.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Field-Tested ST | Electrum 8.0% $10.69 Firebreathing 8.0% $6.12 Galigator 8.0% $3.50 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $2.94 Amberline 8.0% $2.88 Moonrise 12.0% $2.63 | $10.69 +290.3% | $2.93 +7.0% | 40.0% | +86.9% | $2.74 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×6+The Dead Hand Collection ×4 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 8.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 8.0% $31.66 Amberline 8.0% $18.87 Galigator 8.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 8.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 12.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +246.7% | $15.36 +3.9% | 24.0% | +76.2% | $14.79 | — |
Different splits
Same collections and rarity transition, sorted by highest ROI.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 18.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 18.0% $31.66 Amberline 18.0% $18.87 Galigator 18.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 18.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 2.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +172.2% | $24.25 +28.7% | 54.0% | +72.4% | $18.84 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×2+The Dead Hand Collection ×8 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 16.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 16.0% $31.66 Amberline 16.0% $18.87 Galigator 16.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 16.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 4.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +192.7% | $22.48 +28.3% | 48.0% | +75.5% | $17.52 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×3+The Dead Hand Collection ×7 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Factory New ST | Electrum 14.0% $51.27 Firebreathing 14.0% $31.66 Amberline 14.0% $18.87 Galigator 14.0% $14.51 Urban Sovereign 14.0% $13.85 SWAG-7 6.0% $11.87 | $51.27 +204.8% | $20.70 +23.1% | 42.0% | +76.3% | $16.82 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×4+The Dead Hand Collection ×6 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 12.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 12.0% $10.78 Amberline 12.0% $6.26 Galigator 12.0% $5.81 Moonrise 8.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 12.0% $4.99 | $16.94 +210.2% | $6.53 +19.6% | 48.0% | +72.5% | $5.46 | — |
The Clutch Collection ×5+The Dead Hand Collection ×5 Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted Minimal Wear ST | Electrum 10.0% $16.94 Firebreathing 10.0% $10.78 Amberline 10.0% $6.26 Galigator 10.0% $5.67 Moonrise 10.0% $5.15 Urban Sovereign 10.0% $5.01 | $16.94 +239.4% | $5.91 +18.4% | 60.0% | +76.8% | $4.99 | — |
Same combination, different rarity
Best-ROI contract for each rarity tier using the same collection pairing.
| Contract | Outputs | Max Win | EV (ROI) | Win % | Volatility | Cost | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Clutch Collection ×1+The Dead Hand Collection ×9 Restricted → Classified Factory New ST | Crane Flight  30.0% $290.04 Cortex  3.3% $61.96 Kintsugi  30.0% $61.06 Deathgaze  30.0% $59.23 Mortis  3.3% $32.52 Stymphalian  3.3% $23.14 | $290.04 +194.9% | $127.02 +29.1% | 30.0% | +108.8% | $98.36 | — |